More accurate quantification of model-to-model agreement in externally forced climatic responses over the coming century
Uncertainty in estimates of future climate arises not only from internal variability, but also from model-to-model differences. Here, the authors use a new set of single model initial-condition large ensembles to quantify the contribution of model differences to the overall uncertainty in temperatur...
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Nature Portfolio
2021
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oai:doaj.org-article:cb1ace9d745a46b2b5f0f0bf2ad9b4c42021-12-02T14:06:23ZMore accurate quantification of model-to-model agreement in externally forced climatic responses over the coming century10.1038/s41467-020-20635-w2041-1723https://doaj.org/article/cb1ace9d745a46b2b5f0f0bf2ad9b4c42021-02-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-20635-whttps://doaj.org/toc/2041-1723Uncertainty in estimates of future climate arises not only from internal variability, but also from model-to-model differences. Here, the authors use a new set of single model initial-condition large ensembles to quantify the contribution of model differences to the overall uncertainty in temperature and precipitation projections.Nicola MaherScott B. PowerJochem MarotzkeNature PortfolioarticleScienceQENNature Communications, Vol 12, Iss 1, Pp 1-13 (2021) |
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Science Q Nicola Maher Scott B. Power Jochem Marotzke More accurate quantification of model-to-model agreement in externally forced climatic responses over the coming century |
description |
Uncertainty in estimates of future climate arises not only from internal variability, but also from model-to-model differences. Here, the authors use a new set of single model initial-condition large ensembles to quantify the contribution of model differences to the overall uncertainty in temperature and precipitation projections. |
format |
article |
author |
Nicola Maher Scott B. Power Jochem Marotzke |
author_facet |
Nicola Maher Scott B. Power Jochem Marotzke |
author_sort |
Nicola Maher |
title |
More accurate quantification of model-to-model agreement in externally forced climatic responses over the coming century |
title_short |
More accurate quantification of model-to-model agreement in externally forced climatic responses over the coming century |
title_full |
More accurate quantification of model-to-model agreement in externally forced climatic responses over the coming century |
title_fullStr |
More accurate quantification of model-to-model agreement in externally forced climatic responses over the coming century |
title_full_unstemmed |
More accurate quantification of model-to-model agreement in externally forced climatic responses over the coming century |
title_sort |
more accurate quantification of model-to-model agreement in externally forced climatic responses over the coming century |
publisher |
Nature Portfolio |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/cb1ace9d745a46b2b5f0f0bf2ad9b4c4 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT nicolamaher moreaccuratequantificationofmodeltomodelagreementinexternallyforcedclimaticresponsesoverthecomingcentury AT scottbpower moreaccuratequantificationofmodeltomodelagreementinexternallyforcedclimaticresponsesoverthecomingcentury AT jochemmarotzke moreaccuratequantificationofmodeltomodelagreementinexternallyforcedclimaticresponsesoverthecomingcentury |
_version_ |
1718392049960484864 |