Inferring causation from time series in Earth system sciences

Questions of causality are ubiquitous in Earth system sciences and beyond, yet correlation techniques still prevail. This Perspective provides an overview of causal inference methods, identifies promising applications and methodological challenges, and initiates a causality benchmark platform.

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Autores principales: Jakob Runge, Sebastian Bathiany, Erik Bollt, Gustau Camps-Valls, Dim Coumou, Ethan Deyle, Clark Glymour, Marlene Kretschmer, Miguel D. Mahecha, Jordi Muñoz-Marí, Egbert H. van Nes, Jonas Peters, Rick Quax, Markus Reichstein, Marten Scheffer, Bernhard Schölkopf, Peter Spirtes, George Sugihara, Jie Sun, Kun Zhang, Jakob Zscheischler
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2019
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/c9cb78b8c1d74e3fbd7d14afb1c5eee7
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:c9cb78b8c1d74e3fbd7d14afb1c5eee72021-12-02T14:40:17ZInferring causation from time series in Earth system sciences10.1038/s41467-019-10105-32041-1723https://doaj.org/article/c9cb78b8c1d74e3fbd7d14afb1c5eee72019-06-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-10105-3https://doaj.org/toc/2041-1723Questions of causality are ubiquitous in Earth system sciences and beyond, yet correlation techniques still prevail. This Perspective provides an overview of causal inference methods, identifies promising applications and methodological challenges, and initiates a causality benchmark platform.Jakob RungeSebastian BathianyErik BolltGustau Camps-VallsDim CoumouEthan DeyleClark GlymourMarlene KretschmerMiguel D. MahechaJordi Muñoz-MaríEgbert H. van NesJonas PetersRick QuaxMarkus ReichsteinMarten SchefferBernhard SchölkopfPeter SpirtesGeorge SugiharaJie SunKun ZhangJakob ZscheischlerNature PortfolioarticleScienceQENNature Communications, Vol 10, Iss 1, Pp 1-13 (2019)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Science
Q
spellingShingle Science
Q
Jakob Runge
Sebastian Bathiany
Erik Bollt
Gustau Camps-Valls
Dim Coumou
Ethan Deyle
Clark Glymour
Marlene Kretschmer
Miguel D. Mahecha
Jordi Muñoz-Marí
Egbert H. van Nes
Jonas Peters
Rick Quax
Markus Reichstein
Marten Scheffer
Bernhard Schölkopf
Peter Spirtes
George Sugihara
Jie Sun
Kun Zhang
Jakob Zscheischler
Inferring causation from time series in Earth system sciences
description Questions of causality are ubiquitous in Earth system sciences and beyond, yet correlation techniques still prevail. This Perspective provides an overview of causal inference methods, identifies promising applications and methodological challenges, and initiates a causality benchmark platform.
format article
author Jakob Runge
Sebastian Bathiany
Erik Bollt
Gustau Camps-Valls
Dim Coumou
Ethan Deyle
Clark Glymour
Marlene Kretschmer
Miguel D. Mahecha
Jordi Muñoz-Marí
Egbert H. van Nes
Jonas Peters
Rick Quax
Markus Reichstein
Marten Scheffer
Bernhard Schölkopf
Peter Spirtes
George Sugihara
Jie Sun
Kun Zhang
Jakob Zscheischler
author_facet Jakob Runge
Sebastian Bathiany
Erik Bollt
Gustau Camps-Valls
Dim Coumou
Ethan Deyle
Clark Glymour
Marlene Kretschmer
Miguel D. Mahecha
Jordi Muñoz-Marí
Egbert H. van Nes
Jonas Peters
Rick Quax
Markus Reichstein
Marten Scheffer
Bernhard Schölkopf
Peter Spirtes
George Sugihara
Jie Sun
Kun Zhang
Jakob Zscheischler
author_sort Jakob Runge
title Inferring causation from time series in Earth system sciences
title_short Inferring causation from time series in Earth system sciences
title_full Inferring causation from time series in Earth system sciences
title_fullStr Inferring causation from time series in Earth system sciences
title_full_unstemmed Inferring causation from time series in Earth system sciences
title_sort inferring causation from time series in earth system sciences
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2019
url https://doaj.org/article/c9cb78b8c1d74e3fbd7d14afb1c5eee7
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