On the predictability of infectious disease outbreaks

Forecasting of infectious disease outbreaks can inform appropriate intervention measures, but whether fundamental limits to accurate prediction exist is unclear. Here, the authors use permutation entropy as a model independent measure of predictability to study limitations across a broad set of infe...

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Autores principales:	Samuel V. Scarpino, Giovanni Petri
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2019
Materias:	Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/bedfac389c9d4a6a84ca470ab8dece0a
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:bedfac389c9d4a6a84ca470ab8dece0a2021-12-02T14:39:56ZOn the predictability of infectious disease outbreaks10.1038/s41467-019-08616-02041-1723https://doaj.org/article/bedfac389c9d4a6a84ca470ab8dece0a2019-02-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-08616-0https://doaj.org/toc/2041-1723Forecasting of infectious disease outbreaks can inform appropriate intervention measures, but whether fundamental limits to accurate prediction exist is unclear. Here, the authors use permutation entropy as a model independent measure of predictability to study limitations across a broad set of infectious diseases.Samuel V. ScarpinoGiovanni PetriNature PortfolioarticleScienceQENNature Communications, Vol 10, Iss 1, Pp 1-8 (2019)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Science Q
spellingShingle	Science Q Samuel V. Scarpino Giovanni Petri On the predictability of infectious disease outbreaks
description	Forecasting of infectious disease outbreaks can inform appropriate intervention measures, but whether fundamental limits to accurate prediction exist is unclear. Here, the authors use permutation entropy as a model independent measure of predictability to study limitations across a broad set of infectious diseases.
format	article
author	Samuel V. Scarpino Giovanni Petri
author_facet	Samuel V. Scarpino Giovanni Petri
author_sort	Samuel V. Scarpino
title	On the predictability of infectious disease outbreaks
title_short	On the predictability of infectious disease outbreaks
title_full	On the predictability of infectious disease outbreaks
title_fullStr	On the predictability of infectious disease outbreaks
title_full_unstemmed	On the predictability of infectious disease outbreaks
title_sort	on the predictability of infectious disease outbreaks
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2019
url	https://doaj.org/article/bedfac389c9d4a6a84ca470ab8dece0a
work_keys_str_mv	AT samuelvscarpino onthepredictabilityofinfectiousdiseaseoutbreaks AT giovannipetri onthepredictabilityofinfectiousdiseaseoutbreaks
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On the predictability of infectious disease outbreaks

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