Systematic Assessment of the Climate Sensitivity of Important Human and Domestic Animals Pathogens in Europe

Abstract Climate change is expected to threaten human health and well-being via its effects on climate-sensitive infectious diseases, potentially changing their spatial distributions, affecting annual/seasonal cycles, or altering disease incidence and severity. Climate sensitivity of pathogens is a...

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Autores principales: K. Marie McIntyre, Christian Setzkorn, Philip J. Hepworth, Serge Morand, Andrew P. Morse, Matthew Baylis
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Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2017
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/e02ad9b4cd554e1080d328773b3e01ba
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:e02ad9b4cd554e1080d328773b3e01ba2021-12-02T12:31:54ZSystematic Assessment of the Climate Sensitivity of Important Human and Domestic Animals Pathogens in Europe10.1038/s41598-017-06948-92045-2322https://doaj.org/article/e02ad9b4cd554e1080d328773b3e01ba2017-08-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-06948-9https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Climate change is expected to threaten human health and well-being via its effects on climate-sensitive infectious diseases, potentially changing their spatial distributions, affecting annual/seasonal cycles, or altering disease incidence and severity. Climate sensitivity of pathogens is a key indicator that diseases might respond to climate change, but the proportion of pathogens that is climate-sensitive, and their characteristics, are not known. The climate sensitivity of European human and domestic animal infectious pathogens, and the characteristics associated with sensitivity, were assessed systematically in terms of selection of pathogens and choice of literature reviewed. Sixty-three percent (N = 157) of pathogens were climate sensitive; 82% to primary drivers such as rainfall and temperature. Protozoa and helminths, vector-borne, foodborne, soilborne and waterborne transmission routes were associated with larger numbers of climate drivers. Zoonotic pathogens were more climate sensitive than human- or animal-only pathogens. Thirty-seven percent of disability-adjusted-life-years arise from human infectious diseases that are sensitive to primary climate drivers. These results help prioritize surveillance for pathogens that may respond to climate change. Although this study identifies a high degree of climate sensitivity among important pathogens, their response to climate change will be dependent on the nature of their association with climate drivers and impacts of other drivers.K. Marie McIntyreChristian SetzkornPhilip J. HepworthSerge MorandAndrew P. MorseMatthew BaylisNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-10 (2017)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
K. Marie McIntyre
Christian Setzkorn
Philip J. Hepworth
Serge Morand
Andrew P. Morse
Matthew Baylis
Systematic Assessment of the Climate Sensitivity of Important Human and Domestic Animals Pathogens in Europe
description Abstract Climate change is expected to threaten human health and well-being via its effects on climate-sensitive infectious diseases, potentially changing their spatial distributions, affecting annual/seasonal cycles, or altering disease incidence and severity. Climate sensitivity of pathogens is a key indicator that diseases might respond to climate change, but the proportion of pathogens that is climate-sensitive, and their characteristics, are not known. The climate sensitivity of European human and domestic animal infectious pathogens, and the characteristics associated with sensitivity, were assessed systematically in terms of selection of pathogens and choice of literature reviewed. Sixty-three percent (N = 157) of pathogens were climate sensitive; 82% to primary drivers such as rainfall and temperature. Protozoa and helminths, vector-borne, foodborne, soilborne and waterborne transmission routes were associated with larger numbers of climate drivers. Zoonotic pathogens were more climate sensitive than human- or animal-only pathogens. Thirty-seven percent of disability-adjusted-life-years arise from human infectious diseases that are sensitive to primary climate drivers. These results help prioritize surveillance for pathogens that may respond to climate change. Although this study identifies a high degree of climate sensitivity among important pathogens, their response to climate change will be dependent on the nature of their association with climate drivers and impacts of other drivers.
format article
author K. Marie McIntyre
Christian Setzkorn
Philip J. Hepworth
Serge Morand
Andrew P. Morse
Matthew Baylis
author_facet K. Marie McIntyre
Christian Setzkorn
Philip J. Hepworth
Serge Morand
Andrew P. Morse
Matthew Baylis
author_sort K. Marie McIntyre
title Systematic Assessment of the Climate Sensitivity of Important Human and Domestic Animals Pathogens in Europe
title_short Systematic Assessment of the Climate Sensitivity of Important Human and Domestic Animals Pathogens in Europe
title_full Systematic Assessment of the Climate Sensitivity of Important Human and Domestic Animals Pathogens in Europe
title_fullStr Systematic Assessment of the Climate Sensitivity of Important Human and Domestic Animals Pathogens in Europe
title_full_unstemmed Systematic Assessment of the Climate Sensitivity of Important Human and Domestic Animals Pathogens in Europe
title_sort systematic assessment of the climate sensitivity of important human and domestic animals pathogens in europe
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2017
url https://doaj.org/article/e02ad9b4cd554e1080d328773b3e01ba
work_keys_str_mv AT kmariemcintyre systematicassessmentoftheclimatesensitivityofimportanthumananddomesticanimalspathogensineurope
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