Assessment of the Spatial Invasion Risk of Intentionally Introduced Alien Plant Species (IIAPS) under Environmental Change in South Korea

Predicting the regions at risk of invasion from IIAPS is an integral horizon-scanning activity that plays a crucial role in preventing, controlling, and eradicating invasive species. Here, we quantify the spatial distribution area and invasion risk of IIAPS using a species distribution model under d...

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Autores principales:	Pradeep Adhikari, Yong-Ho Lee, Yong-Soon Park, Sun-Hee Hong
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	MDPI AG 2021
Materias:	climate change intentionally introduced alien plants invasion risk land cover change province spatial distribution Biology (General) QH301-705.5
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/ce7034ab2af0419b9ae7da7a71270076
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:ce7034ab2af0419b9ae7da7a712700762021-11-25T16:47:38ZAssessment of the Spatial Invasion Risk of Intentionally Introduced Alien Plant Species (IIAPS) under Environmental Change in South Korea10.3390/biology101111692079-7737https://doaj.org/article/ce7034ab2af0419b9ae7da7a712700762021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2079-7737/10/11/1169https://doaj.org/toc/2079-7737Predicting the regions at risk of invasion from IIAPS is an integral horizon-scanning activity that plays a crucial role in preventing, controlling, and eradicating invasive species. Here, we quantify the spatial distribution area and invasion risk of IIAPS using a species distribution model under different levels of environmental change in South Korea. From the model predictions, the current average spatial extent of the 10 IIAPS is 33,948 km<sup>2</sup>, and the individual spatial extents are estimated to change by −7% to 150% by 2050 and by −9% to 156% by 2070. The spatial invasion risk assessment shows that, currently, moderate-to-high invasion risk is limited to coastal areas and densely populated metropolitan cities (e.g., Seoul, Busan, and Gwangju), but that the area with this level of risk is expected to spread toward the central and northern regions of the country in the future, covering 86.21% of the total area of the country by 2070. These results demonstrate that the risk of invasion by IIAPS is estimated to enlarge across the whole country under future environmental changes. The modeling system provided in this study may contribute to the initial control and strategic management of IIAPS to maintain the dynamic ecosystems of South Korea.Pradeep AdhikariYong-Ho LeeYong-Soon ParkSun-Hee HongMDPI AGarticleclimate changeintentionally introduced alien plantsinvasion riskland cover changeprovincespatial distributionBiology (General)QH301-705.5ENBiology, Vol 10, Iss 1169, p 1169 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	climate change intentionally introduced alien plants invasion risk land cover change province spatial distribution Biology (General) QH301-705.5
spellingShingle	climate change intentionally introduced alien plants invasion risk land cover change province spatial distribution Biology (General) QH301-705.5 Pradeep Adhikari Yong-Ho Lee Yong-Soon Park Sun-Hee Hong Assessment of the Spatial Invasion Risk of Intentionally Introduced Alien Plant Species (IIAPS) under Environmental Change in South Korea
description	Predicting the regions at risk of invasion from IIAPS is an integral horizon-scanning activity that plays a crucial role in preventing, controlling, and eradicating invasive species. Here, we quantify the spatial distribution area and invasion risk of IIAPS using a species distribution model under different levels of environmental change in South Korea. From the model predictions, the current average spatial extent of the 10 IIAPS is 33,948 km<sup>2</sup>, and the individual spatial extents are estimated to change by −7% to 150% by 2050 and by −9% to 156% by 2070. The spatial invasion risk assessment shows that, currently, moderate-to-high invasion risk is limited to coastal areas and densely populated metropolitan cities (e.g., Seoul, Busan, and Gwangju), but that the area with this level of risk is expected to spread toward the central and northern regions of the country in the future, covering 86.21% of the total area of the country by 2070. These results demonstrate that the risk of invasion by IIAPS is estimated to enlarge across the whole country under future environmental changes. The modeling system provided in this study may contribute to the initial control and strategic management of IIAPS to maintain the dynamic ecosystems of South Korea.
format	article
author	Pradeep Adhikari Yong-Ho Lee Yong-Soon Park Sun-Hee Hong
author_facet	Pradeep Adhikari Yong-Ho Lee Yong-Soon Park Sun-Hee Hong
author_sort	Pradeep Adhikari
title	Assessment of the Spatial Invasion Risk of Intentionally Introduced Alien Plant Species (IIAPS) under Environmental Change in South Korea
title_short	Assessment of the Spatial Invasion Risk of Intentionally Introduced Alien Plant Species (IIAPS) under Environmental Change in South Korea
title_full	Assessment of the Spatial Invasion Risk of Intentionally Introduced Alien Plant Species (IIAPS) under Environmental Change in South Korea
title_fullStr	Assessment of the Spatial Invasion Risk of Intentionally Introduced Alien Plant Species (IIAPS) under Environmental Change in South Korea
title_full_unstemmed	Assessment of the Spatial Invasion Risk of Intentionally Introduced Alien Plant Species (IIAPS) under Environmental Change in South Korea
title_sort	assessment of the spatial invasion risk of intentionally introduced alien plant species (iiaps) under environmental change in south korea
publisher	MDPI AG
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/ce7034ab2af0419b9ae7da7a71270076
work_keys_str_mv	AT pradeepadhikari assessmentofthespatialinvasionriskofintentionallyintroducedalienplantspeciesiiapsunderenvironmentalchangeinsouthkorea AT yongholee assessmentofthespatialinvasionriskofintentionallyintroducedalienplantspeciesiiapsunderenvironmentalchangeinsouthkorea AT yongsoonpark assessmentofthespatialinvasionriskofintentionallyintroducedalienplantspeciesiiapsunderenvironmentalchangeinsouthkorea AT sunheehong assessmentofthespatialinvasionriskofintentionallyintroducedalienplantspeciesiiapsunderenvironmentalchangeinsouthkorea
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Assessment of the Spatial Invasion Risk of Intentionally Introduced Alien Plant Species (IIAPS) under Environmental Change in South Korea

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