A scenario-based model of the reproduction of institutional sectors’ investment potential in Sverdlovsk oblast

The article aims to resolve the methodological problems in the sphere of scenario planning of the reproduction of institutional sectors’ investment potential in regions. These problems are due to the complexity of accounting for multilateral financial relationships between sectors in the processes o...

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Autor principal:	Ilya V. Naumov
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	RU
Publicado:	Ural State University of Economics 2020
Materias:	scenario planning investment potential matrix of financial flows institutional sector modelling Business HF5001-6182 Finance HG1-9999
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/d731ee277c4d4ceeb494ee7eb857453d
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id	oai:doaj.org-article:d731ee277c4d4ceeb494ee7eb857453d
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:d731ee277c4d4ceeb494ee7eb857453d2021-12-02T10:19:38ZA scenario-based model of the reproduction of institutional sectors’ investment potential in Sverdlovsk oblast10.29141/2218-5003-2020-11-5-22218-50032218-5003https://doaj.org/article/d731ee277c4d4ceeb494ee7eb857453d2020-11-01T00:00:00Zhttp://upravlenets.usue.ru/ru/-2020/684https://doaj.org/toc/2218-5003https://doaj.org/toc/2218-5003The article aims to resolve the methodological problems in the sphere of scenario planning of the reproduction of institutional sectors’ investment potential in regions. These problems are due to the complexity of accounting for multilateral financial relationships between sectors in the processes of the reproduction of their investment potential and the labour intensive assessment of the factors affecting their investment activities. Methodologically the study relies on the theoretical provisions of the scenario approach and the formation of balance models using the System of National Accounts. At the first stage, the presented methodological approach to scenario planning of the reproduction of institutional sectors’ investment potential suggests creating a matrix of financial flows moving between the sectors and examining the regularities of their investment potential reproduction. At the next stage, the approach offers a regression model of the cross-sectional relationships emerging in the course of the reproduction of the institutional sectors’ investment potential by various financial instruments taking into account the influence of internal and external factors. At the last stage, the approach develops a system of the most probable scenarios for the transformation of the reproduction processes of institutional sectors’ investment potential. It also entails a search for the most favourable scenario that increases the financial sustainability of the sectors and provides the regions with resources necessary for the implementation of the crucial infrastructure projects and strategic programs of the socio-economic development. The methodological tools and scenarios for the reproduction of institutional sectors’ investment potential in Sverdlovsk oblast developed in the study can be of interest to public authorities when framing the concept of the regional investment policy.Ilya V. NaumovUral State University of Economicsarticlescenario planninginvestment potentialmatrix of financial flowsinstitutional sectormodellingBusinessHF5001-6182FinanceHG1-9999RUУправленец, Vol 11, Iss 5, Pp 17-28 (2020)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	RU
topic	scenario planning investment potential matrix of financial flows institutional sector modelling Business HF5001-6182 Finance HG1-9999
spellingShingle	scenario planning investment potential matrix of financial flows institutional sector modelling Business HF5001-6182 Finance HG1-9999 Ilya V. Naumov A scenario-based model of the reproduction of institutional sectors’ investment potential in Sverdlovsk oblast
description	The article aims to resolve the methodological problems in the sphere of scenario planning of the reproduction of institutional sectors’ investment potential in regions. These problems are due to the complexity of accounting for multilateral financial relationships between sectors in the processes of the reproduction of their investment potential and the labour intensive assessment of the factors affecting their investment activities. Methodologically the study relies on the theoretical provisions of the scenario approach and the formation of balance models using the System of National Accounts. At the first stage, the presented methodological approach to scenario planning of the reproduction of institutional sectors’ investment potential suggests creating a matrix of financial flows moving between the sectors and examining the regularities of their investment potential reproduction. At the next stage, the approach offers a regression model of the cross-sectional relationships emerging in the course of the reproduction of the institutional sectors’ investment potential by various financial instruments taking into account the influence of internal and external factors. At the last stage, the approach develops a system of the most probable scenarios for the transformation of the reproduction processes of institutional sectors’ investment potential. It also entails a search for the most favourable scenario that increases the financial sustainability of the sectors and provides the regions with resources necessary for the implementation of the crucial infrastructure projects and strategic programs of the socio-economic development. The methodological tools and scenarios for the reproduction of institutional sectors’ investment potential in Sverdlovsk oblast developed in the study can be of interest to public authorities when framing the concept of the regional investment policy.
format	article
author	Ilya V. Naumov
author_facet	Ilya V. Naumov
author_sort	Ilya V. Naumov
title	A scenario-based model of the reproduction of institutional sectors’ investment potential in Sverdlovsk oblast
title_short	A scenario-based model of the reproduction of institutional sectors’ investment potential in Sverdlovsk oblast
title_full	A scenario-based model of the reproduction of institutional sectors’ investment potential in Sverdlovsk oblast
title_fullStr	A scenario-based model of the reproduction of institutional sectors’ investment potential in Sverdlovsk oblast
title_full_unstemmed	A scenario-based model of the reproduction of institutional sectors’ investment potential in Sverdlovsk oblast
title_sort	scenario-based model of the reproduction of institutional sectors’ investment potential in sverdlovsk oblast
publisher	Ural State University of Economics
publishDate	2020
url	https://doaj.org/article/d731ee277c4d4ceeb494ee7eb857453d
work_keys_str_mv	AT ilyavnaumov ascenariobasedmodelofthereproductionofinstitutionalsectorsinvestmentpotentialinsverdlovskoblast AT ilyavnaumov scenariobasedmodelofthereproductionofinstitutionalsectorsinvestmentpotentialinsverdlovskoblast
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A scenario-based model of the reproduction of institutional sectors’ investment potential in Sverdlovsk oblast

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