Using a Random Forest Model to Predict the Location of Potential Damage on Asphalt Pavement

Potential damage, eventually demonstrated as moisture damage on inner and in-situ road structures, is the most complex problem to predict, which costs lots of money, time, and natural resources for maintenance and even leads to safety problems. Traditional linear regression analysis cannot fit well...

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Autores principales: Xiaogang Guo, Peiwen Hao
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: MDPI AG 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:bfdfe0fc29f1423283ee1341368207f52021-11-11T15:23:58ZUsing a Random Forest Model to Predict the Location of Potential Damage on Asphalt Pavement10.3390/app1121103962076-3417https://doaj.org/article/bfdfe0fc29f1423283ee1341368207f52021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/11/21/10396https://doaj.org/toc/2076-3417Potential damage, eventually demonstrated as moisture damage on inner and in-situ road structures, is the most complex problem to predict, which costs lots of money, time, and natural resources for maintenance and even leads to safety problems. Traditional linear regression analysis cannot fit well with this multi-factor task in such in-field circumstances. Random Forest (RF) is a progressive nonlinear algorithm, which can combine all relative factors to gain accurate prediction and good explanation. In this study, an RF model is constructed for the prediction of potential damage. In addition, relative variable importance is analyzed to obtain the correlations between factors and potential damage separately. The results show that, through the optimization, the model achieved a good average accuracy of 83.33%. Finally, the controlling method for moisture damage is provided by combining the traditional analysis method and the RF model. In a word, RF is a prospective method in predictions and data mining for highway engineering. Trained with effective data, it can be multifunctional and powerful to solve hard problems.Xiaogang GuoPeiwen HaoMDPI AGarticlemoisture damagerandom forestmachine learningfactor importancepredictionTechnologyTEngineering (General). Civil engineering (General)TA1-2040Biology (General)QH301-705.5PhysicsQC1-999ChemistryQD1-999ENApplied Sciences, Vol 11, Iss 10396, p 10396 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic moisture damage
random forest
machine learning
factor importance
prediction
Technology
T
Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
TA1-2040
Biology (General)
QH301-705.5
Physics
QC1-999
Chemistry
QD1-999
spellingShingle moisture damage
random forest
machine learning
factor importance
prediction
Technology
T
Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
TA1-2040
Biology (General)
QH301-705.5
Physics
QC1-999
Chemistry
QD1-999
Xiaogang Guo
Peiwen Hao
Using a Random Forest Model to Predict the Location of Potential Damage on Asphalt Pavement
description Potential damage, eventually demonstrated as moisture damage on inner and in-situ road structures, is the most complex problem to predict, which costs lots of money, time, and natural resources for maintenance and even leads to safety problems. Traditional linear regression analysis cannot fit well with this multi-factor task in such in-field circumstances. Random Forest (RF) is a progressive nonlinear algorithm, which can combine all relative factors to gain accurate prediction and good explanation. In this study, an RF model is constructed for the prediction of potential damage. In addition, relative variable importance is analyzed to obtain the correlations between factors and potential damage separately. The results show that, through the optimization, the model achieved a good average accuracy of 83.33%. Finally, the controlling method for moisture damage is provided by combining the traditional analysis method and the RF model. In a word, RF is a prospective method in predictions and data mining for highway engineering. Trained with effective data, it can be multifunctional and powerful to solve hard problems.
format article
author Xiaogang Guo
Peiwen Hao
author_facet Xiaogang Guo
Peiwen Hao
author_sort Xiaogang Guo
title Using a Random Forest Model to Predict the Location of Potential Damage on Asphalt Pavement
title_short Using a Random Forest Model to Predict the Location of Potential Damage on Asphalt Pavement
title_full Using a Random Forest Model to Predict the Location of Potential Damage on Asphalt Pavement
title_fullStr Using a Random Forest Model to Predict the Location of Potential Damage on Asphalt Pavement
title_full_unstemmed Using a Random Forest Model to Predict the Location of Potential Damage on Asphalt Pavement
title_sort using a random forest model to predict the location of potential damage on asphalt pavement
publisher MDPI AG
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/bfdfe0fc29f1423283ee1341368207f5
work_keys_str_mv AT xiaogangguo usingarandomforestmodeltopredictthelocationofpotentialdamageonasphaltpavement
AT peiwenhao usingarandomforestmodeltopredictthelocationofpotentialdamageonasphaltpavement
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