Impact of US vaccination strategy on COVID-19 wave dynamics

Abstract We employ the epidemic Renormalization Group (eRG) framework to understand, reproduce and predict the COVID-19 pandemic diffusion across the US. The human mobility across different geographical US divisions is modelled via open source flight data alongside the impact of social distancing fo...

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Autores principales:	Corentin Cot, Giacomo Cacciapaglia, Anna Sigridur Islind, María Óskarsdóttir, Francesco Sannino
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2021
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/dbf87fc071684f3f828ff95cd3216a90
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:dbf87fc071684f3f828ff95cd3216a902021-12-02T16:53:11ZImpact of US vaccination strategy on COVID-19 wave dynamics10.1038/s41598-021-90539-22045-2322https://doaj.org/article/dbf87fc071684f3f828ff95cd3216a902021-05-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-90539-2https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract We employ the epidemic Renormalization Group (eRG) framework to understand, reproduce and predict the COVID-19 pandemic diffusion across the US. The human mobility across different geographical US divisions is modelled via open source flight data alongside the impact of social distancing for each such division. We analyse the impact of the vaccination strategy on the current pandemic wave dynamics in the US. We observe that the ongoing vaccination campaign will not impact the current pandemic wave and therefore strict social distancing measures must still be enacted. To curb the current and the next waves our results indisputably show that vaccinations alone are not enough and strict social distancing measures are required until sufficient immunity is achieved. Our results are essential for a successful vaccination strategy in the US.Corentin CotGiacomo CacciapagliaAnna Sigridur IslindMaría ÓskarsdóttirFrancesco SanninoNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Corentin Cot Giacomo Cacciapaglia Anna Sigridur Islind María Óskarsdóttir Francesco Sannino Impact of US vaccination strategy on COVID-19 wave dynamics
description	Abstract We employ the epidemic Renormalization Group (eRG) framework to understand, reproduce and predict the COVID-19 pandemic diffusion across the US. The human mobility across different geographical US divisions is modelled via open source flight data alongside the impact of social distancing for each such division. We analyse the impact of the vaccination strategy on the current pandemic wave dynamics in the US. We observe that the ongoing vaccination campaign will not impact the current pandemic wave and therefore strict social distancing measures must still be enacted. To curb the current and the next waves our results indisputably show that vaccinations alone are not enough and strict social distancing measures are required until sufficient immunity is achieved. Our results are essential for a successful vaccination strategy in the US.
format	article
author	Corentin Cot Giacomo Cacciapaglia Anna Sigridur Islind María Óskarsdóttir Francesco Sannino
author_facet	Corentin Cot Giacomo Cacciapaglia Anna Sigridur Islind María Óskarsdóttir Francesco Sannino
author_sort	Corentin Cot
title	Impact of US vaccination strategy on COVID-19 wave dynamics
title_short	Impact of US vaccination strategy on COVID-19 wave dynamics
title_full	Impact of US vaccination strategy on COVID-19 wave dynamics
title_fullStr	Impact of US vaccination strategy on COVID-19 wave dynamics
title_full_unstemmed	Impact of US vaccination strategy on COVID-19 wave dynamics
title_sort	impact of us vaccination strategy on covid-19 wave dynamics
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/dbf87fc071684f3f828ff95cd3216a90
work_keys_str_mv	AT corentincot impactofusvaccinationstrategyoncovid19wavedynamics AT giacomocacciapaglia impactofusvaccinationstrategyoncovid19wavedynamics AT annasigridurislind impactofusvaccinationstrategyoncovid19wavedynamics AT mariaoskarsdottir impactofusvaccinationstrategyoncovid19wavedynamics AT francescosannino impactofusvaccinationstrategyoncovid19wavedynamics
_version_	1718382890328260608

Impact of US vaccination strategy on COVID-19 wave dynamics

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