Archetyping shared socioeconomic pathways across scales: an application to central Asia and European case studies

The complex interactions of drivers represented in scenarios and climate change impacts across scales have led to the development of multiscale scenarios. Since the recent development of global shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs), which have started being downscaled to lower scales, the potential o...

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Autores principales:	Simona Pedde, Kasper Kok, Katharina Hölscher, Christoph Oberlack, Paula A. Harrison, Rik Leemans
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Resilience Alliance 2019
Materias:	multiscale scenarios narratives scenario archetypes shared socioeconomic pathways worldviews Biology (General) QH301-705.5 Ecology QH540-549.5
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/bdb49298ad244df490ce6fb4f083d60d
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:bdb49298ad244df490ce6fb4f083d60d2021-12-02T12:01:44ZArchetyping shared socioeconomic pathways across scales: an application to central Asia and European case studies1708-308710.5751/ES-11241-240430https://doaj.org/article/bdb49298ad244df490ce6fb4f083d60d2019-12-01T00:00:00Zhttp://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol24/iss4/art30/https://doaj.org/toc/1708-3087The complex interactions of drivers represented in scenarios and climate change impacts across scales have led to the development of multiscale scenarios. Since the recent development of global shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs), which have started being downscaled to lower scales, the potential of scenarios to be relevant for decision making and facilitate appreciation and inclusion of different perspectives has been increasing, compared with a single-scale global scenario set. However, in practice, quantitative downscaling of global scenarios results in narratives that are compressed from the global level to fit the local context to enhance consistency between global and local scales. We brought forward the concept of scenario archetypes to analyze multiscale SSP scenario narratives and highlight important diverging assumptions within the same archetype. Our methodology applied scenario archetypes both as typologies, to allocate specific cases of scenarios into existing scenario archetypes, and building blocks, conceptualized with worldviews from cultural theory. Although global SSPs generally match existing archetypes and tend to be well defined, the socially unequal SSPs at subglobal scales are more nuanced, and dominant worldviews are much less straighforward to interpret than in global scenarios. The closest match was the great transition-sustainability (SSP1) archetype, whereas the most divergent was the market forces-fossil fuel development (SSP5) archetype. Overall, our results highlight the need to improve uptake of bottom-up approaches in global scenarios to improve appreciation of different perspectives as sought after in multiscale scenarios.Simona PeddeKasper KokKatharina HölscherChristoph OberlackPaula A. HarrisonRik LeemansResilience Alliancearticlemultiscale scenariosnarrativesscenario archetypesshared socioeconomic pathwaysworldviewsBiology (General)QH301-705.5EcologyQH540-549.5ENEcology and Society, Vol 24, Iss 4, p 30 (2019)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	multiscale scenarios narratives scenario archetypes shared socioeconomic pathways worldviews Biology (General) QH301-705.5 Ecology QH540-549.5
spellingShingle	multiscale scenarios narratives scenario archetypes shared socioeconomic pathways worldviews Biology (General) QH301-705.5 Ecology QH540-549.5 Simona Pedde Kasper Kok Katharina Hölscher Christoph Oberlack Paula A. Harrison Rik Leemans Archetyping shared socioeconomic pathways across scales: an application to central Asia and European case studies
description	The complex interactions of drivers represented in scenarios and climate change impacts across scales have led to the development of multiscale scenarios. Since the recent development of global shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs), which have started being downscaled to lower scales, the potential of scenarios to be relevant for decision making and facilitate appreciation and inclusion of different perspectives has been increasing, compared with a single-scale global scenario set. However, in practice, quantitative downscaling of global scenarios results in narratives that are compressed from the global level to fit the local context to enhance consistency between global and local scales. We brought forward the concept of scenario archetypes to analyze multiscale SSP scenario narratives and highlight important diverging assumptions within the same archetype. Our methodology applied scenario archetypes both as typologies, to allocate specific cases of scenarios into existing scenario archetypes, and building blocks, conceptualized with worldviews from cultural theory. Although global SSPs generally match existing archetypes and tend to be well defined, the socially unequal SSPs at subglobal scales are more nuanced, and dominant worldviews are much less straighforward to interpret than in global scenarios. The closest match was the great transition-sustainability (SSP1) archetype, whereas the most divergent was the market forces-fossil fuel development (SSP5) archetype. Overall, our results highlight the need to improve uptake of bottom-up approaches in global scenarios to improve appreciation of different perspectives as sought after in multiscale scenarios.
format	article
author	Simona Pedde Kasper Kok Katharina Hölscher Christoph Oberlack Paula A. Harrison Rik Leemans
author_facet	Simona Pedde Kasper Kok Katharina Hölscher Christoph Oberlack Paula A. Harrison Rik Leemans
author_sort	Simona Pedde
title	Archetyping shared socioeconomic pathways across scales: an application to central Asia and European case studies
title_short	Archetyping shared socioeconomic pathways across scales: an application to central Asia and European case studies
title_full	Archetyping shared socioeconomic pathways across scales: an application to central Asia and European case studies
title_fullStr	Archetyping shared socioeconomic pathways across scales: an application to central Asia and European case studies
title_full_unstemmed	Archetyping shared socioeconomic pathways across scales: an application to central Asia and European case studies
title_sort	archetyping shared socioeconomic pathways across scales: an application to central asia and european case studies
publisher	Resilience Alliance
publishDate	2019
url	https://doaj.org/article/bdb49298ad244df490ce6fb4f083d60d
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Archetyping shared socioeconomic pathways across scales: an application to central Asia and European case studies

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