Improved estimation of time-varying reproduction numbers at low case incidence and between epidemic waves.

We construct a recursive Bayesian smoother, termed EpiFilter, for estimating the effective reproduction number, R, from the incidence of an infectious disease in real time and retrospectively. Our approach borrows from Kalman filtering theory, is quick and easy to compute, generalisable, determinist...

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Autor principal: Kris V Parag
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/cf1e29876a2d4e0a90b71d5341176ed3
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