Banking stock price movement and macroeconomic indicators: k-means clustering approach

This study investigates the price movement characteristics of banking issuers listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange with macroeconomic indicators as an exogenous variable. By using the k-means clustering based on the monthly rate of return, banks are classified into three clusters, lower, middle, a...

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Autores principales: Idah Zuhroh, Mochamad Rofik, Abdelghani Echchabi
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Taylor & Francis Group 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/c891916058c24f3199d6214c35dbe53b
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:c891916058c24f3199d6214c35dbe53b2021-12-02T17:40:50ZBanking stock price movement and macroeconomic indicators: k-means clustering approach2331-197510.1080/23311975.2021.1980247https://doaj.org/article/c891916058c24f3199d6214c35dbe53b2021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2021.1980247https://doaj.org/toc/2331-1975This study investigates the price movement characteristics of banking issuers listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange with macroeconomic indicators as an exogenous variable. By using the k-means clustering based on the monthly rate of return, banks are classified into three clusters, lower, middle, and upper clusters, with a cluster rank directly proportional to the average rate of return. Furthermore, each cluster formed is estimated using dynamic panel data regression with the generalized method of moment. This study shows that the price of banking issuers in the middle cluster is more reactive in dealing with interest rates and exchange rates. At the same time, the highest inflation coefficient exists in the upper cluster. The higher beta coefficient creates abnormal returns that allow for higher gains and line with the risk level. Meanwhile, the price effect in the previous period proved to be in line with the cluster level, indicating that higher clusters are more resilient. Therefore, referring to the possibility of abnormal returns and resilience to uncertainty, this study concludes that issuers in the middle cluster are more suitable for a short-term investment, while issuers in the upper cluster are for the long-term.Idah ZuhrohMochamad RofikAbdelghani EchchabiTaylor & Francis Grouparticlebanking stock pricemacroeconomicstock returnk-means clusteringBusinessHF5001-6182Management. Industrial managementHD28-70ENCogent Business & Management, Vol 8, Iss 1 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic banking stock price
macroeconomic
stock return
k-means clustering
Business
HF5001-6182
Management. Industrial management
HD28-70
spellingShingle banking stock price
macroeconomic
stock return
k-means clustering
Business
HF5001-6182
Management. Industrial management
HD28-70
Idah Zuhroh
Mochamad Rofik
Abdelghani Echchabi
Banking stock price movement and macroeconomic indicators: k-means clustering approach
description This study investigates the price movement characteristics of banking issuers listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange with macroeconomic indicators as an exogenous variable. By using the k-means clustering based on the monthly rate of return, banks are classified into three clusters, lower, middle, and upper clusters, with a cluster rank directly proportional to the average rate of return. Furthermore, each cluster formed is estimated using dynamic panel data regression with the generalized method of moment. This study shows that the price of banking issuers in the middle cluster is more reactive in dealing with interest rates and exchange rates. At the same time, the highest inflation coefficient exists in the upper cluster. The higher beta coefficient creates abnormal returns that allow for higher gains and line with the risk level. Meanwhile, the price effect in the previous period proved to be in line with the cluster level, indicating that higher clusters are more resilient. Therefore, referring to the possibility of abnormal returns and resilience to uncertainty, this study concludes that issuers in the middle cluster are more suitable for a short-term investment, while issuers in the upper cluster are for the long-term.
format article
author Idah Zuhroh
Mochamad Rofik
Abdelghani Echchabi
author_facet Idah Zuhroh
Mochamad Rofik
Abdelghani Echchabi
author_sort Idah Zuhroh
title Banking stock price movement and macroeconomic indicators: k-means clustering approach
title_short Banking stock price movement and macroeconomic indicators: k-means clustering approach
title_full Banking stock price movement and macroeconomic indicators: k-means clustering approach
title_fullStr Banking stock price movement and macroeconomic indicators: k-means clustering approach
title_full_unstemmed Banking stock price movement and macroeconomic indicators: k-means clustering approach
title_sort banking stock price movement and macroeconomic indicators: k-means clustering approach
publisher Taylor & Francis Group
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/c891916058c24f3199d6214c35dbe53b
work_keys_str_mv AT idahzuhroh bankingstockpricemovementandmacroeconomicindicatorskmeansclusteringapproach
AT mochamadrofik bankingstockpricemovementandmacroeconomicindicatorskmeansclusteringapproach
AT abdelghaniechchabi bankingstockpricemovementandmacroeconomicindicatorskmeansclusteringapproach
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