Potential Impacts of Land Use Changes on Water Resources in a Tropical Headwater Catchment

The main objective of this study was to investigate the relationships between land use and future scenarios of land changes on water runoff and groundwater storage in an Environmental Protection Area (EPAs) watershed. The methodology was based on the application of the Soil and Water Assessment Tool...

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Autores principales: Magda Stella de Melo Martins, Carlos Alberto Valera, Marcelo Zanata, Regina Maria Bessa Santos, Vera Lúcia Abdala, Fernando António Leal Pacheco, Luís Filipe Sanches Fernandes, Teresa Cristina Tarlé Pissarra
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Publicado: MDPI AG 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/df113a4f14e946df99c83b5f262ee985
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:df113a4f14e946df99c83b5f262ee9852021-11-25T19:15:57ZPotential Impacts of Land Use Changes on Water Resources in a Tropical Headwater Catchment10.3390/w132232492073-4441https://doaj.org/article/df113a4f14e946df99c83b5f262ee9852021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/13/22/3249https://doaj.org/toc/2073-4441The main objective of this study was to investigate the relationships between land use and future scenarios of land changes on water runoff and groundwater storage in an Environmental Protection Area (EPAs) watershed. The methodology was based on the application of the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) hydrological modelling to investigate flow simulations in current land use and in two future scenarios (forest and pasture). The performance of goodness-of-fit indicators in the calibration (NSE = 0.82, R<sup>2</sup> = 0.85, PBIAS = 11.9% and RSR = 0.42) and validation (NSE = 0.70, R<sup>2</sup> = 0.72, PBIAS = −4% and RSR = 0.55) was classified as good and very good, respectively. The model accurately reproduced the inter-annual distribution of rainfall. The spatial distribution of average annual surface flow, lateral flow, and groundwater flow were different between sub-basins. The future scenario on land use change to forest (FRSE) and pasture (PAST) differed during the year, with greater changes on rainy and dry seasons. FRSE increase of 64.5% in area led to decreased surface runoff, total runoff, and soil water; and increased lateral flow, groundwater, and evapotranspiration. The effect of the natural vegetation cover on soil moisture content is still unclear. The hydrological model indicated the main areas of optimal spatial water flow. Considering economic values, those areas should encourage the development of government policies based on incentive platforms that can improve environmental soil and water sustainability by establishing payment for environmental services (PES).Magda Stella de Melo MartinsCarlos Alberto ValeraMarcelo ZanataRegina Maria Bessa SantosVera Lúcia AbdalaFernando António Leal PachecoLuís Filipe Sanches FernandesTeresa Cristina Tarlé PissarraMDPI AGarticleflowwater dischargeland useland changeSWAT modelHydraulic engineeringTC1-978Water supply for domestic and industrial purposesTD201-500ENWater, Vol 13, Iss 3249, p 3249 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic flow
water discharge
land use
land change
SWAT model
Hydraulic engineering
TC1-978
Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes
TD201-500
spellingShingle flow
water discharge
land use
land change
SWAT model
Hydraulic engineering
TC1-978
Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes
TD201-500
Magda Stella de Melo Martins
Carlos Alberto Valera
Marcelo Zanata
Regina Maria Bessa Santos
Vera Lúcia Abdala
Fernando António Leal Pacheco
Luís Filipe Sanches Fernandes
Teresa Cristina Tarlé Pissarra
Potential Impacts of Land Use Changes on Water Resources in a Tropical Headwater Catchment
description The main objective of this study was to investigate the relationships between land use and future scenarios of land changes on water runoff and groundwater storage in an Environmental Protection Area (EPAs) watershed. The methodology was based on the application of the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) hydrological modelling to investigate flow simulations in current land use and in two future scenarios (forest and pasture). The performance of goodness-of-fit indicators in the calibration (NSE = 0.82, R<sup>2</sup> = 0.85, PBIAS = 11.9% and RSR = 0.42) and validation (NSE = 0.70, R<sup>2</sup> = 0.72, PBIAS = −4% and RSR = 0.55) was classified as good and very good, respectively. The model accurately reproduced the inter-annual distribution of rainfall. The spatial distribution of average annual surface flow, lateral flow, and groundwater flow were different between sub-basins. The future scenario on land use change to forest (FRSE) and pasture (PAST) differed during the year, with greater changes on rainy and dry seasons. FRSE increase of 64.5% in area led to decreased surface runoff, total runoff, and soil water; and increased lateral flow, groundwater, and evapotranspiration. The effect of the natural vegetation cover on soil moisture content is still unclear. The hydrological model indicated the main areas of optimal spatial water flow. Considering economic values, those areas should encourage the development of government policies based on incentive platforms that can improve environmental soil and water sustainability by establishing payment for environmental services (PES).
format article
author Magda Stella de Melo Martins
Carlos Alberto Valera
Marcelo Zanata
Regina Maria Bessa Santos
Vera Lúcia Abdala
Fernando António Leal Pacheco
Luís Filipe Sanches Fernandes
Teresa Cristina Tarlé Pissarra
author_facet Magda Stella de Melo Martins
Carlos Alberto Valera
Marcelo Zanata
Regina Maria Bessa Santos
Vera Lúcia Abdala
Fernando António Leal Pacheco
Luís Filipe Sanches Fernandes
Teresa Cristina Tarlé Pissarra
author_sort Magda Stella de Melo Martins
title Potential Impacts of Land Use Changes on Water Resources in a Tropical Headwater Catchment
title_short Potential Impacts of Land Use Changes on Water Resources in a Tropical Headwater Catchment
title_full Potential Impacts of Land Use Changes on Water Resources in a Tropical Headwater Catchment
title_fullStr Potential Impacts of Land Use Changes on Water Resources in a Tropical Headwater Catchment
title_full_unstemmed Potential Impacts of Land Use Changes on Water Resources in a Tropical Headwater Catchment
title_sort potential impacts of land use changes on water resources in a tropical headwater catchment
publisher MDPI AG
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/df113a4f14e946df99c83b5f262ee985
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