Improved estimation of time-varying reproduction numbers at low case incidence and between epidemic waves.

We construct a recursive Bayesian smoother, termed EpiFilter, for estimating the effective reproduction number, R, from the incidence of an infectious disease in real time and retrospectively. Our approach borrows from Kalman filtering theory, is quick and easy to compute, generalisable, determinist...

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Auteur principal: Kris V Parag
Format: article
Langue:EN
Publié: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
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Accès en ligne:https://doaj.org/article/cf1e29876a2d4e0a90b71d5341176ed3
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