Prediction model for early graft failure after liver transplantation using aspartate aminotransferase, total bilirubin and coagulation factor

Abstract This study was designed to build models predicting early graft failure after liver transplantation. Cox regression model for predicting early graft failure after liver transplantation using post-transplantation aspartate aminotransferase, total bilirubin, and international normalized ratio...

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Autores principales: Jinsoo Rhu, Jong Man Kim, Kyunga Kim, Heejin Yoo, Gyu-Seong Choi, Jae-Won Joh
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Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:ca33fcedf3684d00b0ffa4012b88638f2021-12-02T16:04:18ZPrediction model for early graft failure after liver transplantation using aspartate aminotransferase, total bilirubin and coagulation factor10.1038/s41598-021-92298-62045-2322https://doaj.org/article/ca33fcedf3684d00b0ffa4012b88638f2021-06-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-92298-6https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract This study was designed to build models predicting early graft failure after liver transplantation. Cox regression model for predicting early graft failure after liver transplantation using post-transplantation aspartate aminotransferase, total bilirubin, and international normalized ratio of prothrombin time was constructed based on data from both living donor (n = 1153) and deceased donor (n = 359) liver transplantation performed during 2004 to 2018. The model was compared with Model for Early Allograft Function Scoring (MEAF) and early allograft dysfunction (EAD) with their C-index and time-dependent area-under-curve (AUC). The C-index of the model for living donor (0.73, CI = 0.67–0.79) was significantly higher compared to those of both MEAF (0.69, P = 0.03) and EAD (0.66, P = 0.001) while C-index for deceased donor (0.74, CI = 0.65–0.83) was only significantly higher compared to C-index of EAD. (0.66, P = 0.002) Time-dependent AUC at 2 weeks of living donor (0.96, CI = 0.91–1.00) and deceased donor (0.98, CI = 0.96–1.00) were significantly higher compared to those of EAD. (both 0.83, P < 0.001 for living donor and deceased donor) Time-dependent AUC at 4 weeks of living donor (0.93, CI = 0.86–0.99) was significantly higher compared to those of both MEAF (0.87, P = 0.02) and EAD. (0.84, P = 0.02) Time-dependent AUC at 4 weeks of deceased donor (0.94, CI = 0.89–1.00) was significantly higher compared to both MEAF (0.82, P = 0.02) and EAD. (0.81, P < 0.001). The prediction model for early graft failure after liver transplantation showed high predictability and validity with higher predictability compared to traditional models for both living donor and deceased donor liver transplantation.Jinsoo RhuJong Man KimKyunga KimHeejin YooGyu-Seong ChoiJae-Won JohNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Jinsoo Rhu
Jong Man Kim
Kyunga Kim
Heejin Yoo
Gyu-Seong Choi
Jae-Won Joh
Prediction model for early graft failure after liver transplantation using aspartate aminotransferase, total bilirubin and coagulation factor
description Abstract This study was designed to build models predicting early graft failure after liver transplantation. Cox regression model for predicting early graft failure after liver transplantation using post-transplantation aspartate aminotransferase, total bilirubin, and international normalized ratio of prothrombin time was constructed based on data from both living donor (n = 1153) and deceased donor (n = 359) liver transplantation performed during 2004 to 2018. The model was compared with Model for Early Allograft Function Scoring (MEAF) and early allograft dysfunction (EAD) with their C-index and time-dependent area-under-curve (AUC). The C-index of the model for living donor (0.73, CI = 0.67–0.79) was significantly higher compared to those of both MEAF (0.69, P = 0.03) and EAD (0.66, P = 0.001) while C-index for deceased donor (0.74, CI = 0.65–0.83) was only significantly higher compared to C-index of EAD. (0.66, P = 0.002) Time-dependent AUC at 2 weeks of living donor (0.96, CI = 0.91–1.00) and deceased donor (0.98, CI = 0.96–1.00) were significantly higher compared to those of EAD. (both 0.83, P < 0.001 for living donor and deceased donor) Time-dependent AUC at 4 weeks of living donor (0.93, CI = 0.86–0.99) was significantly higher compared to those of both MEAF (0.87, P = 0.02) and EAD. (0.84, P = 0.02) Time-dependent AUC at 4 weeks of deceased donor (0.94, CI = 0.89–1.00) was significantly higher compared to both MEAF (0.82, P = 0.02) and EAD. (0.81, P < 0.001). The prediction model for early graft failure after liver transplantation showed high predictability and validity with higher predictability compared to traditional models for both living donor and deceased donor liver transplantation.
format article
author Jinsoo Rhu
Jong Man Kim
Kyunga Kim
Heejin Yoo
Gyu-Seong Choi
Jae-Won Joh
author_facet Jinsoo Rhu
Jong Man Kim
Kyunga Kim
Heejin Yoo
Gyu-Seong Choi
Jae-Won Joh
author_sort Jinsoo Rhu
title Prediction model for early graft failure after liver transplantation using aspartate aminotransferase, total bilirubin and coagulation factor
title_short Prediction model for early graft failure after liver transplantation using aspartate aminotransferase, total bilirubin and coagulation factor
title_full Prediction model for early graft failure after liver transplantation using aspartate aminotransferase, total bilirubin and coagulation factor
title_fullStr Prediction model for early graft failure after liver transplantation using aspartate aminotransferase, total bilirubin and coagulation factor
title_full_unstemmed Prediction model for early graft failure after liver transplantation using aspartate aminotransferase, total bilirubin and coagulation factor
title_sort prediction model for early graft failure after liver transplantation using aspartate aminotransferase, total bilirubin and coagulation factor
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/ca33fcedf3684d00b0ffa4012b88638f
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