Spatially varying effects of measured confounding variables on disease risk

Abstract Background The presence of considerable spatial variability in incidence intensity suggests that risk factors are unevenly distributed in space and influence the geographical disease incidence distribution and pattern. As most human common diseases that challenge investigators are complex t...

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Autores principales: Chih-Chieh Wu, Yun-Hsuan Chu, Sanjay Shete, Chien-Hsiun Chen
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Publicado: BMC 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:de9f6e8477e24f4788667921b03d5e542021-11-14T12:27:31ZSpatially varying effects of measured confounding variables on disease risk10.1186/s12942-021-00298-61476-072Xhttps://doaj.org/article/de9f6e8477e24f4788667921b03d5e542021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1186/s12942-021-00298-6https://doaj.org/toc/1476-072XAbstract Background The presence of considerable spatial variability in incidence intensity suggests that risk factors are unevenly distributed in space and influence the geographical disease incidence distribution and pattern. As most human common diseases that challenge investigators are complex traits and as more factors associated with increased risk are discovered, statistical spatial models are needed that investigate geographical variability in the association between disease incidence and confounding variables and evaluate spatially varying effects on disease risk related to known or suspected risk factors. Information on geography that we focus on is geographical disease clusters of peak incidence and paucity of incidence. Methods We proposed and illustrated a statistical spatial model that incorporates information on known or hypothesized risk factors, previously detected geographical disease clusters of peak incidence and paucity of incidence, and their interactions as covariates into the framework of interaction regression models. The spatial scan statistic and the generalized map-based pattern recognition procedure that we recently developed were both considered for geographical disease cluster detection. The Freeman-Tukey transformation was applied to improve normality of distribution and approximately stabilize the variance in the model. We exemplified the proposed method by analyzing data on the spatial occurrence of sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) with confounding variables of race and gender in North Carolina. Results The analysis revealed the presence of spatial variability in the association between SIDS incidence and race. We differentiated spatial effects of race on SIDS incidence among previously detected geographical disease clusters of peak incidence and incidence paucity and areas outside the geographical disease clusters, determined by the spatial scan statistic and the generalized map-based pattern recognition procedure. Our analysis showed the absence of spatial association between SIDS incidence and gender. Conclusion The application to the SIDS incidence data demonstrates the ability of our proposed model to estimate spatially varying associations between disease incidence and confounding variables and distinguish spatially related risk factors from spatially constant ones, providing valuable inference for targeted environmental and epidemiological surveillance and management, risk stratification, and thorough etiologic studies of disease.Chih-Chieh WuYun-Hsuan ChuSanjay SheteChien-Hsiun ChenBMCarticleDisease clusterHierarchical disease clusterSpatial associationSpatial scan statisticSpatially varyingSudden infant death syndromeComputer applications to medicine. Medical informaticsR858-859.7ENInternational Journal of Health Geographics, Vol 20, Iss 1, Pp 1-15 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Disease cluster
Hierarchical disease cluster
Spatial association
Spatial scan statistic
Spatially varying
Sudden infant death syndrome
Computer applications to medicine. Medical informatics
R858-859.7
spellingShingle Disease cluster
Hierarchical disease cluster
Spatial association
Spatial scan statistic
Spatially varying
Sudden infant death syndrome
Computer applications to medicine. Medical informatics
R858-859.7
Chih-Chieh Wu
Yun-Hsuan Chu
Sanjay Shete
Chien-Hsiun Chen
Spatially varying effects of measured confounding variables on disease risk
description Abstract Background The presence of considerable spatial variability in incidence intensity suggests that risk factors are unevenly distributed in space and influence the geographical disease incidence distribution and pattern. As most human common diseases that challenge investigators are complex traits and as more factors associated with increased risk are discovered, statistical spatial models are needed that investigate geographical variability in the association between disease incidence and confounding variables and evaluate spatially varying effects on disease risk related to known or suspected risk factors. Information on geography that we focus on is geographical disease clusters of peak incidence and paucity of incidence. Methods We proposed and illustrated a statistical spatial model that incorporates information on known or hypothesized risk factors, previously detected geographical disease clusters of peak incidence and paucity of incidence, and their interactions as covariates into the framework of interaction regression models. The spatial scan statistic and the generalized map-based pattern recognition procedure that we recently developed were both considered for geographical disease cluster detection. The Freeman-Tukey transformation was applied to improve normality of distribution and approximately stabilize the variance in the model. We exemplified the proposed method by analyzing data on the spatial occurrence of sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) with confounding variables of race and gender in North Carolina. Results The analysis revealed the presence of spatial variability in the association between SIDS incidence and race. We differentiated spatial effects of race on SIDS incidence among previously detected geographical disease clusters of peak incidence and incidence paucity and areas outside the geographical disease clusters, determined by the spatial scan statistic and the generalized map-based pattern recognition procedure. Our analysis showed the absence of spatial association between SIDS incidence and gender. Conclusion The application to the SIDS incidence data demonstrates the ability of our proposed model to estimate spatially varying associations between disease incidence and confounding variables and distinguish spatially related risk factors from spatially constant ones, providing valuable inference for targeted environmental and epidemiological surveillance and management, risk stratification, and thorough etiologic studies of disease.
format article
author Chih-Chieh Wu
Yun-Hsuan Chu
Sanjay Shete
Chien-Hsiun Chen
author_facet Chih-Chieh Wu
Yun-Hsuan Chu
Sanjay Shete
Chien-Hsiun Chen
author_sort Chih-Chieh Wu
title Spatially varying effects of measured confounding variables on disease risk
title_short Spatially varying effects of measured confounding variables on disease risk
title_full Spatially varying effects of measured confounding variables on disease risk
title_fullStr Spatially varying effects of measured confounding variables on disease risk
title_full_unstemmed Spatially varying effects of measured confounding variables on disease risk
title_sort spatially varying effects of measured confounding variables on disease risk
publisher BMC
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/de9f6e8477e24f4788667921b03d5e54
work_keys_str_mv AT chihchiehwu spatiallyvaryingeffectsofmeasuredconfoundingvariablesondiseaserisk
AT yunhsuanchu spatiallyvaryingeffectsofmeasuredconfoundingvariablesondiseaserisk
AT sanjayshete spatiallyvaryingeffectsofmeasuredconfoundingvariablesondiseaserisk
AT chienhsiunchen spatiallyvaryingeffectsofmeasuredconfoundingvariablesondiseaserisk
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