Measuring systemic risk of Greek banks: New approach by using the epidemic model “SEIR”

In the last decade of the financial crisis of 2007, the international financial system appeared to be on the brink of a major systemic crisis which leads to a failure of a systemically important European bank. This type of scenario highlights the need for identifying and measuring of the contributio...

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Autores principales: Abdelkader Derbali, Slaheddine Hallara
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Taylor & Francis Group 2016
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/db8e0b786e7f4d52b50b1e13232f9b7c
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:db8e0b786e7f4d52b50b1e13232f9b7c2021-12-02T14:07:32ZMeasuring systemic risk of Greek banks: New approach by using the epidemic model “SEIR”2331-197510.1080/23311975.2016.1153864https://doaj.org/article/db8e0b786e7f4d52b50b1e13232f9b7c2016-12-01T00:00:00Zhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2016.1153864https://doaj.org/toc/2331-1975In the last decade of the financial crisis of 2007, the international financial system appeared to be on the brink of a major systemic crisis which leads to a failure of a systemically important European bank. This type of scenario highlights the need for identifying and measuring of the contribution of banks to systemic risk in the financial system. Then, the aim of this paper is to propose, for the first time, a new approach to measure systemic risk in the financial institutions. This approach is based on the epidemic model methodology. Then, we use the SEIR model with four compartments: Susceptible, Exposed, Infected, and Removed. We apply this model for a sample of 18 Greek banks listed in the Athens Exchange over the period from 2 January 2006 to 31 December 2012. Based on the empirical results, we find the existence of 12 times of default transmission during the study period and the transmission of default coincides with the number of Greek banks that have declared failure and then leaving the Athens Exchange. Also, we remark that the continuation of aid and recovery plans granted by international and national regulatory authorities did enough to save Greek banks.Abdelkader DerbaliSlaheddine HallaraTaylor & Francis Grouparticlesystemic riskepidemic modelseirgreek bankstransmissionBusinessHF5001-6182Management. Industrial managementHD28-70ENCogent Business & Management, Vol 3, Iss 1 (2016)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic systemic risk
epidemic model
seir
greek banks
transmission
Business
HF5001-6182
Management. Industrial management
HD28-70
spellingShingle systemic risk
epidemic model
seir
greek banks
transmission
Business
HF5001-6182
Management. Industrial management
HD28-70
Abdelkader Derbali
Slaheddine Hallara
Measuring systemic risk of Greek banks: New approach by using the epidemic model “SEIR”
description In the last decade of the financial crisis of 2007, the international financial system appeared to be on the brink of a major systemic crisis which leads to a failure of a systemically important European bank. This type of scenario highlights the need for identifying and measuring of the contribution of banks to systemic risk in the financial system. Then, the aim of this paper is to propose, for the first time, a new approach to measure systemic risk in the financial institutions. This approach is based on the epidemic model methodology. Then, we use the SEIR model with four compartments: Susceptible, Exposed, Infected, and Removed. We apply this model for a sample of 18 Greek banks listed in the Athens Exchange over the period from 2 January 2006 to 31 December 2012. Based on the empirical results, we find the existence of 12 times of default transmission during the study period and the transmission of default coincides with the number of Greek banks that have declared failure and then leaving the Athens Exchange. Also, we remark that the continuation of aid and recovery plans granted by international and national regulatory authorities did enough to save Greek banks.
format article
author Abdelkader Derbali
Slaheddine Hallara
author_facet Abdelkader Derbali
Slaheddine Hallara
author_sort Abdelkader Derbali
title Measuring systemic risk of Greek banks: New approach by using the epidemic model “SEIR”
title_short Measuring systemic risk of Greek banks: New approach by using the epidemic model “SEIR”
title_full Measuring systemic risk of Greek banks: New approach by using the epidemic model “SEIR”
title_fullStr Measuring systemic risk of Greek banks: New approach by using the epidemic model “SEIR”
title_full_unstemmed Measuring systemic risk of Greek banks: New approach by using the epidemic model “SEIR”
title_sort measuring systemic risk of greek banks: new approach by using the epidemic model “seir”
publisher Taylor & Francis Group
publishDate 2016
url https://doaj.org/article/db8e0b786e7f4d52b50b1e13232f9b7c
work_keys_str_mv AT abdelkaderderbali measuringsystemicriskofgreekbanksnewapproachbyusingtheepidemicmodelseir
AT slaheddinehallara measuringsystemicriskofgreekbanksnewapproachbyusingtheepidemicmodelseir
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