Projecting the Potential Distribution of Glossina morsitans (Diptera: Glossinidae) under Climate Change Using the MaxEnt Model

Glossina morsitans is a vector for Human African Trypanosomiasis (HAT), which is mainly distributed in sub-Saharan Africa at present. Our objective was to project the historical and future potentially suitable areas globally and explore the influence of climatic factors. The maxim...

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Autores principales:	Ruobing Zhou, Yuan Gao, Nan Chang, Tai Gao, Delong Ma, Chao Li, Qiyong Liu
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	MDPI AG 2021
Materias:	tsetse fly suitability potentially suitable habitat Biology (General) QH301-705.5
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/df530aab3d88404291f8f48eeee088db
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:df530aab3d88404291f8f48eeee088db2021-11-25T16:47:29ZProjecting the Potential Distribution of <i>Glossina</i> <i>morsitans</i> (Diptera: Glossinidae) under Climate Change Using the MaxEnt Model10.3390/biology101111502079-7737https://doaj.org/article/df530aab3d88404291f8f48eeee088db2021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2079-7737/10/11/1150https://doaj.org/toc/2079-7737<i>Glossina morsitans</i> is a vector for Human African Trypanosomiasis (HAT), which is mainly distributed in sub-Saharan Africa at present. Our objective was to project the historical and future potentially suitable areas globally and explore the influence of climatic factors. The maximum entropy model (MaxEnt) was utilized to evaluate the contribution rates of bio-climatic factors and to project suitable habitats for <i>G. morsitans</i>. We found that Isothermality and Precipitation of Wettest Quarter contributed most to the distribution of <i>G. morsitans</i>. The predicted potentially suitable areas for <i>G. morsitans</i> under historical climate conditions would be 14.5 million km<sup>2</sup>, including a large area of Africa which is near and below the equator, small equatorial regions of southern Asia, America, and Oceania. Under future climate conditions, the potentially suitable areas are expected to decline by about −5.38 ± 1.00% overall, under all shared socioeconomic pathways, compared with 1970–2000. The potentially suitable habitats of <i>G. morsitans</i> may not be limited to Africa. Necessary surveillance and preventive measures should be taken in high-risk regions.Ruobing ZhouYuan GaoNan ChangTai GaoDelong MaChao LiQiyong LiuMDPI AGarticletsetse flysuitabilitypotentially suitable habitatBiology (General)QH301-705.5ENBiology, Vol 10, Iss 1150, p 1150 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	tsetse fly suitability potentially suitable habitat Biology (General) QH301-705.5
spellingShingle	tsetse fly suitability potentially suitable habitat Biology (General) QH301-705.5 Ruobing Zhou Yuan Gao Nan Chang Tai Gao Delong Ma Chao Li Qiyong Liu Projecting the Potential Distribution of <i>Glossina</i> <i>morsitans</i> (Diptera: Glossinidae) under Climate Change Using the MaxEnt Model
description	<i>Glossina morsitans</i> is a vector for Human African Trypanosomiasis (HAT), which is mainly distributed in sub-Saharan Africa at present. Our objective was to project the historical and future potentially suitable areas globally and explore the influence of climatic factors. The maximum entropy model (MaxEnt) was utilized to evaluate the contribution rates of bio-climatic factors and to project suitable habitats for <i>G. morsitans</i>. We found that Isothermality and Precipitation of Wettest Quarter contributed most to the distribution of <i>G. morsitans</i>. The predicted potentially suitable areas for <i>G. morsitans</i> under historical climate conditions would be 14.5 million km<sup>2</sup>, including a large area of Africa which is near and below the equator, small equatorial regions of southern Asia, America, and Oceania. Under future climate conditions, the potentially suitable areas are expected to decline by about −5.38 ± 1.00% overall, under all shared socioeconomic pathways, compared with 1970–2000. The potentially suitable habitats of <i>G. morsitans</i> may not be limited to Africa. Necessary surveillance and preventive measures should be taken in high-risk regions.
format	article
author	Ruobing Zhou Yuan Gao Nan Chang Tai Gao Delong Ma Chao Li Qiyong Liu
author_facet	Ruobing Zhou Yuan Gao Nan Chang Tai Gao Delong Ma Chao Li Qiyong Liu
author_sort	Ruobing Zhou
title	Projecting the Potential Distribution of <i>Glossina</i> <i>morsitans</i> (Diptera: Glossinidae) under Climate Change Using the MaxEnt Model
title_short	Projecting the Potential Distribution of <i>Glossina</i> <i>morsitans</i> (Diptera: Glossinidae) under Climate Change Using the MaxEnt Model
title_full	Projecting the Potential Distribution of <i>Glossina</i> <i>morsitans</i> (Diptera: Glossinidae) under Climate Change Using the MaxEnt Model
title_fullStr	Projecting the Potential Distribution of <i>Glossina</i> <i>morsitans</i> (Diptera: Glossinidae) under Climate Change Using the MaxEnt Model
title_full_unstemmed	Projecting the Potential Distribution of <i>Glossina</i> <i>morsitans</i> (Diptera: Glossinidae) under Climate Change Using the MaxEnt Model
title_sort	projecting the potential distribution of <i>glossina</i> <i>morsitans</i> (diptera: glossinidae) under climate change using the maxent model
publisher	MDPI AG
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/df530aab3d88404291f8f48eeee088db
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Projecting the Potential Distribution of <i>Glossina</i> <i>morsitans</i> (Diptera: Glossinidae) under Climate Change Using the MaxEnt Model

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