Climate change impacts on the water and groundwater resources of the Lake Tana Basin, Ethiopia

Climate change impacts on the water cycle can severely affect regions that rely on groundwater to meet their water demands in the mid- to long-term. In the Lake Tana basin, Ethiopia, discharge regimes are dominated by groundwater. We assess the impacts of climate change on the groundwater contributi...

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Autores principales: Tibebe B. Tigabu, Paul D. Wagner, Georg Hörmann, Jens Kiesel, Nicola Fohrer
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: IWA Publishing 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/c348bbcfca504255902c5e4934ec91b1
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:c348bbcfca504255902c5e4934ec91b12021-11-05T19:01:33ZClimate change impacts on the water and groundwater resources of the Lake Tana Basin, Ethiopia2040-22442408-935410.2166/wcc.2020.126https://doaj.org/article/c348bbcfca504255902c5e4934ec91b12021-08-01T00:00:00Zhttp://jwcc.iwaponline.com/content/12/5/1544https://doaj.org/toc/2040-2244https://doaj.org/toc/2408-9354Climate change impacts on the water cycle can severely affect regions that rely on groundwater to meet their water demands in the mid- to long-term. In the Lake Tana basin, Ethiopia, discharge regimes are dominated by groundwater. We assess the impacts of climate change on the groundwater contribution to streamflow (GWQ) and other major water balance components in two tributary catchments of Lake Tana. Based on an ensemble of 35 bias-corrected regional climate models and a hydrologic catchment model, likely changes under two representative concentration pathways (RCP4.5 and 8.5) are assessed. No or only slight changes in rainfall depth are expected, but the number of rainy days is expected to decrease. Compared to the baseline average, GWQ is projected to decrease whereas surface runoff is projected to increase. Hence, rainfall trends alone are not revealing future water availability and may even be misleading, if regions rely heavily on groundwater. HIGHLIGHTS Change in the rainfall intensity affects the availability of groundwater in a catchment.; Rainfall projections from different global and regional climate models show disparities among each other.; The projected actual evapotranspiration is expected to decrease in the future for the study region due to less water availability.;Tibebe B. TigabuPaul D. WagnerGeorg HörmannJens KieselNicola FohrerIWA Publishingarticleclimate changeethiopiagroundwatersurface runoffswatwater balanceEnvironmental technology. Sanitary engineeringTD1-1066Environmental sciencesGE1-350ENJournal of Water and Climate Change, Vol 12, Iss 5, Pp 1544-1563 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic climate change
ethiopia
groundwater
surface runoff
swat
water balance
Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
TD1-1066
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
spellingShingle climate change
ethiopia
groundwater
surface runoff
swat
water balance
Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
TD1-1066
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
Tibebe B. Tigabu
Paul D. Wagner
Georg Hörmann
Jens Kiesel
Nicola Fohrer
Climate change impacts on the water and groundwater resources of the Lake Tana Basin, Ethiopia
description Climate change impacts on the water cycle can severely affect regions that rely on groundwater to meet their water demands in the mid- to long-term. In the Lake Tana basin, Ethiopia, discharge regimes are dominated by groundwater. We assess the impacts of climate change on the groundwater contribution to streamflow (GWQ) and other major water balance components in two tributary catchments of Lake Tana. Based on an ensemble of 35 bias-corrected regional climate models and a hydrologic catchment model, likely changes under two representative concentration pathways (RCP4.5 and 8.5) are assessed. No or only slight changes in rainfall depth are expected, but the number of rainy days is expected to decrease. Compared to the baseline average, GWQ is projected to decrease whereas surface runoff is projected to increase. Hence, rainfall trends alone are not revealing future water availability and may even be misleading, if regions rely heavily on groundwater. HIGHLIGHTS Change in the rainfall intensity affects the availability of groundwater in a catchment.; Rainfall projections from different global and regional climate models show disparities among each other.; The projected actual evapotranspiration is expected to decrease in the future for the study region due to less water availability.;
format article
author Tibebe B. Tigabu
Paul D. Wagner
Georg Hörmann
Jens Kiesel
Nicola Fohrer
author_facet Tibebe B. Tigabu
Paul D. Wagner
Georg Hörmann
Jens Kiesel
Nicola Fohrer
author_sort Tibebe B. Tigabu
title Climate change impacts on the water and groundwater resources of the Lake Tana Basin, Ethiopia
title_short Climate change impacts on the water and groundwater resources of the Lake Tana Basin, Ethiopia
title_full Climate change impacts on the water and groundwater resources of the Lake Tana Basin, Ethiopia
title_fullStr Climate change impacts on the water and groundwater resources of the Lake Tana Basin, Ethiopia
title_full_unstemmed Climate change impacts on the water and groundwater resources of the Lake Tana Basin, Ethiopia
title_sort climate change impacts on the water and groundwater resources of the lake tana basin, ethiopia
publisher IWA Publishing
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/c348bbcfca504255902c5e4934ec91b1
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AT pauldwagner climatechangeimpactsonthewaterandgroundwaterresourcesofthelaketanabasinethiopia
AT georghormann climatechangeimpactsonthewaterandgroundwaterresourcesofthelaketanabasinethiopia
AT jenskiesel climatechangeimpactsonthewaterandgroundwaterresourcesofthelaketanabasinethiopia
AT nicolafohrer climatechangeimpactsonthewaterandgroundwaterresourcesofthelaketanabasinethiopia
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