Resident travel mode prediction model in Beijing metropolitan area.
With the development of economic integration, Beijing has become more closely connected with surrounding areas, which gradually formed the Beijing metropolitan area (BMA). The authors define the scope of BMA from two dimensions of space and time. BMA is determined to be the built-up area of Beijing...
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2021
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oai:doaj.org-article:bd49230c2d8047339b8ce847ae5380512021-12-02T20:07:37ZResident travel mode prediction model in Beijing metropolitan area.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0259793https://doaj.org/article/bd49230c2d8047339b8ce847ae5380512021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0259793https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203With the development of economic integration, Beijing has become more closely connected with surrounding areas, which gradually formed the Beijing metropolitan area (BMA). The authors define the scope of BMA from two dimensions of space and time. BMA is determined to be the built-up area of Beijing and its surrounding 10 districts. Designed questionnaire survey the personal characteristics, family characteristics, and travel characteristics of residents from 10 districts in the surrounding BMA. The statistical analysis of questionnaires shows that the supply of public transportation is insufficient and cannot meet traffic demand. Further, the travel mode prediction model of Softmax regression machine learning algorithm for BMA (SRBM) is established. To further verify the prediction performance of the proposed model, the Multinomial Logit Model (MNL) and Support Vector Machine (SVM), model are introduced to compare the prediction accuracy. The results show that the constructed SRBM model exhibits high prediction accuracy, with an average accuracy of 88.35%, which is 2.83% and 18.11% higher than the SVM and MNL models, respectively. This article provides new ideas for the prediction of travel modes in the Beijing metropolitan area.Xueyu MiShengyou WangChunfu ShaoPeng ZhangMingming ChenPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 11, p e0259793 (2021) |
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Medicine R Science Q Xueyu Mi Shengyou Wang Chunfu Shao Peng Zhang Mingming Chen Resident travel mode prediction model in Beijing metropolitan area. |
description |
With the development of economic integration, Beijing has become more closely connected with surrounding areas, which gradually formed the Beijing metropolitan area (BMA). The authors define the scope of BMA from two dimensions of space and time. BMA is determined to be the built-up area of Beijing and its surrounding 10 districts. Designed questionnaire survey the personal characteristics, family characteristics, and travel characteristics of residents from 10 districts in the surrounding BMA. The statistical analysis of questionnaires shows that the supply of public transportation is insufficient and cannot meet traffic demand. Further, the travel mode prediction model of Softmax regression machine learning algorithm for BMA (SRBM) is established. To further verify the prediction performance of the proposed model, the Multinomial Logit Model (MNL) and Support Vector Machine (SVM), model are introduced to compare the prediction accuracy. The results show that the constructed SRBM model exhibits high prediction accuracy, with an average accuracy of 88.35%, which is 2.83% and 18.11% higher than the SVM and MNL models, respectively. This article provides new ideas for the prediction of travel modes in the Beijing metropolitan area. |
format |
article |
author |
Xueyu Mi Shengyou Wang Chunfu Shao Peng Zhang Mingming Chen |
author_facet |
Xueyu Mi Shengyou Wang Chunfu Shao Peng Zhang Mingming Chen |
author_sort |
Xueyu Mi |
title |
Resident travel mode prediction model in Beijing metropolitan area. |
title_short |
Resident travel mode prediction model in Beijing metropolitan area. |
title_full |
Resident travel mode prediction model in Beijing metropolitan area. |
title_fullStr |
Resident travel mode prediction model in Beijing metropolitan area. |
title_full_unstemmed |
Resident travel mode prediction model in Beijing metropolitan area. |
title_sort |
resident travel mode prediction model in beijing metropolitan area. |
publisher |
Public Library of Science (PLoS) |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/bd49230c2d8047339b8ce847ae538051 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT xueyumi residenttravelmodepredictionmodelinbeijingmetropolitanarea AT shengyouwang residenttravelmodepredictionmodelinbeijingmetropolitanarea AT chunfushao residenttravelmodepredictionmodelinbeijingmetropolitanarea AT pengzhang residenttravelmodepredictionmodelinbeijingmetropolitanarea AT mingmingchen residenttravelmodepredictionmodelinbeijingmetropolitanarea |
_version_ |
1718375264335953920 |