Modelling the potential impact of mask use in schools and society on COVID-19 control in the UK

Abstract As the UK reopened after the first wave of the COVID-19 epidemic, crucial questions emerged around the role for ongoing interventions, including test-trace-isolate (TTI) strategies and mandatory masks. Here we assess the importance of masks in secondary schools by evaluating their impact ov...

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Autores principales:	J. Panovska-Griffiths, C. C. Kerr, W. Waites, R. M. Stuart, D. Mistry, D. Foster, D. J. Klein, R. M. Viner, C. Bonell
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2021
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/e0bbc35d3e914dae99333e3a05817d60
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:e0bbc35d3e914dae99333e3a05817d602021-12-02T18:27:47ZModelling the potential impact of mask use in schools and society on COVID-19 control in the UK10.1038/s41598-021-88075-02045-2322https://doaj.org/article/e0bbc35d3e914dae99333e3a05817d602021-04-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-88075-0https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract As the UK reopened after the first wave of the COVID-19 epidemic, crucial questions emerged around the role for ongoing interventions, including test-trace-isolate (TTI) strategies and mandatory masks. Here we assess the importance of masks in secondary schools by evaluating their impact over September 1–October 23, 2020. We show that, assuming TTI levels from August 2020 and no fundamental changes in the virus’s transmissibility, adoption of masks in secondary schools would have reduced the predicted size of a second wave, but preventing it would have required 68% or 46% of those with symptoms to seek testing (assuming masks’ effective coverage 15% or 30% respectively). With masks in community settings but not secondary schools, the required testing rates increase to 76% and 57%.J. Panovska-GriffithsC. C. KerrW. WaitesR. M. StuartD. MistryD. FosterD. J. KleinR. M. VinerC. BonellNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-12 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q J. Panovska-Griffiths C. C. Kerr W. Waites R. M. Stuart D. Mistry D. Foster D. J. Klein R. M. Viner C. Bonell Modelling the potential impact of mask use in schools and society on COVID-19 control in the UK
description	Abstract As the UK reopened after the first wave of the COVID-19 epidemic, crucial questions emerged around the role for ongoing interventions, including test-trace-isolate (TTI) strategies and mandatory masks. Here we assess the importance of masks in secondary schools by evaluating their impact over September 1–October 23, 2020. We show that, assuming TTI levels from August 2020 and no fundamental changes in the virus’s transmissibility, adoption of masks in secondary schools would have reduced the predicted size of a second wave, but preventing it would have required 68% or 46% of those with symptoms to seek testing (assuming masks’ effective coverage 15% or 30% respectively). With masks in community settings but not secondary schools, the required testing rates increase to 76% and 57%.
format	article
author	J. Panovska-Griffiths C. C. Kerr W. Waites R. M. Stuart D. Mistry D. Foster D. J. Klein R. M. Viner C. Bonell
author_facet	J. Panovska-Griffiths C. C. Kerr W. Waites R. M. Stuart D. Mistry D. Foster D. J. Klein R. M. Viner C. Bonell
author_sort	J. Panovska-Griffiths
title	Modelling the potential impact of mask use in schools and society on COVID-19 control in the UK
title_short	Modelling the potential impact of mask use in schools and society on COVID-19 control in the UK
title_full	Modelling the potential impact of mask use in schools and society on COVID-19 control in the UK
title_fullStr	Modelling the potential impact of mask use in schools and society on COVID-19 control in the UK
title_full_unstemmed	Modelling the potential impact of mask use in schools and society on COVID-19 control in the UK
title_sort	modelling the potential impact of mask use in schools and society on covid-19 control in the uk
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/e0bbc35d3e914dae99333e3a05817d60
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Modelling the potential impact of mask use in schools and society on COVID-19 control in the UK

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