Wheat yield convergence and its driving factors in countries along the Belt and Road

Improving the wheat yield of countries along the Belt and Road (BR) plays a core role in ensuring global food security. However, little attention has been paid to the wheat yield variation and the determinants across these countries. This paper analyzes wheat yield convergence in countries along the...

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Autores principales: Xiaoheng Zhang, Zhina Wang, Ping Qing, Dieter Koemle, Xiaohua Yu
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Taylor & Francis Group 2020
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:c6495c4fd28c4f99bee00b69e03460962021-12-02T16:25:31ZWheat yield convergence and its driving factors in countries along the Belt and Road2332-887810.1080/20964129.2020.1819168https://doaj.org/article/c6495c4fd28c4f99bee00b69e03460962020-12-01T00:00:00Zhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1080/20964129.2020.1819168https://doaj.org/toc/2332-8878Improving the wheat yield of countries along the Belt and Road (BR) plays a core role in ensuring global food security. However, little attention has been paid to the wheat yield variation and the determinants across these countries. This paper analyzes wheat yield convergence in countries along the BR using the club-convergence test. The empirical results show that instead of one convergence for all countries along the BR, the wheat yields are converging into three clubs. Furthermore, we investigate the impact of climate change and agricultural production technology on wheat yield convergence, and find that countries along the BR with a one degree Celsius increase in temperature are 36.5% (32.7%) more likely to converge to the high-level yield club. This may be related to the lower frequency of frost and higher photosynthetic capacity of wheat. We also find that a one kilogram increase in fertilizer application per hectare will result in a 0.4% (0.5%) higher probability of countries along the BR converging to the high-level yield club. Countries along the BR should pay more attention to coordinating production technologies and climate change to ensure food security.Xiaoheng ZhangZhina WangPing QingDieter KoemleXiaohua YuTaylor & Francis Grouparticleclub convergencecountries along the brwheat yieldtemperatureintensity of fertilizer useEcologyQH540-549.5ENEcosystem Health and Sustainability, Vol 6, Iss 1 (2020)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic club convergence
countries along the br
wheat yield
temperature
intensity of fertilizer use
Ecology
QH540-549.5
spellingShingle club convergence
countries along the br
wheat yield
temperature
intensity of fertilizer use
Ecology
QH540-549.5
Xiaoheng Zhang
Zhina Wang
Ping Qing
Dieter Koemle
Xiaohua Yu
Wheat yield convergence and its driving factors in countries along the Belt and Road
description Improving the wheat yield of countries along the Belt and Road (BR) plays a core role in ensuring global food security. However, little attention has been paid to the wheat yield variation and the determinants across these countries. This paper analyzes wheat yield convergence in countries along the BR using the club-convergence test. The empirical results show that instead of one convergence for all countries along the BR, the wheat yields are converging into three clubs. Furthermore, we investigate the impact of climate change and agricultural production technology on wheat yield convergence, and find that countries along the BR with a one degree Celsius increase in temperature are 36.5% (32.7%) more likely to converge to the high-level yield club. This may be related to the lower frequency of frost and higher photosynthetic capacity of wheat. We also find that a one kilogram increase in fertilizer application per hectare will result in a 0.4% (0.5%) higher probability of countries along the BR converging to the high-level yield club. Countries along the BR should pay more attention to coordinating production technologies and climate change to ensure food security.
format article
author Xiaoheng Zhang
Zhina Wang
Ping Qing
Dieter Koemle
Xiaohua Yu
author_facet Xiaoheng Zhang
Zhina Wang
Ping Qing
Dieter Koemle
Xiaohua Yu
author_sort Xiaoheng Zhang
title Wheat yield convergence and its driving factors in countries along the Belt and Road
title_short Wheat yield convergence and its driving factors in countries along the Belt and Road
title_full Wheat yield convergence and its driving factors in countries along the Belt and Road
title_fullStr Wheat yield convergence and its driving factors in countries along the Belt and Road
title_full_unstemmed Wheat yield convergence and its driving factors in countries along the Belt and Road
title_sort wheat yield convergence and its driving factors in countries along the belt and road
publisher Taylor & Francis Group
publishDate 2020
url https://doaj.org/article/c6495c4fd28c4f99bee00b69e0346096
work_keys_str_mv AT xiaohengzhang wheatyieldconvergenceanditsdrivingfactorsincountriesalongthebeltandroad
AT zhinawang wheatyieldconvergenceanditsdrivingfactorsincountriesalongthebeltandroad
AT pingqing wheatyieldconvergenceanditsdrivingfactorsincountriesalongthebeltandroad
AT dieterkoemle wheatyieldconvergenceanditsdrivingfactorsincountriesalongthebeltandroad
AT xiaohuayu wheatyieldconvergenceanditsdrivingfactorsincountriesalongthebeltandroad
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