Analysis of spatio-temporal climate variability of a shallow lake catchment in Tanzania
This study analyzed the trends and spatio-temporal variability in rainfall and temperature, and the length of the rainy season (LRS) in the Lake Manyara catchment, Tanzania, covering a period between 1988 and 2018 using stations and satellite climate product. The Mann-Kendall statistical test, Sen...
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IWA Publishing
2021
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oai:doaj.org-article:dbb2f23dd85f4886b4e0dc807478aff92021-11-05T18:31:07ZAnalysis of spatio-temporal climate variability of a shallow lake catchment in Tanzania2040-22442408-935410.2166/wcc.2020.197https://doaj.org/article/dbb2f23dd85f4886b4e0dc807478aff92021-03-01T00:00:00Zhttp://jwcc.iwaponline.com/content/12/2/469https://doaj.org/toc/2040-2244https://doaj.org/toc/2408-9354This study analyzed the trends and spatio-temporal variability in rainfall and temperature, and the length of the rainy season (LRS) in the Lake Manyara catchment, Tanzania, covering a period between 1988 and 2018 using stations and satellite climate product. The Mann-Kendall statistical test, Sen's slope estimator, and inverse distance weighting interpolation techniques were used to detect the trends, magnitude of trends and spatial distribution of rainfall and temperature. A modified Stern's method and water balance concept were used for rainfall onset, cessation and LRS analysis, while a standardized precipitation index (SPI) was used to investigate the wetness or dryness of the area. The results showed high variability and decreasing trend (4 mm/y) in annual rainfall, and non-significant increasing trend for minimum and maximum temperature. Rainfall increased from the western to the northern part of the catchment whereas a reversal pattern was noticed for temperature. The SPI shows a signal of normal condition (about 65%) for all stations – with few years showing evidence of wetter and drier conditions. The LRS showed a decreasing trend indicating a potential negative influence on rain-dependent activities. There is a need, therefore, for adaptation measures such as improving water productivity and irrigation at the farm and catchment level.Latifa O. NyemboIsaac LarbiMwemezi J. RwizaIWA Publishingarticlemann-kendall testrain-dependencysatellite climate productspatial climate variabilitystandardized precipitation indexwater balance conceptEnvironmental technology. Sanitary engineeringTD1-1066Environmental sciencesGE1-350ENJournal of Water and Climate Change, Vol 12, Iss 2, Pp 469-483 (2021) |
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mann-kendall test rain-dependency satellite climate product spatial climate variability standardized precipitation index water balance concept Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering TD1-1066 Environmental sciences GE1-350 |
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mann-kendall test rain-dependency satellite climate product spatial climate variability standardized precipitation index water balance concept Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering TD1-1066 Environmental sciences GE1-350 Latifa O. Nyembo Isaac Larbi Mwemezi J. Rwiza Analysis of spatio-temporal climate variability of a shallow lake catchment in Tanzania |
description |
This study analyzed the trends and spatio-temporal variability in rainfall and temperature, and the length of the rainy season (LRS) in the Lake Manyara catchment, Tanzania, covering a period between 1988 and 2018 using stations and satellite climate product. The Mann-Kendall statistical test, Sen's slope estimator, and inverse distance weighting interpolation techniques were used to detect the trends, magnitude of trends and spatial distribution of rainfall and temperature. A modified Stern's method and water balance concept were used for rainfall onset, cessation and LRS analysis, while a standardized precipitation index (SPI) was used to investigate the wetness or dryness of the area. The results showed high variability and decreasing trend (4 mm/y) in annual rainfall, and non-significant increasing trend for minimum and maximum temperature. Rainfall increased from the western to the northern part of the catchment whereas a reversal pattern was noticed for temperature. The SPI shows a signal of normal condition (about 65%) for all stations – with few years showing evidence of wetter and drier conditions. The LRS showed a decreasing trend indicating a potential negative influence on rain-dependent activities. There is a need, therefore, for adaptation measures such as improving water productivity and irrigation at the farm and catchment level. |
format |
article |
author |
Latifa O. Nyembo Isaac Larbi Mwemezi J. Rwiza |
author_facet |
Latifa O. Nyembo Isaac Larbi Mwemezi J. Rwiza |
author_sort |
Latifa O. Nyembo |
title |
Analysis of spatio-temporal climate variability of a shallow lake catchment in Tanzania |
title_short |
Analysis of spatio-temporal climate variability of a shallow lake catchment in Tanzania |
title_full |
Analysis of spatio-temporal climate variability of a shallow lake catchment in Tanzania |
title_fullStr |
Analysis of spatio-temporal climate variability of a shallow lake catchment in Tanzania |
title_full_unstemmed |
Analysis of spatio-temporal climate variability of a shallow lake catchment in Tanzania |
title_sort |
analysis of spatio-temporal climate variability of a shallow lake catchment in tanzania |
publisher |
IWA Publishing |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/dbb2f23dd85f4886b4e0dc807478aff9 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT latifaonyembo analysisofspatiotemporalclimatevariabilityofashallowlakecatchmentintanzania AT isaaclarbi analysisofspatiotemporalclimatevariabilityofashallowlakecatchmentintanzania AT mwemezijrwiza analysisofspatiotemporalclimatevariabilityofashallowlakecatchmentintanzania |
_version_ |
1718444132325654528 |