Systemic stress test model for shared portfolio networks

Abstract We propose a dynamic model for systemic risk using a bipartite network of banks and assets in which the weight of links and node attributes vary over time. Using market data and bank asset holdings, we are able to estimate a single parameter as an indicator of the stability of the financial...

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Autores principales: Irena Vodenska, Nima Dehmamy, Alexander P. Becker, Sergey V. Buldyrev, Shlomo Havlin
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/e34544dd6712478ab8ba1a2efab23343
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:e34544dd6712478ab8ba1a2efab233432021-12-02T14:26:47ZSystemic stress test model for shared portfolio networks10.1038/s41598-021-82904-y2045-2322https://doaj.org/article/e34544dd6712478ab8ba1a2efab233432021-02-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-82904-yhttps://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract We propose a dynamic model for systemic risk using a bipartite network of banks and assets in which the weight of links and node attributes vary over time. Using market data and bank asset holdings, we are able to estimate a single parameter as an indicator of the stability of the financial system. We apply the model to the European sovereign debt crisis and observe that the results closely match real-world events (e.g., the high risk of Greek sovereign bonds and the distress of Greek banks). Our model could become complementary to existing stress tests, incorporating the contribution of interconnectivity of the banks to systemic risk in time-dependent networks. Additionally, we propose an institutional systemic importance ranking, BankRank, for the financial institutions analyzed in this study to assess the contribution of individual banks to the overall systemic risk.Irena VodenskaNima DehmamyAlexander P. BeckerSergey V. BuldyrevShlomo HavlinNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-12 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Irena Vodenska
Nima Dehmamy
Alexander P. Becker
Sergey V. Buldyrev
Shlomo Havlin
Systemic stress test model for shared portfolio networks
description Abstract We propose a dynamic model for systemic risk using a bipartite network of banks and assets in which the weight of links and node attributes vary over time. Using market data and bank asset holdings, we are able to estimate a single parameter as an indicator of the stability of the financial system. We apply the model to the European sovereign debt crisis and observe that the results closely match real-world events (e.g., the high risk of Greek sovereign bonds and the distress of Greek banks). Our model could become complementary to existing stress tests, incorporating the contribution of interconnectivity of the banks to systemic risk in time-dependent networks. Additionally, we propose an institutional systemic importance ranking, BankRank, for the financial institutions analyzed in this study to assess the contribution of individual banks to the overall systemic risk.
format article
author Irena Vodenska
Nima Dehmamy
Alexander P. Becker
Sergey V. Buldyrev
Shlomo Havlin
author_facet Irena Vodenska
Nima Dehmamy
Alexander P. Becker
Sergey V. Buldyrev
Shlomo Havlin
author_sort Irena Vodenska
title Systemic stress test model for shared portfolio networks
title_short Systemic stress test model for shared portfolio networks
title_full Systemic stress test model for shared portfolio networks
title_fullStr Systemic stress test model for shared portfolio networks
title_full_unstemmed Systemic stress test model for shared portfolio networks
title_sort systemic stress test model for shared portfolio networks
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/e34544dd6712478ab8ba1a2efab23343
work_keys_str_mv AT irenavodenska systemicstresstestmodelforsharedportfolionetworks
AT nimadehmamy systemicstresstestmodelforsharedportfolionetworks
AT alexanderpbecker systemicstresstestmodelforsharedportfolionetworks
AT sergeyvbuldyrev systemicstresstestmodelforsharedportfolionetworks
AT shlomohavlin systemicstresstestmodelforsharedportfolionetworks
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