Systematic Assessment of the Climate Sensitivity of Important Human and Domestic Animals Pathogens in Europe
Abstract Climate change is expected to threaten human health and well-being via its effects on climate-sensitive infectious diseases, potentially changing their spatial distributions, affecting annual/seasonal cycles, or altering disease incidence and severity. Climate sensitivity of pathogens is a...
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Nature Portfolio
2017
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oai:doaj.org-article:e02ad9b4cd554e1080d328773b3e01ba2021-12-02T12:31:54ZSystematic Assessment of the Climate Sensitivity of Important Human and Domestic Animals Pathogens in Europe10.1038/s41598-017-06948-92045-2322https://doaj.org/article/e02ad9b4cd554e1080d328773b3e01ba2017-08-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-06948-9https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Climate change is expected to threaten human health and well-being via its effects on climate-sensitive infectious diseases, potentially changing their spatial distributions, affecting annual/seasonal cycles, or altering disease incidence and severity. Climate sensitivity of pathogens is a key indicator that diseases might respond to climate change, but the proportion of pathogens that is climate-sensitive, and their characteristics, are not known. The climate sensitivity of European human and domestic animal infectious pathogens, and the characteristics associated with sensitivity, were assessed systematically in terms of selection of pathogens and choice of literature reviewed. Sixty-three percent (N = 157) of pathogens were climate sensitive; 82% to primary drivers such as rainfall and temperature. Protozoa and helminths, vector-borne, foodborne, soilborne and waterborne transmission routes were associated with larger numbers of climate drivers. Zoonotic pathogens were more climate sensitive than human- or animal-only pathogens. Thirty-seven percent of disability-adjusted-life-years arise from human infectious diseases that are sensitive to primary climate drivers. These results help prioritize surveillance for pathogens that may respond to climate change. Although this study identifies a high degree of climate sensitivity among important pathogens, their response to climate change will be dependent on the nature of their association with climate drivers and impacts of other drivers.K. Marie McIntyreChristian SetzkornPhilip J. HepworthSerge MorandAndrew P. MorseMatthew BaylisNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-10 (2017) |
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Medicine R Science Q K. Marie McIntyre Christian Setzkorn Philip J. Hepworth Serge Morand Andrew P. Morse Matthew Baylis Systematic Assessment of the Climate Sensitivity of Important Human and Domestic Animals Pathogens in Europe |
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Abstract Climate change is expected to threaten human health and well-being via its effects on climate-sensitive infectious diseases, potentially changing their spatial distributions, affecting annual/seasonal cycles, or altering disease incidence and severity. Climate sensitivity of pathogens is a key indicator that diseases might respond to climate change, but the proportion of pathogens that is climate-sensitive, and their characteristics, are not known. The climate sensitivity of European human and domestic animal infectious pathogens, and the characteristics associated with sensitivity, were assessed systematically in terms of selection of pathogens and choice of literature reviewed. Sixty-three percent (N = 157) of pathogens were climate sensitive; 82% to primary drivers such as rainfall and temperature. Protozoa and helminths, vector-borne, foodborne, soilborne and waterborne transmission routes were associated with larger numbers of climate drivers. Zoonotic pathogens were more climate sensitive than human- or animal-only pathogens. Thirty-seven percent of disability-adjusted-life-years arise from human infectious diseases that are sensitive to primary climate drivers. These results help prioritize surveillance for pathogens that may respond to climate change. Although this study identifies a high degree of climate sensitivity among important pathogens, their response to climate change will be dependent on the nature of their association with climate drivers and impacts of other drivers. |
format |
article |
author |
K. Marie McIntyre Christian Setzkorn Philip J. Hepworth Serge Morand Andrew P. Morse Matthew Baylis |
author_facet |
K. Marie McIntyre Christian Setzkorn Philip J. Hepworth Serge Morand Andrew P. Morse Matthew Baylis |
author_sort |
K. Marie McIntyre |
title |
Systematic Assessment of the Climate Sensitivity of Important Human and Domestic Animals Pathogens in Europe |
title_short |
Systematic Assessment of the Climate Sensitivity of Important Human and Domestic Animals Pathogens in Europe |
title_full |
Systematic Assessment of the Climate Sensitivity of Important Human and Domestic Animals Pathogens in Europe |
title_fullStr |
Systematic Assessment of the Climate Sensitivity of Important Human and Domestic Animals Pathogens in Europe |
title_full_unstemmed |
Systematic Assessment of the Climate Sensitivity of Important Human and Domestic Animals Pathogens in Europe |
title_sort |
systematic assessment of the climate sensitivity of important human and domestic animals pathogens in europe |
publisher |
Nature Portfolio |
publishDate |
2017 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/e02ad9b4cd554e1080d328773b3e01ba |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT kmariemcintyre systematicassessmentoftheclimatesensitivityofimportanthumananddomesticanimalspathogensineurope AT christiansetzkorn systematicassessmentoftheclimatesensitivityofimportanthumananddomesticanimalspathogensineurope AT philipjhepworth systematicassessmentoftheclimatesensitivityofimportanthumananddomesticanimalspathogensineurope AT sergemorand systematicassessmentoftheclimatesensitivityofimportanthumananddomesticanimalspathogensineurope AT andrewpmorse systematicassessmentoftheclimatesensitivityofimportanthumananddomesticanimalspathogensineurope AT matthewbaylis systematicassessmentoftheclimatesensitivityofimportanthumananddomesticanimalspathogensineurope |
_version_ |
1718394248515026944 |