Channel morphology and prediction of mid-line channel migration in the reach of Ganga River using GIS and ARIMA modeling during 1975–2020

The dynamic nature of meandering poses several challenges in a river. The river Ganga shows severe bank erosion in many of its stretches which creates insecurity to the habitats. In the present study, channel morphology and lateral mid-line migration for 1975 to 2020 in 5 years intervals have been s...

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Autores principales: Rajnish Kumar Verma, Kumar Ashwini, Ajai Singh
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: IWA Publishing 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:ca701d72b42e4cf5837973328de45b242021-11-08T07:59:19ZChannel morphology and prediction of mid-line channel migration in the reach of Ganga River using GIS and ARIMA modeling during 1975–20202616-651810.2166/h2oj.2021.124https://doaj.org/article/ca701d72b42e4cf5837973328de45b242021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttp://doi.org/10.2166/h2oj.2021.124https://doaj.org/toc/2616-6518The dynamic nature of meandering poses several challenges in a river. The river Ganga shows severe bank erosion in many of its stretches which creates insecurity to the habitats. In the present study, channel morphology and lateral mid-line migration for 1975 to 2020 in 5 years intervals have been studied. The prediction of lateral mid-line migration from 2020 to 2050 by using multi-temporal Landsat satellite images was made by using the ARIMA model. The river reach was divided into 8 bends and 48 cross-sections were identified. The channel length was observed as 224.35 km in 1975 which reduces to 199.96 km in 2020. A decreasing trend was observed for the mean of channel length and meander ratio, and an increasing trend was noted in the mean of sinuosity ratio and tortuosity ratio. A total of 11 cross-sections showed the rightward shifting and 36 cross-sections showed the leftward shifting. Observed and predicted values showed a good R2 value of 0.90 and 0.89 at CS-24 and CS-25, respectively. The results may be used for planning and management of various river training work and understanding the river system dynamics. HIGHLIGHTS To investigate the variations in river morphometric parameters of the river Ganga.; Prediction of centerline channel shifting in the middle part of river Ganga from 1975 to 2050.; Outcome of the proposed research will definitely help the government in decision making, management and implementation of future projects.;Rajnish Kumar VermaKumar AshwiniAjai SinghIWA Publishingarticlearima modelchannel morphologyganga rivergis and remote sensinglateral mid-line channel shiftingRiver, lake, and water-supply engineering (General)TC401-506Water supply for domestic and industrial purposesTD201-500ENH2Open Journal, Vol 4, Iss 1, Pp 321-335 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic arima model
channel morphology
ganga river
gis and remote sensing
lateral mid-line channel shifting
River, lake, and water-supply engineering (General)
TC401-506
Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes
TD201-500
spellingShingle arima model
channel morphology
ganga river
gis and remote sensing
lateral mid-line channel shifting
River, lake, and water-supply engineering (General)
TC401-506
Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes
TD201-500
Rajnish Kumar Verma
Kumar Ashwini
Ajai Singh
Channel morphology and prediction of mid-line channel migration in the reach of Ganga River using GIS and ARIMA modeling during 1975–2020
description The dynamic nature of meandering poses several challenges in a river. The river Ganga shows severe bank erosion in many of its stretches which creates insecurity to the habitats. In the present study, channel morphology and lateral mid-line migration for 1975 to 2020 in 5 years intervals have been studied. The prediction of lateral mid-line migration from 2020 to 2050 by using multi-temporal Landsat satellite images was made by using the ARIMA model. The river reach was divided into 8 bends and 48 cross-sections were identified. The channel length was observed as 224.35 km in 1975 which reduces to 199.96 km in 2020. A decreasing trend was observed for the mean of channel length and meander ratio, and an increasing trend was noted in the mean of sinuosity ratio and tortuosity ratio. A total of 11 cross-sections showed the rightward shifting and 36 cross-sections showed the leftward shifting. Observed and predicted values showed a good R2 value of 0.90 and 0.89 at CS-24 and CS-25, respectively. The results may be used for planning and management of various river training work and understanding the river system dynamics. HIGHLIGHTS To investigate the variations in river morphometric parameters of the river Ganga.; Prediction of centerline channel shifting in the middle part of river Ganga from 1975 to 2050.; Outcome of the proposed research will definitely help the government in decision making, management and implementation of future projects.;
format article
author Rajnish Kumar Verma
Kumar Ashwini
Ajai Singh
author_facet Rajnish Kumar Verma
Kumar Ashwini
Ajai Singh
author_sort Rajnish Kumar Verma
title Channel morphology and prediction of mid-line channel migration in the reach of Ganga River using GIS and ARIMA modeling during 1975–2020
title_short Channel morphology and prediction of mid-line channel migration in the reach of Ganga River using GIS and ARIMA modeling during 1975–2020
title_full Channel morphology and prediction of mid-line channel migration in the reach of Ganga River using GIS and ARIMA modeling during 1975–2020
title_fullStr Channel morphology and prediction of mid-line channel migration in the reach of Ganga River using GIS and ARIMA modeling during 1975–2020
title_full_unstemmed Channel morphology and prediction of mid-line channel migration in the reach of Ganga River using GIS and ARIMA modeling during 1975–2020
title_sort channel morphology and prediction of mid-line channel migration in the reach of ganga river using gis and arima modeling during 1975–2020
publisher IWA Publishing
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/ca701d72b42e4cf5837973328de45b24
work_keys_str_mv AT rajnishkumarverma channelmorphologyandpredictionofmidlinechannelmigrationinthereachofgangariverusinggisandarimamodelingduring19752020
AT kumarashwini channelmorphologyandpredictionofmidlinechannelmigrationinthereachofgangariverusinggisandarimamodelingduring19752020
AT ajaisingh channelmorphologyandpredictionofmidlinechannelmigrationinthereachofgangariverusinggisandarimamodelingduring19752020
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