The Effect of Oil Prices on the Economic Growth of Oil Exporting Countries Bordering the Caspian Sea: Panel Data Analysis

<p>Oil price volatility has increased tremendously in the last decade and has become the most difficult commodity to predict. The price of Brent crude oil was 42 US dollars in 2020, whereas it is 72 dollars today. All countries are adversely affected by this volatility. But the severity of it...

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Autores principales:	Artur Bolganbayev, Kundyz Myrzabekkyzy, Sabit Baimaganbetov, Dinmukhamed Kelesbayev
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	EconJournals 2021
Materias:	Environmental sciences GE1-350 Energy industries. Energy policy. Fuel trade HD9502-9502.5
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/ce5b9e564cd1462286f2d21bd870ea2d
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:ce5b9e564cd1462286f2d21bd870ea2d2021-11-12T07:27:32ZThe Effect of Oil Prices on the Economic Growth of Oil Exporting Countries Bordering the Caspian Sea: Panel Data Analysis2146-4553https://doaj.org/article/ce5b9e564cd1462286f2d21bd870ea2d2021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/view/11835https://doaj.org/toc/2146-4553<p>Oil price volatility has increased tremendously in the last decade and has become the most difficult commodity to predict. The price of Brent crude oil was 42 US dollars in 2020, whereas it is 72 dollars today. All countries are adversely affected by this volatility. But the severity of it differs between countries. Especially oil-exporting countries are expected to be affected more negatively. Among the countries bordering the Caspian Sea, the national incomes of Russia, Iran, Kazakhstan, and Azerbaijan are largely based on oil exports; therefore they are heavily affected by the volatility in oil prices. Therefore, energy security, which is one of the most important international security topics, is a political and economic priority for the countries bordering the Caspian Sea. In this study, the effects of the price changes in Brent crude oil on the economic growth and energy security of these countries were examined using Panel data analysis with the quarterly data for the period 2007-2020. The order of integration of the variables discussed in the study is examined using the Pesaran (2007) panel unit root test, which takes the cross-sectional dependence into account. The long-term relationship between Brent oil price and economic growth is examined using the Westerlund (2007) cointegration test. The results show that oil prices affect economic growth.</p><p><strong>Keywords:</strong> Countries Bordering the Caspian Sea, Oil Prices, Economic Growth, Panel Cointegration Test</p><p><strong>JEL Classications:</strong> C33, O47, P42, Q41</p><p>DOI: <a href="https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.11835">https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.11835</a></p>Artur BolganbayevKundyz MyrzabekkyzySabit BaimaganbetovDinmukhamed KelesbayevEconJournalsarticleEnvironmental sciencesGE1-350Energy industries. Energy policy. Fuel tradeHD9502-9502.5ENInternational Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Vol 11, Iss 6, Pp 432-437 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Environmental sciences GE1-350 Energy industries. Energy policy. Fuel trade HD9502-9502.5
spellingShingle	Environmental sciences GE1-350 Energy industries. Energy policy. Fuel trade HD9502-9502.5 Artur Bolganbayev Kundyz Myrzabekkyzy Sabit Baimaganbetov Dinmukhamed Kelesbayev The Effect of Oil Prices on the Economic Growth of Oil Exporting Countries Bordering the Caspian Sea: Panel Data Analysis
description	<p>Oil price volatility has increased tremendously in the last decade and has become the most difficult commodity to predict. The price of Brent crude oil was 42 US dollars in 2020, whereas it is 72 dollars today. All countries are adversely affected by this volatility. But the severity of it differs between countries. Especially oil-exporting countries are expected to be affected more negatively. Among the countries bordering the Caspian Sea, the national incomes of Russia, Iran, Kazakhstan, and Azerbaijan are largely based on oil exports; therefore they are heavily affected by the volatility in oil prices. Therefore, energy security, which is one of the most important international security topics, is a political and economic priority for the countries bordering the Caspian Sea. In this study, the effects of the price changes in Brent crude oil on the economic growth and energy security of these countries were examined using Panel data analysis with the quarterly data for the period 2007-2020. The order of integration of the variables discussed in the study is examined using the Pesaran (2007) panel unit root test, which takes the cross-sectional dependence into account. The long-term relationship between Brent oil price and economic growth is examined using the Westerlund (2007) cointegration test. The results show that oil prices affect economic growth.</p><p><strong>Keywords:</strong> Countries Bordering the Caspian Sea, Oil Prices, Economic Growth, Panel Cointegration Test</p><p><strong>JEL Classications:</strong> C33, O47, P42, Q41</p><p>DOI: <a href="https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.11835">https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.11835</a></p>
format	article
author	Artur Bolganbayev Kundyz Myrzabekkyzy Sabit Baimaganbetov Dinmukhamed Kelesbayev
author_facet	Artur Bolganbayev Kundyz Myrzabekkyzy Sabit Baimaganbetov Dinmukhamed Kelesbayev
author_sort	Artur Bolganbayev
title	The Effect of Oil Prices on the Economic Growth of Oil Exporting Countries Bordering the Caspian Sea: Panel Data Analysis
title_short	The Effect of Oil Prices on the Economic Growth of Oil Exporting Countries Bordering the Caspian Sea: Panel Data Analysis
title_full	The Effect of Oil Prices on the Economic Growth of Oil Exporting Countries Bordering the Caspian Sea: Panel Data Analysis
title_fullStr	The Effect of Oil Prices on the Economic Growth of Oil Exporting Countries Bordering the Caspian Sea: Panel Data Analysis
title_full_unstemmed	The Effect of Oil Prices on the Economic Growth of Oil Exporting Countries Bordering the Caspian Sea: Panel Data Analysis
title_sort	effect of oil prices on the economic growth of oil exporting countries bordering the caspian sea: panel data analysis
publisher	EconJournals
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/ce5b9e564cd1462286f2d21bd870ea2d
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The Effect of Oil Prices on the Economic Growth of Oil Exporting Countries Bordering the Caspian Sea: Panel Data Analysis

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