Study on the dynamic characteristics of shallow groundwater level under the influence of climate change and human activities in Cangzhou, China

Based on the monitoring data of groundwater level, mining data and meteorological data from 1986 to 2015 in Cangzhou City, the change characteristics of depth of groundwater level were studied. On this basis, the nonparametric statistical test method (Mann–Kendall method) was used to study the trend...

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Autores principales: Baizhong Yan, Xiaomeng Li, Junliang Hou, Pan Bi, Fengbo Sun
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: IWA Publishing 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:dcdad6e066c844d78ba7c855efe6eb1a2021-11-06T07:09:43ZStudy on the dynamic characteristics of shallow groundwater level under the influence of climate change and human activities in Cangzhou, China1606-97491607-079810.2166/ws.2020.308https://doaj.org/article/dcdad6e066c844d78ba7c855efe6eb1a2021-03-01T00:00:00Zhttp://ws.iwaponline.com/content/21/2/797https://doaj.org/toc/1606-9749https://doaj.org/toc/1607-0798Based on the monitoring data of groundwater level, mining data and meteorological data from 1986 to 2015 in Cangzhou City, the change characteristics of depth of groundwater level were studied. On this basis, the nonparametric statistical test method (Mann–Kendall method) was used to study the trend of depth of groundwater level. Besides In addition, the principal component analysis method and grey correlation method were used to study groundwater influence factors. Finally, the multivariable time series model was used to predict the depth of groundwater level. The results showed that in the past 30 years, influenced by human activities and meteorological changes, the groundwater flow field in 1986–2015 was generally move from southwest to northeast, the depth of groundwater level was increasing from the initial 3.26 to 4.06 m, with an annual increase rate of 0.027 m/a; the contribution rate of exploitation factor, precipitation factor, evaporation factor were 40, 20 and 40%; the fitting figure of the observed values and the predicted values were very good, with an average relative error of 7.73%. According to the prediction schemes, when the evaporation increases by 5%, and the agricultural exploitation decreases by 5%, the depth of groundwater will reach 3.39 m; when the evaporation increases by 10%, and the agricultural exploitation decreases by 10%, the depth of groundwater will reach 3.32 m. This study had important reference significance for regional groundwater treatment and rational utilization. HIGHLIGHTS The variation law of groundwater level in Cangzhou is discussed.; The influencing factors of groundwater level are discussed.; This study had important reference significance for regional groundwater treatment and rational utilization.;Baizhong YanXiaomeng LiJunliang HouPan BiFengbo SunIWA Publishingarticleclimate changedynamic characteristics of groundwater levelgrey correlation analysis methodhuman activitiesmann–kendall methodprincipal component analysisWater supply for domestic and industrial purposesTD201-500River, lake, and water-supply engineering (General)TC401-506ENWater Supply, Vol 21, Iss 2, Pp 797-814 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic climate change
dynamic characteristics of groundwater level
grey correlation analysis method
human activities
mann–kendall method
principal component analysis
Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes
TD201-500
River, lake, and water-supply engineering (General)
TC401-506
spellingShingle climate change
dynamic characteristics of groundwater level
grey correlation analysis method
human activities
mann–kendall method
principal component analysis
Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes
TD201-500
River, lake, and water-supply engineering (General)
TC401-506
Baizhong Yan
Xiaomeng Li
Junliang Hou
Pan Bi
Fengbo Sun
Study on the dynamic characteristics of shallow groundwater level under the influence of climate change and human activities in Cangzhou, China
description Based on the monitoring data of groundwater level, mining data and meteorological data from 1986 to 2015 in Cangzhou City, the change characteristics of depth of groundwater level were studied. On this basis, the nonparametric statistical test method (Mann–Kendall method) was used to study the trend of depth of groundwater level. Besides In addition, the principal component analysis method and grey correlation method were used to study groundwater influence factors. Finally, the multivariable time series model was used to predict the depth of groundwater level. The results showed that in the past 30 years, influenced by human activities and meteorological changes, the groundwater flow field in 1986–2015 was generally move from southwest to northeast, the depth of groundwater level was increasing from the initial 3.26 to 4.06 m, with an annual increase rate of 0.027 m/a; the contribution rate of exploitation factor, precipitation factor, evaporation factor were 40, 20 and 40%; the fitting figure of the observed values and the predicted values were very good, with an average relative error of 7.73%. According to the prediction schemes, when the evaporation increases by 5%, and the agricultural exploitation decreases by 5%, the depth of groundwater will reach 3.39 m; when the evaporation increases by 10%, and the agricultural exploitation decreases by 10%, the depth of groundwater will reach 3.32 m. This study had important reference significance for regional groundwater treatment and rational utilization. HIGHLIGHTS The variation law of groundwater level in Cangzhou is discussed.; The influencing factors of groundwater level are discussed.; This study had important reference significance for regional groundwater treatment and rational utilization.;
format article
author Baizhong Yan
Xiaomeng Li
Junliang Hou
Pan Bi
Fengbo Sun
author_facet Baizhong Yan
Xiaomeng Li
Junliang Hou
Pan Bi
Fengbo Sun
author_sort Baizhong Yan
title Study on the dynamic characteristics of shallow groundwater level under the influence of climate change and human activities in Cangzhou, China
title_short Study on the dynamic characteristics of shallow groundwater level under the influence of climate change and human activities in Cangzhou, China
title_full Study on the dynamic characteristics of shallow groundwater level under the influence of climate change and human activities in Cangzhou, China
title_fullStr Study on the dynamic characteristics of shallow groundwater level under the influence of climate change and human activities in Cangzhou, China
title_full_unstemmed Study on the dynamic characteristics of shallow groundwater level under the influence of climate change and human activities in Cangzhou, China
title_sort study on the dynamic characteristics of shallow groundwater level under the influence of climate change and human activities in cangzhou, china
publisher IWA Publishing
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/dcdad6e066c844d78ba7c855efe6eb1a
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