Validation spatiale de deux modèles de simulation : l’exemple des plantations industrielles au Chili

Since the end of the 1980s, the commune of San Juan de la Costa (province of Osorno – 10th region of Los Lagos), is experiencing a remarkable expansion of pine and eucalyptus plantations. This afforestation is at the root of many environmental and social disturbances in an area considered as a hotsp...

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Autores principales: Nicolas Maestripieri, Martin Paegelow
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Publicado: Unité Mixte de Recherche 8504 Géographie-cités 2013
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/ccf3d09b1f1344b28bf3601a9c71ae7d
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:ccf3d09b1f1344b28bf3601a9c71ae7d2021-12-02T11:18:46ZValidation spatiale de deux modèles de simulation : l’exemple des plantations industrielles au Chili1278-336610.4000/cybergeo.26042https://doaj.org/article/ccf3d09b1f1344b28bf3601a9c71ae7d2013-09-01T00:00:00Zhttp://journals.openedition.org/cybergeo/26042https://doaj.org/toc/1278-3366Since the end of the 1980s, the commune of San Juan de la Costa (province of Osorno – 10th region of Los Lagos), is experiencing a remarkable expansion of pine and eucalyptus plantations. This afforestation is at the root of many environmental and social disturbances in an area considered as a hotspot for biodiversity. If the Land Use and Land Cover Change (LUCC) processes are widely known, the native forests areas likely to be converted into industrial plantations remain unknown. The following article focuses on the spatial validation of two simulation models in order to suggest prospective interpretations based on a supervised approach (Markov chain coupled with a multi-criteria evaluation) and an automatic approach (multilayer neural network). Both models are built on the knowledge of past dynamics thanks to the diachronic analysis of three satellite images LANDSAT (1986-1999-2008).Nicolas MaestripieriMartin PaegelowUnité Mixte de Recherche 8504 Géographie-citésarticlespatially explicit modelsindustrial plantationscellular automataLand Change ModelervalidationprospectiveGeography (General)G1-922DEENFRITPTCybergeo (2013)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language DE
EN
FR
IT
PT
topic spatially explicit models
industrial plantations
cellular automata
Land Change Modeler
validation
prospective
Geography (General)
G1-922
spellingShingle spatially explicit models
industrial plantations
cellular automata
Land Change Modeler
validation
prospective
Geography (General)
G1-922
Nicolas Maestripieri
Martin Paegelow
Validation spatiale de deux modèles de simulation : l’exemple des plantations industrielles au Chili
description Since the end of the 1980s, the commune of San Juan de la Costa (province of Osorno – 10th region of Los Lagos), is experiencing a remarkable expansion of pine and eucalyptus plantations. This afforestation is at the root of many environmental and social disturbances in an area considered as a hotspot for biodiversity. If the Land Use and Land Cover Change (LUCC) processes are widely known, the native forests areas likely to be converted into industrial plantations remain unknown. The following article focuses on the spatial validation of two simulation models in order to suggest prospective interpretations based on a supervised approach (Markov chain coupled with a multi-criteria evaluation) and an automatic approach (multilayer neural network). Both models are built on the knowledge of past dynamics thanks to the diachronic analysis of three satellite images LANDSAT (1986-1999-2008).
format article
author Nicolas Maestripieri
Martin Paegelow
author_facet Nicolas Maestripieri
Martin Paegelow
author_sort Nicolas Maestripieri
title Validation spatiale de deux modèles de simulation : l’exemple des plantations industrielles au Chili
title_short Validation spatiale de deux modèles de simulation : l’exemple des plantations industrielles au Chili
title_full Validation spatiale de deux modèles de simulation : l’exemple des plantations industrielles au Chili
title_fullStr Validation spatiale de deux modèles de simulation : l’exemple des plantations industrielles au Chili
title_full_unstemmed Validation spatiale de deux modèles de simulation : l’exemple des plantations industrielles au Chili
title_sort validation spatiale de deux modèles de simulation : l’exemple des plantations industrielles au chili
publisher Unité Mixte de Recherche 8504 Géographie-cités
publishDate 2013
url https://doaj.org/article/ccf3d09b1f1344b28bf3601a9c71ae7d
work_keys_str_mv AT nicolasmaestripieri validationspatialededeuxmodelesdesimulationlexempledesplantationsindustriellesauchili
AT martinpaegelow validationspatialededeuxmodelesdesimulationlexempledesplantationsindustriellesauchili
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