Assessing the impact of adherence to Non-pharmaceutical interventions and indirect transmission on the dynamics of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study

Adherence to public health policies such as the non-pharmaceutical interventions implemented against COVID-19 plays a major role in reducing infections and controlling the spread of the diseases. In addition, understanding the transmission dynamics of the disease is also important in order to make a...

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Autores principales: Sarafa A. Iyaniwura, Musa Rabiu, Jummy F. David, Jude D. Kong
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: AIMS Press 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/d16ab5e6a133402b9c28c63655ad62ec
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:d16ab5e6a133402b9c28c63655ad62ec2021-11-29T02:46:48ZAssessing the impact of adherence to Non-pharmaceutical interventions and indirect transmission on the dynamics of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study10.3934/mbe.20214391551-0018https://doaj.org/article/d16ab5e6a133402b9c28c63655ad62ec2021-10-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2021439?viewType=HTMLhttps://doaj.org/toc/1551-0018Adherence to public health policies such as the non-pharmaceutical interventions implemented against COVID-19 plays a major role in reducing infections and controlling the spread of the diseases. In addition, understanding the transmission dynamics of the disease is also important in order to make and implement efficient public health policies. In this paper, we developed an SEIR-type compartmental model to assess the impact of adherence to COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical interventions and indirect transmission on the dynamics of the disease. Our model considers both direct and indirect transmission routes and stratifies the population into two groups: those that adhere to COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) and those that do not adhere to the NPIs. We compute the control reproduction number and the final epidemic size relation for our model and study the effect of different parameters of the model on these quantities. Our results show that there is a significant benefit in adhering to the COVID-19 NPIs.Sarafa A. IyaniwuraMusa RabiuJummy F. DavidJude D. Kong AIMS Pressarticlecovid-19epidemicssars-cov-2direct and indirect transmissionseir modelsnon-pharmaceutical interventionadherent and non-adherentpopulation dynamicsBiotechnologyTP248.13-248.65MathematicsQA1-939ENMathematical Biosciences and Engineering, Vol 18, Iss 6, Pp 8905-8932 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic covid-19
epidemics
sars-cov-2
direct and indirect transmission
seir models
non-pharmaceutical intervention
adherent and non-adherent
population dynamics
Biotechnology
TP248.13-248.65
Mathematics
QA1-939
spellingShingle covid-19
epidemics
sars-cov-2
direct and indirect transmission
seir models
non-pharmaceutical intervention
adherent and non-adherent
population dynamics
Biotechnology
TP248.13-248.65
Mathematics
QA1-939
Sarafa A. Iyaniwura
Musa Rabiu
Jummy F. David
Jude D. Kong
Assessing the impact of adherence to Non-pharmaceutical interventions and indirect transmission on the dynamics of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study
description Adherence to public health policies such as the non-pharmaceutical interventions implemented against COVID-19 plays a major role in reducing infections and controlling the spread of the diseases. In addition, understanding the transmission dynamics of the disease is also important in order to make and implement efficient public health policies. In this paper, we developed an SEIR-type compartmental model to assess the impact of adherence to COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical interventions and indirect transmission on the dynamics of the disease. Our model considers both direct and indirect transmission routes and stratifies the population into two groups: those that adhere to COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) and those that do not adhere to the NPIs. We compute the control reproduction number and the final epidemic size relation for our model and study the effect of different parameters of the model on these quantities. Our results show that there is a significant benefit in adhering to the COVID-19 NPIs.
format article
author Sarafa A. Iyaniwura
Musa Rabiu
Jummy F. David
Jude D. Kong
author_facet Sarafa A. Iyaniwura
Musa Rabiu
Jummy F. David
Jude D. Kong
author_sort Sarafa A. Iyaniwura
title Assessing the impact of adherence to Non-pharmaceutical interventions and indirect transmission on the dynamics of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study
title_short Assessing the impact of adherence to Non-pharmaceutical interventions and indirect transmission on the dynamics of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study
title_full Assessing the impact of adherence to Non-pharmaceutical interventions and indirect transmission on the dynamics of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study
title_fullStr Assessing the impact of adherence to Non-pharmaceutical interventions and indirect transmission on the dynamics of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study
title_full_unstemmed Assessing the impact of adherence to Non-pharmaceutical interventions and indirect transmission on the dynamics of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study
title_sort assessing the impact of adherence to non-pharmaceutical interventions and indirect transmission on the dynamics of covid-19: a mathematical modelling study
publisher AIMS Press
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/d16ab5e6a133402b9c28c63655ad62ec
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AT musarabiu assessingtheimpactofadherencetononpharmaceuticalinterventionsandindirecttransmissiononthedynamicsofcovid19amathematicalmodellingstudy
AT jummyfdavid assessingtheimpactofadherencetononpharmaceuticalinterventionsandindirecttransmissiononthedynamicsofcovid19amathematicalmodellingstudy
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