Effects of crude oil prices on copper and maize prices

Abstract This study explains the effects of crude oil prices on copper and maize prices. Vector autoregressive and vector error correction models are used to study the relationship between oil prices and prices of copper and maize. The commodity price data used consist of average monthly prices of e...

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Autor principal: Byrne Kaulu
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: SpringerOpen 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/d2a0176c574f4895b5adc9cd27b3dd86
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:d2a0176c574f4895b5adc9cd27b3dd862021-11-14T12:10:55ZEffects of crude oil prices on copper and maize prices10.1186/s43093-021-00100-w2314-7210https://doaj.org/article/d2a0176c574f4895b5adc9cd27b3dd862021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1186/s43093-021-00100-whttps://doaj.org/toc/2314-7210Abstract This study explains the effects of crude oil prices on copper and maize prices. Vector autoregressive and vector error correction models are used to study the relationship between oil prices and prices of copper and maize. The commodity price data used consist of average monthly prices of each of the commodities: crude oil, copper and maize for the months January 1982 to June 2021. For robustness, the analysis was also run on a sample of the same data for the period January 2000 to June 2021. A long-run relationship was found between crude oil and copper prices on the one hand and maize prices on the other for the 1982 to 2021 period at the 5% significance level. The same was not true for the shorter sample (2000 to 2021). Granger causality flowing from crude oil prices alone to copper and maize prices was not found. Recommendations that are useful for energy, mining, agriculture and general development policy and practice are made. The findings are also useful for bilateral and multilateral aid discussions. The limitations of the study and recommendations for future scholarship are also made.Byrne KauluSpringerOpenarticleCointegrationGranger causalityVARVECMCopper priceCrude oil priceBusinessHF5001-6182FinanceHG1-9999ENFuture Business Journal, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-15 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Cointegration
Granger causality
VAR
VECM
Copper price
Crude oil price
Business
HF5001-6182
Finance
HG1-9999
spellingShingle Cointegration
Granger causality
VAR
VECM
Copper price
Crude oil price
Business
HF5001-6182
Finance
HG1-9999
Byrne Kaulu
Effects of crude oil prices on copper and maize prices
description Abstract This study explains the effects of crude oil prices on copper and maize prices. Vector autoregressive and vector error correction models are used to study the relationship between oil prices and prices of copper and maize. The commodity price data used consist of average monthly prices of each of the commodities: crude oil, copper and maize for the months January 1982 to June 2021. For robustness, the analysis was also run on a sample of the same data for the period January 2000 to June 2021. A long-run relationship was found between crude oil and copper prices on the one hand and maize prices on the other for the 1982 to 2021 period at the 5% significance level. The same was not true for the shorter sample (2000 to 2021). Granger causality flowing from crude oil prices alone to copper and maize prices was not found. Recommendations that are useful for energy, mining, agriculture and general development policy and practice are made. The findings are also useful for bilateral and multilateral aid discussions. The limitations of the study and recommendations for future scholarship are also made.
format article
author Byrne Kaulu
author_facet Byrne Kaulu
author_sort Byrne Kaulu
title Effects of crude oil prices on copper and maize prices
title_short Effects of crude oil prices on copper and maize prices
title_full Effects of crude oil prices on copper and maize prices
title_fullStr Effects of crude oil prices on copper and maize prices
title_full_unstemmed Effects of crude oil prices on copper and maize prices
title_sort effects of crude oil prices on copper and maize prices
publisher SpringerOpen
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/d2a0176c574f4895b5adc9cd27b3dd86
work_keys_str_mv AT byrnekaulu effectsofcrudeoilpricesoncopperandmaizeprices
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