Study on the dynamic characteristics of shallow groundwater level under the influence of climate change and human activities in Cangzhou, China
Based on the monitoring data of groundwater level, mining data and meteorological data from 1986 to 2015 in Cangzhou City, the change characteristics of depth of groundwater level were studied. On this basis, the nonparametric statistical test method (Mann–Kendall method) was used to study the trend...
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IWA Publishing
2021
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oai:doaj.org-article:dcdad6e066c844d78ba7c855efe6eb1a2021-11-06T07:09:43ZStudy on the dynamic characteristics of shallow groundwater level under the influence of climate change and human activities in Cangzhou, China1606-97491607-079810.2166/ws.2020.308https://doaj.org/article/dcdad6e066c844d78ba7c855efe6eb1a2021-03-01T00:00:00Zhttp://ws.iwaponline.com/content/21/2/797https://doaj.org/toc/1606-9749https://doaj.org/toc/1607-0798Based on the monitoring data of groundwater level, mining data and meteorological data from 1986 to 2015 in Cangzhou City, the change characteristics of depth of groundwater level were studied. On this basis, the nonparametric statistical test method (Mann–Kendall method) was used to study the trend of depth of groundwater level. Besides In addition, the principal component analysis method and grey correlation method were used to study groundwater influence factors. Finally, the multivariable time series model was used to predict the depth of groundwater level. The results showed that in the past 30 years, influenced by human activities and meteorological changes, the groundwater flow field in 1986–2015 was generally move from southwest to northeast, the depth of groundwater level was increasing from the initial 3.26 to 4.06 m, with an annual increase rate of 0.027 m/a; the contribution rate of exploitation factor, precipitation factor, evaporation factor were 40, 20 and 40%; the fitting figure of the observed values and the predicted values were very good, with an average relative error of 7.73%. According to the prediction schemes, when the evaporation increases by 5%, and the agricultural exploitation decreases by 5%, the depth of groundwater will reach 3.39 m; when the evaporation increases by 10%, and the agricultural exploitation decreases by 10%, the depth of groundwater will reach 3.32 m. This study had important reference significance for regional groundwater treatment and rational utilization. HIGHLIGHTS The variation law of groundwater level in Cangzhou is discussed.; The influencing factors of groundwater level are discussed.; This study had important reference significance for regional groundwater treatment and rational utilization.;Baizhong YanXiaomeng LiJunliang HouPan BiFengbo SunIWA Publishingarticleclimate changedynamic characteristics of groundwater levelgrey correlation analysis methodhuman activitiesmann–kendall methodprincipal component analysisWater supply for domestic and industrial purposesTD201-500River, lake, and water-supply engineering (General)TC401-506ENWater Supply, Vol 21, Iss 2, Pp 797-814 (2021) |
institution |
DOAJ |
collection |
DOAJ |
language |
EN |
topic |
climate change dynamic characteristics of groundwater level grey correlation analysis method human activities mann–kendall method principal component analysis Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes TD201-500 River, lake, and water-supply engineering (General) TC401-506 |
spellingShingle |
climate change dynamic characteristics of groundwater level grey correlation analysis method human activities mann–kendall method principal component analysis Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes TD201-500 River, lake, and water-supply engineering (General) TC401-506 Baizhong Yan Xiaomeng Li Junliang Hou Pan Bi Fengbo Sun Study on the dynamic characteristics of shallow groundwater level under the influence of climate change and human activities in Cangzhou, China |
description |
Based on the monitoring data of groundwater level, mining data and meteorological data from 1986 to 2015 in Cangzhou City, the change characteristics of depth of groundwater level were studied. On this basis, the nonparametric statistical test method (Mann–Kendall method) was used to study the trend of depth of groundwater level. Besides In addition, the principal component analysis method and grey correlation method were used to study groundwater influence factors. Finally, the multivariable time series model was used to predict the depth of groundwater level. The results showed that in the past 30 years, influenced by human activities and meteorological changes, the groundwater flow field in 1986–2015 was generally move from southwest to northeast, the depth of groundwater level was increasing from the initial 3.26 to 4.06 m, with an annual increase rate of 0.027 m/a; the contribution rate of exploitation factor, precipitation factor, evaporation factor were 40, 20 and 40%; the fitting figure of the observed values and the predicted values were very good, with an average relative error of 7.73%. According to the prediction schemes, when the evaporation increases by 5%, and the agricultural exploitation decreases by 5%, the depth of groundwater will reach 3.39 m; when the evaporation increases by 10%, and the agricultural exploitation decreases by 10%, the depth of groundwater will reach 3.32 m. This study had important reference significance for regional groundwater treatment and rational utilization. HIGHLIGHTS
The variation law of groundwater level in Cangzhou is discussed.;
The influencing factors of groundwater level are discussed.;
This study had important reference significance for regional groundwater treatment and rational utilization.; |
format |
article |
author |
Baizhong Yan Xiaomeng Li Junliang Hou Pan Bi Fengbo Sun |
author_facet |
Baizhong Yan Xiaomeng Li Junliang Hou Pan Bi Fengbo Sun |
author_sort |
Baizhong Yan |
title |
Study on the dynamic characteristics of shallow groundwater level under the influence of climate change and human activities in Cangzhou, China |
title_short |
Study on the dynamic characteristics of shallow groundwater level under the influence of climate change and human activities in Cangzhou, China |
title_full |
Study on the dynamic characteristics of shallow groundwater level under the influence of climate change and human activities in Cangzhou, China |
title_fullStr |
Study on the dynamic characteristics of shallow groundwater level under the influence of climate change and human activities in Cangzhou, China |
title_full_unstemmed |
Study on the dynamic characteristics of shallow groundwater level under the influence of climate change and human activities in Cangzhou, China |
title_sort |
study on the dynamic characteristics of shallow groundwater level under the influence of climate change and human activities in cangzhou, china |
publisher |
IWA Publishing |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/dcdad6e066c844d78ba7c855efe6eb1a |
work_keys_str_mv |
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_version_ |
1718443825226055680 |