More accurate quantification of model-to-model agreement in externally forced climatic responses over the coming century

Uncertainty in estimates of future climate arises not only from internal variability, but also from model-to-model differences. Here, the authors use a new set of single model initial-condition large ensembles to quantify the contribution of model differences to the overall uncertainty in temperatur...

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Autores principales: Nicola Maher, Scott B. Power, Jochem Marotzke
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/cb1ace9d745a46b2b5f0f0bf2ad9b4c4
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Sumario:Uncertainty in estimates of future climate arises not only from internal variability, but also from model-to-model differences. Here, the authors use a new set of single model initial-condition large ensembles to quantify the contribution of model differences to the overall uncertainty in temperature and precipitation projections.