Risk Model for Prostate Cancer Using Environmental and Genetic Factors in the Spanish Multi-Case-Control (MCC) Study

Abstract Prostate cancer (PCa) is the second most common cancer among men worldwide. Its etiology remains largely unknown compared to other common cancers. We have developed a risk stratification model combining environmental factors with family history and genetic susceptibility. 818 PCa cases and...

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Autores principales: Inés Gómez-Acebo, Trinidad Dierssen-Sotos, Pablo Fernandez-Navarro, Camilo Palazuelos, Víctor Moreno, Nuria Aragonés, Gemma Castaño-Vinyals, Jose J. Jiménez-Monleón, Jose Luis Ruiz-Cerdá, Beatriz Pérez-Gómez, José Manuel Ruiz-Dominguez, Jessica Alonso Molero, Marina Pollán, Manolis Kogevinas, Javier Llorca
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Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2017
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:bdc903529d5749ccb3971648fbfc08d02021-12-02T11:40:50ZRisk Model for Prostate Cancer Using Environmental and Genetic Factors in the Spanish Multi-Case-Control (MCC) Study10.1038/s41598-017-09386-92045-2322https://doaj.org/article/bdc903529d5749ccb3971648fbfc08d02017-08-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-09386-9https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Prostate cancer (PCa) is the second most common cancer among men worldwide. Its etiology remains largely unknown compared to other common cancers. We have developed a risk stratification model combining environmental factors with family history and genetic susceptibility. 818 PCa cases and 1,006 healthy controls were compared. Subjects were interviewed on major lifestyle factors and family history. Fifty-six PCa susceptibility SNPs were genotyped. Risk models based on logistic regression were developed to combine environmental factors, family history and a genetic risk score. In the whole model, compared with subjects with low risk (reference category, decile 1), those carrying an intermediate risk (decile 5) had a 265% increase in PCa risk (OR = 3.65, 95% CI 2.26 to 5.91). The genetic risk score had an area under the ROC curve (AUROC) of 0.66 (95% CI 0.63 to 0.68). When adding the environmental score and family history to the genetic risk score, the AUROC increased by 0.05, reaching 0.71 (95% CI 0.69 to 0.74). Genetic susceptibility has a stronger risk value of the prediction that modifiable risk factors. While the added value of each SNP is small, the combination of 56 SNPs adds to the predictive ability of the risk model.Inés Gómez-AceboTrinidad Dierssen-SotosPablo Fernandez-NavarroCamilo PalazuelosVíctor MorenoNuria AragonésGemma Castaño-VinyalsJose J. Jiménez-MonleónJose Luis Ruiz-CerdáBeatriz Pérez-GómezJosé Manuel Ruiz-DominguezJessica Alonso MoleroMarina PollánManolis KogevinasJavier LlorcaNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-10 (2017)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Inés Gómez-Acebo
Trinidad Dierssen-Sotos
Pablo Fernandez-Navarro
Camilo Palazuelos
Víctor Moreno
Nuria Aragonés
Gemma Castaño-Vinyals
Jose J. Jiménez-Monleón
Jose Luis Ruiz-Cerdá
Beatriz Pérez-Gómez
José Manuel Ruiz-Dominguez
Jessica Alonso Molero
Marina Pollán
Manolis Kogevinas
Javier Llorca
Risk Model for Prostate Cancer Using Environmental and Genetic Factors in the Spanish Multi-Case-Control (MCC) Study
description Abstract Prostate cancer (PCa) is the second most common cancer among men worldwide. Its etiology remains largely unknown compared to other common cancers. We have developed a risk stratification model combining environmental factors with family history and genetic susceptibility. 818 PCa cases and 1,006 healthy controls were compared. Subjects were interviewed on major lifestyle factors and family history. Fifty-six PCa susceptibility SNPs were genotyped. Risk models based on logistic regression were developed to combine environmental factors, family history and a genetic risk score. In the whole model, compared with subjects with low risk (reference category, decile 1), those carrying an intermediate risk (decile 5) had a 265% increase in PCa risk (OR = 3.65, 95% CI 2.26 to 5.91). The genetic risk score had an area under the ROC curve (AUROC) of 0.66 (95% CI 0.63 to 0.68). When adding the environmental score and family history to the genetic risk score, the AUROC increased by 0.05, reaching 0.71 (95% CI 0.69 to 0.74). Genetic susceptibility has a stronger risk value of the prediction that modifiable risk factors. While the added value of each SNP is small, the combination of 56 SNPs adds to the predictive ability of the risk model.
format article
author Inés Gómez-Acebo
Trinidad Dierssen-Sotos
Pablo Fernandez-Navarro
Camilo Palazuelos
Víctor Moreno
Nuria Aragonés
Gemma Castaño-Vinyals
Jose J. Jiménez-Monleón
Jose Luis Ruiz-Cerdá
Beatriz Pérez-Gómez
José Manuel Ruiz-Dominguez
Jessica Alonso Molero
Marina Pollán
Manolis Kogevinas
Javier Llorca
author_facet Inés Gómez-Acebo
Trinidad Dierssen-Sotos
Pablo Fernandez-Navarro
Camilo Palazuelos
Víctor Moreno
Nuria Aragonés
Gemma Castaño-Vinyals
Jose J. Jiménez-Monleón
Jose Luis Ruiz-Cerdá
Beatriz Pérez-Gómez
José Manuel Ruiz-Dominguez
Jessica Alonso Molero
Marina Pollán
Manolis Kogevinas
Javier Llorca
author_sort Inés Gómez-Acebo
title Risk Model for Prostate Cancer Using Environmental and Genetic Factors in the Spanish Multi-Case-Control (MCC) Study
title_short Risk Model for Prostate Cancer Using Environmental and Genetic Factors in the Spanish Multi-Case-Control (MCC) Study
title_full Risk Model for Prostate Cancer Using Environmental and Genetic Factors in the Spanish Multi-Case-Control (MCC) Study
title_fullStr Risk Model for Prostate Cancer Using Environmental and Genetic Factors in the Spanish Multi-Case-Control (MCC) Study
title_full_unstemmed Risk Model for Prostate Cancer Using Environmental and Genetic Factors in the Spanish Multi-Case-Control (MCC) Study
title_sort risk model for prostate cancer using environmental and genetic factors in the spanish multi-case-control (mcc) study
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2017
url https://doaj.org/article/bdc903529d5749ccb3971648fbfc08d0
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