Oversampling and replacement strategies in propensity score matching: a critical review focused on small sample size in clinical settings

Abstract Background Propensity score matching is a statistical method that is often used to make inferences on the treatment effects in observational studies. In recent years, there has been widespread use of the technique in the cardiothoracic surgery literature to evaluate to potential benefits of...

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Autores principales: Daniele Bottigliengo, Ileana Baldi, Corrado Lanera, Giulia Lorenzoni, Jonida Bejko, Tomaso Bottio, Vincenzo Tarzia, Massimiliano Carrozzini, Gino Gerosa, Paola Berchialla, Dario Gregori
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Publicado: BMC 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/e3859e8096a64fae973d7ae5637332e0
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:e3859e8096a64fae973d7ae5637332e02021-11-28T12:38:44ZOversampling and replacement strategies in propensity score matching: a critical review focused on small sample size in clinical settings10.1186/s12874-021-01454-z1471-2288https://doaj.org/article/e3859e8096a64fae973d7ae5637332e02021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1186/s12874-021-01454-zhttps://doaj.org/toc/1471-2288Abstract Background Propensity score matching is a statistical method that is often used to make inferences on the treatment effects in observational studies. In recent years, there has been widespread use of the technique in the cardiothoracic surgery literature to evaluate to potential benefits of new surgical therapies or procedures. However, the small sample size and the strong dependence of the treatment assignment on the baseline covariates that often characterize these studies make such an evaluation challenging from a statistical point of view. In such settings, the use of propensity score matching in combination with oversampling and replacement may provide a solution to these issues by increasing the initial sample size of the study and thus improving the statistical power that is needed to detect the effect of interest. In this study, we review the use of propensity score matching in combination with oversampling and replacement in small sample size settings. Methods We performed a series of Monte Carlo simulations to evaluate how the sample size, the proportion of treated, and the assignment mechanism affect the performances of the proposed approaches. We assessed the performances with overall balance, relative bias, root mean squared error and nominal coverage. Moreover, we illustrate the methods using a real case study from the cardiac surgery literature. Results Matching without replacement produced estimates with lower bias and better nominal coverage than matching with replacement when 1:1 matching was considered. In contrast to that, matching with replacement showed better balance, relative bias, and root mean squared error than matching without replacement for increasing levels of oversampling. The best nominal coverage was obtained by using the estimator that accounts for uncertainty in the matching procedure on sets of units obtained after matching with replacement. Conclusions The use of replacement provides the most reliable treatment effect estimates and that no more than 1 or 2 units from the control group should be matched to each treated observation. Moreover, the variance estimator that accounts for the uncertainty in the matching procedure should be used to estimate the treatment effect.Daniele BottigliengoIleana BaldiCorrado LaneraGiulia LorenzoniJonida BejkoTomaso BottioVincenzo TarziaMassimiliano CarrozziniGino GerosaPaola BerchiallaDario GregoriBMCarticlePropensity score matchingOversamplingReplacementSmall samplesMonte Carlo simulationsMedicine (General)R5-920ENBMC Medical Research Methodology, Vol 21, Iss 1, Pp 1-16 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Propensity score matching
Oversampling
Replacement
Small samples
Monte Carlo simulations
Medicine (General)
R5-920
spellingShingle Propensity score matching
Oversampling
Replacement
Small samples
Monte Carlo simulations
Medicine (General)
R5-920
Daniele Bottigliengo
Ileana Baldi
Corrado Lanera
Giulia Lorenzoni
Jonida Bejko
Tomaso Bottio
Vincenzo Tarzia
Massimiliano Carrozzini
Gino Gerosa
Paola Berchialla
Dario Gregori
Oversampling and replacement strategies in propensity score matching: a critical review focused on small sample size in clinical settings
description Abstract Background Propensity score matching is a statistical method that is often used to make inferences on the treatment effects in observational studies. In recent years, there has been widespread use of the technique in the cardiothoracic surgery literature to evaluate to potential benefits of new surgical therapies or procedures. However, the small sample size and the strong dependence of the treatment assignment on the baseline covariates that often characterize these studies make such an evaluation challenging from a statistical point of view. In such settings, the use of propensity score matching in combination with oversampling and replacement may provide a solution to these issues by increasing the initial sample size of the study and thus improving the statistical power that is needed to detect the effect of interest. In this study, we review the use of propensity score matching in combination with oversampling and replacement in small sample size settings. Methods We performed a series of Monte Carlo simulations to evaluate how the sample size, the proportion of treated, and the assignment mechanism affect the performances of the proposed approaches. We assessed the performances with overall balance, relative bias, root mean squared error and nominal coverage. Moreover, we illustrate the methods using a real case study from the cardiac surgery literature. Results Matching without replacement produced estimates with lower bias and better nominal coverage than matching with replacement when 1:1 matching was considered. In contrast to that, matching with replacement showed better balance, relative bias, and root mean squared error than matching without replacement for increasing levels of oversampling. The best nominal coverage was obtained by using the estimator that accounts for uncertainty in the matching procedure on sets of units obtained after matching with replacement. Conclusions The use of replacement provides the most reliable treatment effect estimates and that no more than 1 or 2 units from the control group should be matched to each treated observation. Moreover, the variance estimator that accounts for the uncertainty in the matching procedure should be used to estimate the treatment effect.
format article
author Daniele Bottigliengo
Ileana Baldi
Corrado Lanera
Giulia Lorenzoni
Jonida Bejko
Tomaso Bottio
Vincenzo Tarzia
Massimiliano Carrozzini
Gino Gerosa
Paola Berchialla
Dario Gregori
author_facet Daniele Bottigliengo
Ileana Baldi
Corrado Lanera
Giulia Lorenzoni
Jonida Bejko
Tomaso Bottio
Vincenzo Tarzia
Massimiliano Carrozzini
Gino Gerosa
Paola Berchialla
Dario Gregori
author_sort Daniele Bottigliengo
title Oversampling and replacement strategies in propensity score matching: a critical review focused on small sample size in clinical settings
title_short Oversampling and replacement strategies in propensity score matching: a critical review focused on small sample size in clinical settings
title_full Oversampling and replacement strategies in propensity score matching: a critical review focused on small sample size in clinical settings
title_fullStr Oversampling and replacement strategies in propensity score matching: a critical review focused on small sample size in clinical settings
title_full_unstemmed Oversampling and replacement strategies in propensity score matching: a critical review focused on small sample size in clinical settings
title_sort oversampling and replacement strategies in propensity score matching: a critical review focused on small sample size in clinical settings
publisher BMC
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/e3859e8096a64fae973d7ae5637332e0
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