Sampling the Variational Posterior with Local Refinement
Variational inference is an optimization-based method for approximating the posterior distribution of the parameters in Bayesian probabilistic models. A key challenge of variational inference is to approximate the posterior with a distribution that is computationally tractable yet sufficiently expre...
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MDPI AG
2021
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oai:doaj.org-article:cefaef5f24ee49009bbd835ef6ef3eca2021-11-25T17:29:56ZSampling the Variational Posterior with Local Refinement10.3390/e231114751099-4300https://doaj.org/article/cefaef5f24ee49009bbd835ef6ef3eca2021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/23/11/1475https://doaj.org/toc/1099-4300Variational inference is an optimization-based method for approximating the posterior distribution of the parameters in Bayesian probabilistic models. A key challenge of variational inference is to approximate the posterior with a distribution that is computationally tractable yet sufficiently expressive. We propose a novel method for generating samples from a highly flexible variational approximation. The method starts with a coarse initial approximation and generates samples by refining it in selected, local regions. This allows the samples to capture dependencies and multi-modality in the posterior, even when these are absent from the initial approximation. We demonstrate theoretically that our method always improves the quality of the approximation (as measured by the evidence lower bound). In experiments, our method consistently outperforms recent variational inference methods in terms of log-likelihood and ELBO across three example tasks: the Eight-Schools example (an inference task in a hierarchical model), training a ResNet-20 (Bayesian inference in a large neural network), and the Mushroom task (posterior sampling in a contextual bandit problem).Marton HavasiJasper SnoekDustin TranJonathan GordonJosé Miguel Hernández-LobatoMDPI AGarticlebayesian inferencevariational inferencedeep neural networkscontextual banditsScienceQAstrophysicsQB460-466PhysicsQC1-999ENEntropy, Vol 23, Iss 1475, p 1475 (2021) |
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bayesian inference variational inference deep neural networks contextual bandits Science Q Astrophysics QB460-466 Physics QC1-999 |
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bayesian inference variational inference deep neural networks contextual bandits Science Q Astrophysics QB460-466 Physics QC1-999 Marton Havasi Jasper Snoek Dustin Tran Jonathan Gordon José Miguel Hernández-Lobato Sampling the Variational Posterior with Local Refinement |
description |
Variational inference is an optimization-based method for approximating the posterior distribution of the parameters in Bayesian probabilistic models. A key challenge of variational inference is to approximate the posterior with a distribution that is computationally tractable yet sufficiently expressive. We propose a novel method for generating samples from a highly flexible variational approximation. The method starts with a coarse initial approximation and generates samples by refining it in selected, local regions. This allows the samples to capture dependencies and multi-modality in the posterior, even when these are absent from the initial approximation. We demonstrate theoretically that our method always improves the quality of the approximation (as measured by the evidence lower bound). In experiments, our method consistently outperforms recent variational inference methods in terms of log-likelihood and ELBO across three example tasks: the Eight-Schools example (an inference task in a hierarchical model), training a ResNet-20 (Bayesian inference in a large neural network), and the Mushroom task (posterior sampling in a contextual bandit problem). |
format |
article |
author |
Marton Havasi Jasper Snoek Dustin Tran Jonathan Gordon José Miguel Hernández-Lobato |
author_facet |
Marton Havasi Jasper Snoek Dustin Tran Jonathan Gordon José Miguel Hernández-Lobato |
author_sort |
Marton Havasi |
title |
Sampling the Variational Posterior with Local Refinement |
title_short |
Sampling the Variational Posterior with Local Refinement |
title_full |
Sampling the Variational Posterior with Local Refinement |
title_fullStr |
Sampling the Variational Posterior with Local Refinement |
title_full_unstemmed |
Sampling the Variational Posterior with Local Refinement |
title_sort |
sampling the variational posterior with local refinement |
publisher |
MDPI AG |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/cefaef5f24ee49009bbd835ef6ef3eca |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT martonhavasi samplingthevariationalposteriorwithlocalrefinement AT jaspersnoek samplingthevariationalposteriorwithlocalrefinement AT dustintran samplingthevariationalposteriorwithlocalrefinement AT jonathangordon samplingthevariationalposteriorwithlocalrefinement AT josemiguelhernandezlobato samplingthevariationalposteriorwithlocalrefinement |
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1718412313004867584 |