Development of a Hybrid Machine Learning Model for Asphalt Pavement Temperature Prediction

Machine learning (ML) models are excellent alternative solutions to model complex engineering issues with high reliability and accuracy. This paper presents two extensively explored ensemble models for predicting asphalt pavement temperature, the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and random forest (RF...

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Autores principales: Abdalrhman Abrahim Milad, Ibrahim Adwan, Sayf A. Majeed, Zubair Ahmed Memon, Munder Bilema, Hend Ali Omar, Maher G. M. Abdolrasol, Aliyu Usman, Nur Izzi Md Yusoff
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Publicado: IEEE 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/de693643f8ab4c7680d51218dff2d2d2
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:de693643f8ab4c7680d51218dff2d2d22021-12-03T00:01:16ZDevelopment of a Hybrid Machine Learning Model for Asphalt Pavement Temperature Prediction2169-353610.1109/ACCESS.2021.3129979https://doaj.org/article/de693643f8ab4c7680d51218dff2d2d22021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9623533/https://doaj.org/toc/2169-3536Machine learning (ML) models are excellent alternative solutions to model complex engineering issues with high reliability and accuracy. This paper presents two extensively explored ensemble models for predicting asphalt pavement temperature, the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and random forest (RF). The RF and multiple MCMC (RF-MCMC) were used to hybridise the proposed algorithms for the optimal prediction of asphalt pavement temperature. This study used thermal instruments to measure the asphalt pavement temperature in Gaza Strip, Palestine. The temperature measurements were made at a two-hour interval from March 2012 to February 2013. The temperature data was used to model the pavement temperature. More than 7200 measured pavement temperatures were used to train and validate the proposed models. The validation showed that the ML models are satisfactory. The modelling results ensured the value of the proposed hybridisation models in predicting the asphalt pavement temperature levels. The developed hybrid algorithms regression model achieved acceptable and better prediction results with a coefficient of determination (R<sup>2</sup>) of 0.96. Generally, the results confirmed the significance of the proposed hybrid model as a reliable alternative computer-aided model for predicting asphalt pavement temperature.Abdalrhman Abrahim MiladIbrahim AdwanSayf A. MajeedZubair Ahmed MemonMunder BilemaHend Ali OmarMaher G. M. AbdolrasolAliyu UsmanNur Izzi Md YusoffIEEEarticleGeophysical monitoringhybridisation algorithmsmachine learningmeasurementpavement temperature profileElectrical engineering. Electronics. Nuclear engineeringTK1-9971ENIEEE Access, Vol 9, Pp 158041-158056 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Geophysical monitoring
hybridisation algorithms
machine learning
measurement
pavement temperature profile
Electrical engineering. Electronics. Nuclear engineering
TK1-9971
spellingShingle Geophysical monitoring
hybridisation algorithms
machine learning
measurement
pavement temperature profile
Electrical engineering. Electronics. Nuclear engineering
TK1-9971
Abdalrhman Abrahim Milad
Ibrahim Adwan
Sayf A. Majeed
Zubair Ahmed Memon
Munder Bilema
Hend Ali Omar
Maher G. M. Abdolrasol
Aliyu Usman
Nur Izzi Md Yusoff
Development of a Hybrid Machine Learning Model for Asphalt Pavement Temperature Prediction
description Machine learning (ML) models are excellent alternative solutions to model complex engineering issues with high reliability and accuracy. This paper presents two extensively explored ensemble models for predicting asphalt pavement temperature, the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and random forest (RF). The RF and multiple MCMC (RF-MCMC) were used to hybridise the proposed algorithms for the optimal prediction of asphalt pavement temperature. This study used thermal instruments to measure the asphalt pavement temperature in Gaza Strip, Palestine. The temperature measurements were made at a two-hour interval from March 2012 to February 2013. The temperature data was used to model the pavement temperature. More than 7200 measured pavement temperatures were used to train and validate the proposed models. The validation showed that the ML models are satisfactory. The modelling results ensured the value of the proposed hybridisation models in predicting the asphalt pavement temperature levels. The developed hybrid algorithms regression model achieved acceptable and better prediction results with a coefficient of determination (R<sup>2</sup>) of 0.96. Generally, the results confirmed the significance of the proposed hybrid model as a reliable alternative computer-aided model for predicting asphalt pavement temperature.
format article
author Abdalrhman Abrahim Milad
Ibrahim Adwan
Sayf A. Majeed
Zubair Ahmed Memon
Munder Bilema
Hend Ali Omar
Maher G. M. Abdolrasol
Aliyu Usman
Nur Izzi Md Yusoff
author_facet Abdalrhman Abrahim Milad
Ibrahim Adwan
Sayf A. Majeed
Zubair Ahmed Memon
Munder Bilema
Hend Ali Omar
Maher G. M. Abdolrasol
Aliyu Usman
Nur Izzi Md Yusoff
author_sort Abdalrhman Abrahim Milad
title Development of a Hybrid Machine Learning Model for Asphalt Pavement Temperature Prediction
title_short Development of a Hybrid Machine Learning Model for Asphalt Pavement Temperature Prediction
title_full Development of a Hybrid Machine Learning Model for Asphalt Pavement Temperature Prediction
title_fullStr Development of a Hybrid Machine Learning Model for Asphalt Pavement Temperature Prediction
title_full_unstemmed Development of a Hybrid Machine Learning Model for Asphalt Pavement Temperature Prediction
title_sort development of a hybrid machine learning model for asphalt pavement temperature prediction
publisher IEEE
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/de693643f8ab4c7680d51218dff2d2d2
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