Dormant categories and spatial resolution affect the perception of land cover change model performance

Most models of land cover change predict change using physical and socio-economic factors in raster grids where temporal and spatial scales must be selected to optimize prediction and calculation time. This study tests the impacts of spatial extent and spatial resolution (cell size) on land cover ch...

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Autores principales: Hari G. Roy, Dennis M. Fox, Karine Emsellem
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Publicado: Unité Mixte de Recherche 8504 Géographie-cités 2016
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/e2c20212c3c3467988fe5d11821966b7
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:e2c20212c3c3467988fe5d11821966b72021-12-02T11:14:05ZDormant categories and spatial resolution affect the perception of land cover change model performance1278-336610.4000/cybergeo.27794https://doaj.org/article/e2c20212c3c3467988fe5d11821966b72016-09-01T00:00:00Zhttp://journals.openedition.org/cybergeo/27794https://doaj.org/toc/1278-3366Most models of land cover change predict change using physical and socio-economic factors in raster grids where temporal and spatial scales must be selected to optimize prediction and calculation time. This study tests the impacts of spatial extent and spatial resolution (cell size) on land cover change modelling. Spatial extent here is equivalent to increasing the area of a dormant category. Two extents (33.6 km² and 79.1 km²) and three resolutions (25 m, 50 m and 100 m) were tested on study zones located in SE France in the Var department. The 50 m and 100 m resolutions were downscaled back to 25 m and compared to the initial 25 m maps. Land cover maps dated from 1950, 1982, 2003 and 2011, and IDRISI’s Land Change Modeler (LCM) was used to predict 2011. Dormant category improved Cramer’s V values (1.3 to 1.5 time greater) and quantity and allocation disagreement values. Actual change predictions were similar for the two zones, but the high persistent forest in the large window artificially improved prediction statistics, so increasing dormant category area (spatial extent) artificially inflates prediction statistics. Spatial resolution appeared to have little impact at first, but upscaling/downscaling revealed that coarser cell sizes lose predictive power (1.5-2 times greater allocation errors). The dormant category area should be minimized and upscaling/downscaling should be done if data are modelled at coarser resolutions than original cell size.Hari G. RoyDennis M. FoxKarine EmsellemUnité Mixte de Recherche 8504 Géographie-citésarticleland coverlandscape modeling/modellingLand Change Modelerareaspatial resolutionGeography (General)G1-922DEENFRITPTCybergeo (2016)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language DE
EN
FR
IT
PT
topic land cover
landscape modeling/modelling
Land Change Modeler
area
spatial resolution
Geography (General)
G1-922
spellingShingle land cover
landscape modeling/modelling
Land Change Modeler
area
spatial resolution
Geography (General)
G1-922
Hari G. Roy
Dennis M. Fox
Karine Emsellem
Dormant categories and spatial resolution affect the perception of land cover change model performance
description Most models of land cover change predict change using physical and socio-economic factors in raster grids where temporal and spatial scales must be selected to optimize prediction and calculation time. This study tests the impacts of spatial extent and spatial resolution (cell size) on land cover change modelling. Spatial extent here is equivalent to increasing the area of a dormant category. Two extents (33.6 km² and 79.1 km²) and three resolutions (25 m, 50 m and 100 m) were tested on study zones located in SE France in the Var department. The 50 m and 100 m resolutions were downscaled back to 25 m and compared to the initial 25 m maps. Land cover maps dated from 1950, 1982, 2003 and 2011, and IDRISI’s Land Change Modeler (LCM) was used to predict 2011. Dormant category improved Cramer’s V values (1.3 to 1.5 time greater) and quantity and allocation disagreement values. Actual change predictions were similar for the two zones, but the high persistent forest in the large window artificially improved prediction statistics, so increasing dormant category area (spatial extent) artificially inflates prediction statistics. Spatial resolution appeared to have little impact at first, but upscaling/downscaling revealed that coarser cell sizes lose predictive power (1.5-2 times greater allocation errors). The dormant category area should be minimized and upscaling/downscaling should be done if data are modelled at coarser resolutions than original cell size.
format article
author Hari G. Roy
Dennis M. Fox
Karine Emsellem
author_facet Hari G. Roy
Dennis M. Fox
Karine Emsellem
author_sort Hari G. Roy
title Dormant categories and spatial resolution affect the perception of land cover change model performance
title_short Dormant categories and spatial resolution affect the perception of land cover change model performance
title_full Dormant categories and spatial resolution affect the perception of land cover change model performance
title_fullStr Dormant categories and spatial resolution affect the perception of land cover change model performance
title_full_unstemmed Dormant categories and spatial resolution affect the perception of land cover change model performance
title_sort dormant categories and spatial resolution affect the perception of land cover change model performance
publisher Unité Mixte de Recherche 8504 Géographie-cités
publishDate 2016
url https://doaj.org/article/e2c20212c3c3467988fe5d11821966b7
work_keys_str_mv AT harigroy dormantcategoriesandspatialresolutionaffecttheperceptionoflandcoverchangemodelperformance
AT dennismfox dormantcategoriesandspatialresolutionaffecttheperceptionoflandcoverchangemodelperformance
AT karineemsellem dormantcategoriesandspatialresolutionaffecttheperceptionoflandcoverchangemodelperformance
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