Trade-offs between individual and ensemble forecasts of an emerging infectious disease
Newly emerged pathogens are inherently difficult to forecast, due to many unknowns about their biology early in an epidemic. Here, the authors assess forecasts of a suite of models during the Zika epidemic in Colombia, finding that the models that performed best changed over the course of the epidem...
Guardado en:
Autores principales: | Rachel J. Oidtman, Elisa Omodei, Moritz U. G. Kraemer, Carlos A. Castañeda-Orjuela, Erica Cruz-Rivera, Sandra Misnaza-Castrillón, Myriam Patricia Cifuentes, Luz Emilse Rincon, Viviana Cañon, Pedro de Alarcon, Guido España, John H. Huber, Sarah C. Hill, Christopher M. Barker, Michael A. Johansson, Carrie A. Manore, Robert C. Reiner, Jr., Isabel Rodriguez-Barraquer, Amir S. Siraj, Enrique Frias-Martinez, Manuel García-Herranz, T. Alex Perkins |
---|---|
Formato: | article |
Lenguaje: | EN |
Publicado: |
Nature Portfolio
2021
|
Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://doaj.org/article/c817814baca3456fbcbefb36156a6489 |
Etiquetas: |
Agregar Etiqueta
Sin Etiquetas, Sea el primero en etiquetar este registro!
|
Ejemplares similares
-
Inter-annual variation in seasonal dengue epidemics driven by multiple interacting factors in Guangzhou, China
por: Rachel J. Oidtman, et al.
Publicado: (2019) -
Direct Approach or Detour: A Comparative Model of Inhibition and Neural Ensemble Size in Behavior Selection
por: Trond A. Tjøstheim, et al.
Publicado: (2021) -
Politische Ökonomie von Wirtschaftsreformen, Mexiko 1982-1994 /
por: Kraemer, Moritz
Publicado: (1997) -
Inferring general relations between network characteristics from specific network ensembles.
por: Stefano Cardanobile, et al.
Publicado: (2012) -
Vilatta, Emilia. "Atribución intencional en casos de esquizofrenia: una perspectiva davidsoniana." Tópicos. Revista de Filosofía 53 (2017): 11-49.
por: ANDRÉS CAMILO MISNAZA
Publicado: (2018)