Scenario Analysis of Changes in the Food Supply Chain

The aim of this study is to identify possible alternative scenarios in food production and consumption that would lead to a more balanced supply of locally produced food and a reduction in the environmental impact of agricultural production. The analysis of food consumption and agricultural land dis...

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Autores principales:	Jan Drofenik, Bojan Pahor, Zdravko Kravanja, Zorka Novak Pintaric
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	AIDIC Servizi S.r.l. 2021
Materias:	Chemical engineering TP155-156 Computer engineering. Computer hardware TK7885-7895
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/bde1f904ac3242329ae058e57192cc19
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:bde1f904ac3242329ae058e57192cc192021-11-15T21:47:49ZScenario Analysis of Changes in the Food Supply Chain10.3303/CET21881202283-9216https://doaj.org/article/bde1f904ac3242329ae058e57192cc192021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.cetjournal.it/index.php/cet/article/view/11913https://doaj.org/toc/2283-9216The aim of this study is to identify possible alternative scenarios in food production and consumption that would lead to a more balanced supply of locally produced food and a reduction in the environmental impact of agricultural production. The analysis of food consumption and agricultural land distribution in Slovenia showed that a significantly larger proportion of land area is used for food production for animals than for humans. Several potential changes in the distribution of agricultural land, in milk consumption and production, in the use of fertilizers and in people's eating habits towards lower consumption of red meat were identified. Analysis of the scenarios showed the potential to increase food self-sufficiency by 15 %, reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 35 %, and reduce nitrogen intake by 30 % by 2050. Reducing red meat consumption could shift intensive feed-based livestock production to grass-based production and produce more plant-based food for humans. This could increase the amount of local food and make food production less harmful to the environment. Preliminary research has shown that there are several influencing factors in the food supply chain that have conflicting effects on key food supply parameters and environmental indicators. It is therefore necessary to move towards a systematic multi-criteria optimization of the food supply chain in order to achieve the objectives of the European and national strategies on agriculture and climate change.Jan DrofenikBojan PahorZdravko KravanjaZorka Novak PintaricAIDIC Servizi S.r.l.articleChemical engineeringTP155-156Computer engineering. Computer hardwareTK7885-7895ENChemical Engineering Transactions, Vol 88 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Chemical engineering TP155-156 Computer engineering. Computer hardware TK7885-7895
spellingShingle	Chemical engineering TP155-156 Computer engineering. Computer hardware TK7885-7895 Jan Drofenik Bojan Pahor Zdravko Kravanja Zorka Novak Pintaric Scenario Analysis of Changes in the Food Supply Chain
description	The aim of this study is to identify possible alternative scenarios in food production and consumption that would lead to a more balanced supply of locally produced food and a reduction in the environmental impact of agricultural production. The analysis of food consumption and agricultural land distribution in Slovenia showed that a significantly larger proportion of land area is used for food production for animals than for humans. Several potential changes in the distribution of agricultural land, in milk consumption and production, in the use of fertilizers and in people's eating habits towards lower consumption of red meat were identified. Analysis of the scenarios showed the potential to increase food self-sufficiency by 15 %, reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 35 %, and reduce nitrogen intake by 30 % by 2050. Reducing red meat consumption could shift intensive feed-based livestock production to grass-based production and produce more plant-based food for humans. This could increase the amount of local food and make food production less harmful to the environment. Preliminary research has shown that there are several influencing factors in the food supply chain that have conflicting effects on key food supply parameters and environmental indicators. It is therefore necessary to move towards a systematic multi-criteria optimization of the food supply chain in order to achieve the objectives of the European and national strategies on agriculture and climate change.
format	article
author	Jan Drofenik Bojan Pahor Zdravko Kravanja Zorka Novak Pintaric
author_facet	Jan Drofenik Bojan Pahor Zdravko Kravanja Zorka Novak Pintaric
author_sort	Jan Drofenik
title	Scenario Analysis of Changes in the Food Supply Chain
title_short	Scenario Analysis of Changes in the Food Supply Chain
title_full	Scenario Analysis of Changes in the Food Supply Chain
title_fullStr	Scenario Analysis of Changes in the Food Supply Chain
title_full_unstemmed	Scenario Analysis of Changes in the Food Supply Chain
title_sort	scenario analysis of changes in the food supply chain
publisher	AIDIC Servizi S.r.l.
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/bde1f904ac3242329ae058e57192cc19
work_keys_str_mv	AT jandrofenik scenarioanalysisofchangesinthefoodsupplychain AT bojanpahor scenarioanalysisofchangesinthefoodsupplychain AT zdravkokravanja scenarioanalysisofchangesinthefoodsupplychain AT zorkanovakpintaric scenarioanalysisofchangesinthefoodsupplychain
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Scenario Analysis of Changes in the Food Supply Chain

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