Assessing potential habitat distribution range of the endangered tree species Pterocarpus marsupium Roxb. Under the climate change scenario in India

Pterocarpus marsupium Roxb., a significant deciduous tree species of high medicinal value is depleting fast due to various biotic and abiotic factors and is included in the near threatened species category of IUCN red list. The potential distribution range of P. marsupium for India was modeled for t...

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Autores principales: Brojo Gopal Ghosh, Sanjoy Garai, Sk Mujibar Rahaman, Masjuda Khatun, Naseer Mohammad, Yogeswar Mishra, Ashish Ranjan, Sharad Tiwari
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Publicado: Elsevier 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:d208ca0d1f6a45f6b811da644b28944c2021-12-04T04:36:08ZAssessing potential habitat distribution range of the endangered tree species Pterocarpus marsupium Roxb. Under the climate change scenario in India2666-719310.1016/j.tfp.2021.100124https://doaj.org/article/d208ca0d1f6a45f6b811da644b28944c2021-12-01T00:00:00Zhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666719321000637https://doaj.org/toc/2666-7193Pterocarpus marsupium Roxb., a significant deciduous tree species of high medicinal value is depleting fast due to various biotic and abiotic factors and is included in the near threatened species category of IUCN red list. The potential distribution range of P. marsupium for India was modeled for the year 2020 and 2050 under different Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP 2.6, 4.5, 6.0 8.5) scenarios of climate change using Maxent, to study the impact of climate change on its distribution. The study revealed that at present ~3.08% geographical area of India is highly suitable to distribution of P. marsupium and depending upon RCP this may expand upto ~ 3.11-3.53% by 2050. The zone wise analysis for the present climatic conditions predicted prominent presence of high suitable habitat range of P. marsupium in the central zone comprising ~ 1.82% of the total geographical area of India followed by southern and western zones with ~ 0.53% and ~ 0.49% distribution area respectively. The study predicted northward shifting of suitable habitat by 2050 with an increase in suitable area in the range of ~0.6-11%, ~6.4-24.5% and ~20-60% for the central, southern and western zone respectively, but ~26%-53% decrease in the eastern zone. Annual precipitation (Bio_12) was the most significant contributor variable in limiting the distribution of P. marsupium for the present as well as future climatic conditions. The result provides baseline information for identification and prioritization of areas for the conservation and promotion of P. marsupium in India.Brojo Gopal GhoshSanjoy GaraiSk Mujibar RahamanMasjuda KhatunNaseer MohammadYogeswar MishraAshish RanjanSharad TiwariElsevierarticleClimate changeHabitatIUCNMaxentPterocarpus marsupiumForestrySD1-669.5Plant ecologyQK900-989ENTrees, Forests and People, Vol 6, Iss , Pp 100124- (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Climate change
Habitat
IUCN
Maxent
Pterocarpus marsupium
Forestry
SD1-669.5
Plant ecology
QK900-989
spellingShingle Climate change
Habitat
IUCN
Maxent
Pterocarpus marsupium
Forestry
SD1-669.5
Plant ecology
QK900-989
Brojo Gopal Ghosh
Sanjoy Garai
Sk Mujibar Rahaman
Masjuda Khatun
Naseer Mohammad
Yogeswar Mishra
Ashish Ranjan
Sharad Tiwari
Assessing potential habitat distribution range of the endangered tree species Pterocarpus marsupium Roxb. Under the climate change scenario in India
description Pterocarpus marsupium Roxb., a significant deciduous tree species of high medicinal value is depleting fast due to various biotic and abiotic factors and is included in the near threatened species category of IUCN red list. The potential distribution range of P. marsupium for India was modeled for the year 2020 and 2050 under different Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP 2.6, 4.5, 6.0 8.5) scenarios of climate change using Maxent, to study the impact of climate change on its distribution. The study revealed that at present ~3.08% geographical area of India is highly suitable to distribution of P. marsupium and depending upon RCP this may expand upto ~ 3.11-3.53% by 2050. The zone wise analysis for the present climatic conditions predicted prominent presence of high suitable habitat range of P. marsupium in the central zone comprising ~ 1.82% of the total geographical area of India followed by southern and western zones with ~ 0.53% and ~ 0.49% distribution area respectively. The study predicted northward shifting of suitable habitat by 2050 with an increase in suitable area in the range of ~0.6-11%, ~6.4-24.5% and ~20-60% for the central, southern and western zone respectively, but ~26%-53% decrease in the eastern zone. Annual precipitation (Bio_12) was the most significant contributor variable in limiting the distribution of P. marsupium for the present as well as future climatic conditions. The result provides baseline information for identification and prioritization of areas for the conservation and promotion of P. marsupium in India.
format article
author Brojo Gopal Ghosh
Sanjoy Garai
Sk Mujibar Rahaman
Masjuda Khatun
Naseer Mohammad
Yogeswar Mishra
Ashish Ranjan
Sharad Tiwari
author_facet Brojo Gopal Ghosh
Sanjoy Garai
Sk Mujibar Rahaman
Masjuda Khatun
Naseer Mohammad
Yogeswar Mishra
Ashish Ranjan
Sharad Tiwari
author_sort Brojo Gopal Ghosh
title Assessing potential habitat distribution range of the endangered tree species Pterocarpus marsupium Roxb. Under the climate change scenario in India
title_short Assessing potential habitat distribution range of the endangered tree species Pterocarpus marsupium Roxb. Under the climate change scenario in India
title_full Assessing potential habitat distribution range of the endangered tree species Pterocarpus marsupium Roxb. Under the climate change scenario in India
title_fullStr Assessing potential habitat distribution range of the endangered tree species Pterocarpus marsupium Roxb. Under the climate change scenario in India
title_full_unstemmed Assessing potential habitat distribution range of the endangered tree species Pterocarpus marsupium Roxb. Under the climate change scenario in India
title_sort assessing potential habitat distribution range of the endangered tree species pterocarpus marsupium roxb. under the climate change scenario in india
publisher Elsevier
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/d208ca0d1f6a45f6b811da644b28944c
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