Suicides in the COVID-19 Pandemic — Are We Well Informed Regarding Current Risks and Future Prospects?

Background. Suicides are predicted to drop in the acute phase of any crisis that poses a threat to the entire population, though data on this are inconsistent. A pandemic is the most severe global crisis one can imagine. There is an urgent need to identify objective trends in suicide rates across co...

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Autores principales:	Vsevolod A. Rozanov, Natalia V. Semenova, Aleksandr Ja. Vuks, Victoria V. Freize, Vladimir D. Isakov, Orazmurad D. Yagmurov, Nikolay G. Neznanov
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN RU
Publicado:	Eco-Vector 2021
Materias:	suicide covid-19 pandemic crisis acute phase containment measures Psychiatry RC435-571 Psychology BF1-990
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/e212a38bb8b147b8a83ec544be4f419e
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:e212a38bb8b147b8a83ec544be4f419e2021-11-30T16:05:53ZSuicides in the COVID-19 Pandemic — Are We Well Informed Regarding Current Risks and Future Prospects?2712-76722713-291910.17816/CP56https://doaj.org/article/e212a38bb8b147b8a83ec544be4f419e2021-03-01T00:00:00Zhttps://consortium-psy.com/jour/article/viewFile/56/27https://doaj.org/toc/2712-7672https://doaj.org/toc/2713-2919Background. Suicides are predicted to drop in the acute phase of any crisis that poses a threat to the entire population, though data on this are inconsistent. A pandemic is the most severe global crisis one can imagine. There is an urgent need to identify objective trends in suicide rates across countries and populations in a real-time manner in order to be better informed regarding prospects and adaptation of preventive strategies. Objectives. To evaluate suicidal behaviour in a metropolis immediately after the introduction of severe containment measures due to the pandemic. Methods. Cases of completed suicides in St. Petersburg were obtained from the local city Bureau of Forensic Medical Examinations for the period 1 January 2016 to 31 July 2020. Data were accurately collected and monthly frequencies per 100,000 of the population in April-May 2020 (introduction of the most severe stay at home measures) were compared with corresponding data from 2016-2019. Confidence intervals were calculated according to Wilson. Results. Suicide frequencies in the population of St. Petersburg in April 2020 did not go up, in contrast, they were 30.3% lower than the average for the previous four years. The decrease in April was more pronounced in males than in females (36.3% and12.4%, respectively). When looking at age groups it was found that the biggest drop in suicides was in older males ( 55 years). In this group, suicide indices were 58.5% lower than average for the previous four years. However, in females, there was a 50% rise in suicides in June, while in young males (15-34 years) there was an 87.9% rise in May. Total number of suicides for the first half of 2020 was very close to the average seen in previous years. None of the registered changes were statistically significant. Conclusions. The analysis is preliminary and does not account for possible seasonality, however, we consider that the reduction in completed suicides immediately after crisis exposure deserves attention. It supports views that in the acute phase of the crisis, suicidal behaviour may decline, which may be quickly replaced by a rise. Such a rise in females and younger males points on possible risk groups and requires a response from society. More studies are needed to have a clearer picture of suicide dynamics in Russia during the different waves of the pandemic, and prevention should be prioritized regardless of the tendencies.Vsevolod A. RozanovNatalia V. SemenovaAleksandr Ja. VuksVictoria V. FreizeVladimir D. IsakovOrazmurad D. YagmurovNikolay G. NeznanovEco-Vectorarticlesuicidecovid-19pandemiccrisisacute phasecontainment measuresPsychiatryRC435-571PsychologyBF1-990ENRUConsortium Psychiatricum, Vol 2, Iss 1, Pp 32-39 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN RU
topic	suicide covid-19 pandemic crisis acute phase containment measures Psychiatry RC435-571 Psychology BF1-990
spellingShingle	suicide covid-19 pandemic crisis acute phase containment measures Psychiatry RC435-571 Psychology BF1-990 Vsevolod A. Rozanov Natalia V. Semenova Aleksandr Ja. Vuks Victoria V. Freize Vladimir D. Isakov Orazmurad D. Yagmurov Nikolay G. Neznanov Suicides in the COVID-19 Pandemic — Are We Well Informed Regarding Current Risks and Future Prospects?
description	Background. Suicides are predicted to drop in the acute phase of any crisis that poses a threat to the entire population, though data on this are inconsistent. A pandemic is the most severe global crisis one can imagine. There is an urgent need to identify objective trends in suicide rates across countries and populations in a real-time manner in order to be better informed regarding prospects and adaptation of preventive strategies. Objectives. To evaluate suicidal behaviour in a metropolis immediately after the introduction of severe containment measures due to the pandemic. Methods. Cases of completed suicides in St. Petersburg were obtained from the local city Bureau of Forensic Medical Examinations for the period 1 January 2016 to 31 July 2020. Data were accurately collected and monthly frequencies per 100,000 of the population in April-May 2020 (introduction of the most severe stay at home measures) were compared with corresponding data from 2016-2019. Confidence intervals were calculated according to Wilson. Results. Suicide frequencies in the population of St. Petersburg in April 2020 did not go up, in contrast, they were 30.3% lower than the average for the previous four years. The decrease in April was more pronounced in males than in females (36.3% and12.4%, respectively). When looking at age groups it was found that the biggest drop in suicides was in older males ( 55 years). In this group, suicide indices were 58.5% lower than average for the previous four years. However, in females, there was a 50% rise in suicides in June, while in young males (15-34 years) there was an 87.9% rise in May. Total number of suicides for the first half of 2020 was very close to the average seen in previous years. None of the registered changes were statistically significant. Conclusions. The analysis is preliminary and does not account for possible seasonality, however, we consider that the reduction in completed suicides immediately after crisis exposure deserves attention. It supports views that in the acute phase of the crisis, suicidal behaviour may decline, which may be quickly replaced by a rise. Such a rise in females and younger males points on possible risk groups and requires a response from society. More studies are needed to have a clearer picture of suicide dynamics in Russia during the different waves of the pandemic, and prevention should be prioritized regardless of the tendencies.
format	article
author	Vsevolod A. Rozanov Natalia V. Semenova Aleksandr Ja. Vuks Victoria V. Freize Vladimir D. Isakov Orazmurad D. Yagmurov Nikolay G. Neznanov
author_facet	Vsevolod A. Rozanov Natalia V. Semenova Aleksandr Ja. Vuks Victoria V. Freize Vladimir D. Isakov Orazmurad D. Yagmurov Nikolay G. Neznanov
author_sort	Vsevolod A. Rozanov
title	Suicides in the COVID-19 Pandemic — Are We Well Informed Regarding Current Risks and Future Prospects?
title_short	Suicides in the COVID-19 Pandemic — Are We Well Informed Regarding Current Risks and Future Prospects?
title_full	Suicides in the COVID-19 Pandemic — Are We Well Informed Regarding Current Risks and Future Prospects?
title_fullStr	Suicides in the COVID-19 Pandemic — Are We Well Informed Regarding Current Risks and Future Prospects?
title_full_unstemmed	Suicides in the COVID-19 Pandemic — Are We Well Informed Regarding Current Risks and Future Prospects?
title_sort	suicides in the covid-19 pandemic — are we well informed regarding current risks and future prospects?
publisher	Eco-Vector
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/e212a38bb8b147b8a83ec544be4f419e
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Suicides in the COVID-19 Pandemic — Are We Well Informed Regarding Current Risks and Future Prospects?

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