A stochastic multi-scale model of HIV-1 transmission for decision-making: application to a MSM population.

<h4>Background</h4>In the absence of an effective vaccine against HIV-1, the scientific community is presented with the challenge of developing alternative methods to curb its spread. Due to the complexity of the disease, however, our ability to predict the impact of various prevention a...

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Autores principales: Lilit Yeghiazarian, William G Cumberland, Otto O Yang
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Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2013
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/ce33a067f59b4a6da77e1c645b55d3f5
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:ce33a067f59b4a6da77e1c645b55d3f52021-11-18T08:44:45ZA stochastic multi-scale model of HIV-1 transmission for decision-making: application to a MSM population.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0070578https://doaj.org/article/ce33a067f59b4a6da77e1c645b55d3f52013-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/24302983/?tool=EBIhttps://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203<h4>Background</h4>In the absence of an effective vaccine against HIV-1, the scientific community is presented with the challenge of developing alternative methods to curb its spread. Due to the complexity of the disease, however, our ability to predict the impact of various prevention and treatment strategies is limited. While ART has been widely accepted as the gold standard of modern care, its timing is debated.<h4>Objectives</h4>To evaluate the impact of medical interventions at the level of individuals on the spread of infection across the whole population. Specifically, we investigate the impact of ART initiation timing on HIV-1 spread in an MSM (Men who have Sex with Men) population.<h4>Design and methods</h4>A stochastic multi-scale model of HIV-1 transmission that integrates within a single framework the in-host cellular dynamics and their outcomes, patient health states, and sexual contact networks. The model captures disease state and progression within individuals, and allows for simulation of therapeutic strategies.<h4>Results</h4>Early ART initiation may substantially affect disease spread through a population.<h4>Conclusions</h4>Our model provides a multi-scale, systems-based approach to evaluate the broader implications of therapeutic strategies.Lilit YeghiazarianWilliam G CumberlandOtto O YangPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 8, Iss 11, p e70578 (2013)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Lilit Yeghiazarian
William G Cumberland
Otto O Yang
A stochastic multi-scale model of HIV-1 transmission for decision-making: application to a MSM population.
description <h4>Background</h4>In the absence of an effective vaccine against HIV-1, the scientific community is presented with the challenge of developing alternative methods to curb its spread. Due to the complexity of the disease, however, our ability to predict the impact of various prevention and treatment strategies is limited. While ART has been widely accepted as the gold standard of modern care, its timing is debated.<h4>Objectives</h4>To evaluate the impact of medical interventions at the level of individuals on the spread of infection across the whole population. Specifically, we investigate the impact of ART initiation timing on HIV-1 spread in an MSM (Men who have Sex with Men) population.<h4>Design and methods</h4>A stochastic multi-scale model of HIV-1 transmission that integrates within a single framework the in-host cellular dynamics and their outcomes, patient health states, and sexual contact networks. The model captures disease state and progression within individuals, and allows for simulation of therapeutic strategies.<h4>Results</h4>Early ART initiation may substantially affect disease spread through a population.<h4>Conclusions</h4>Our model provides a multi-scale, systems-based approach to evaluate the broader implications of therapeutic strategies.
format article
author Lilit Yeghiazarian
William G Cumberland
Otto O Yang
author_facet Lilit Yeghiazarian
William G Cumberland
Otto O Yang
author_sort Lilit Yeghiazarian
title A stochastic multi-scale model of HIV-1 transmission for decision-making: application to a MSM population.
title_short A stochastic multi-scale model of HIV-1 transmission for decision-making: application to a MSM population.
title_full A stochastic multi-scale model of HIV-1 transmission for decision-making: application to a MSM population.
title_fullStr A stochastic multi-scale model of HIV-1 transmission for decision-making: application to a MSM population.
title_full_unstemmed A stochastic multi-scale model of HIV-1 transmission for decision-making: application to a MSM population.
title_sort stochastic multi-scale model of hiv-1 transmission for decision-making: application to a msm population.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2013
url https://doaj.org/article/ce33a067f59b4a6da77e1c645b55d3f5
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