Decision theory for precision therapy of breast cancer

Abstract Correctly estimating the hormone receptor status for estrogen (ER) and progesterone (PGR) is crucial for precision therapy of breast cancer. It is known that conventional diagnostics (immunohistochemistry, IHC) yields a significant rate of wrongly diagnosed receptor status. Here we demonstr...

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Autores principales: Michael Kenn, Dan Cacsire Castillo-Tong, Christian F. Singer, Rudolf Karch, Michael Cibena, Heinz Koelbl, Wolfgang Schreiner
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Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/db1c4ef44c7b4a4b8be90172f163f666
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:db1c4ef44c7b4a4b8be90172f163f6662021-12-02T14:21:43ZDecision theory for precision therapy of breast cancer10.1038/s41598-021-82418-72045-2322https://doaj.org/article/db1c4ef44c7b4a4b8be90172f163f6662021-02-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-82418-7https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Correctly estimating the hormone receptor status for estrogen (ER) and progesterone (PGR) is crucial for precision therapy of breast cancer. It is known that conventional diagnostics (immunohistochemistry, IHC) yields a significant rate of wrongly diagnosed receptor status. Here we demonstrate how Dempster Shafer decision Theory (DST) enhances diagnostic precision by adding information from gene expression. We downloaded data of 3753 breast cancer patients from Gene Expression Omnibus. Information from IHC and gene expression was fused according to DST, and the clinical criterion for receptor positivity was re-modelled along DST. Receptor status predicted according to DST was compared with conventional assessment via IHC and gene-expression, and deviations were flagged as questionable. The survival of questionable cases turned out significantly worse (Kaplan Meier p < 1%) than for patients with receptor status confirmed by DST, indicating a substantial enhancement of diagnostic precision via DST. This study is not only relevant for precision medicine but also paves the way for introducing decision theory into OMICS data science.Michael KennDan Cacsire Castillo-TongChristian F. SingerRudolf KarchMichael CibenaHeinz KoelblWolfgang SchreinerNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-13 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Michael Kenn
Dan Cacsire Castillo-Tong
Christian F. Singer
Rudolf Karch
Michael Cibena
Heinz Koelbl
Wolfgang Schreiner
Decision theory for precision therapy of breast cancer
description Abstract Correctly estimating the hormone receptor status for estrogen (ER) and progesterone (PGR) is crucial for precision therapy of breast cancer. It is known that conventional diagnostics (immunohistochemistry, IHC) yields a significant rate of wrongly diagnosed receptor status. Here we demonstrate how Dempster Shafer decision Theory (DST) enhances diagnostic precision by adding information from gene expression. We downloaded data of 3753 breast cancer patients from Gene Expression Omnibus. Information from IHC and gene expression was fused according to DST, and the clinical criterion for receptor positivity was re-modelled along DST. Receptor status predicted according to DST was compared with conventional assessment via IHC and gene-expression, and deviations were flagged as questionable. The survival of questionable cases turned out significantly worse (Kaplan Meier p < 1%) than for patients with receptor status confirmed by DST, indicating a substantial enhancement of diagnostic precision via DST. This study is not only relevant for precision medicine but also paves the way for introducing decision theory into OMICS data science.
format article
author Michael Kenn
Dan Cacsire Castillo-Tong
Christian F. Singer
Rudolf Karch
Michael Cibena
Heinz Koelbl
Wolfgang Schreiner
author_facet Michael Kenn
Dan Cacsire Castillo-Tong
Christian F. Singer
Rudolf Karch
Michael Cibena
Heinz Koelbl
Wolfgang Schreiner
author_sort Michael Kenn
title Decision theory for precision therapy of breast cancer
title_short Decision theory for precision therapy of breast cancer
title_full Decision theory for precision therapy of breast cancer
title_fullStr Decision theory for precision therapy of breast cancer
title_full_unstemmed Decision theory for precision therapy of breast cancer
title_sort decision theory for precision therapy of breast cancer
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/db1c4ef44c7b4a4b8be90172f163f666
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