Combining inferential and deductive approaches to estimate the potential geographical range of the invasive plant pathogen, Phytophthora ramorum.

Phytophthora ramorum, an invasive plant pathogen of unknown origin, causes considerable and widespread damage in plant industries and natural ecosystems of the USA and Europe. Estimating the potential geographical range of P. ramorum has been complicated by a lack of biological and geographical data...

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Autores principales:	Kylie B Ireland, Giles E St J Hardy, Darren J Kriticos
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2013
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/e3bc34d4773241d89cab8389d04f8765
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:e3bc34d4773241d89cab8389d04f87652021-11-18T07:46:29ZCombining inferential and deductive approaches to estimate the potential geographical range of the invasive plant pathogen, Phytophthora ramorum.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0063508https://doaj.org/article/e3bc34d4773241d89cab8389d04f87652013-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/23667628/?tool=EBIhttps://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203Phytophthora ramorum, an invasive plant pathogen of unknown origin, causes considerable and widespread damage in plant industries and natural ecosystems of the USA and Europe. Estimating the potential geographical range of P. ramorum has been complicated by a lack of biological and geographical data with which to calibrate climatic models. Previous attempts to do so, using either invaded range data or surrogate species approaches, have delivered varying results. A simulation model was developed using CLIMEX to estimate the global climate suitability patterns for establishment of P. ramorum. Growth requirements and stress response parameters were derived from ecophysiological laboratory observations and site-level transmission and disease factors related to climate data in the field. Geographical distribution data from the USA (California and Oregon) and Norway were reserved from model-fitting and used to validate the models. The model suggests that the invasion of P. ramorum in both North America and Europe is still in its infancy and that it is presently occupying a small fraction of its potential range. Phytophthora ramorum appears to be climatically suited to large areas of Africa, Australasia and South America, where it could cause biodiversity and economic losses in plant industries and natural ecosystems with susceptible hosts if introduced.Kylie B IrelandGiles E St J HardyDarren J KriticosPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 8, Iss 5, p e63508 (2013)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Kylie B Ireland Giles E St J Hardy Darren J Kriticos Combining inferential and deductive approaches to estimate the potential geographical range of the invasive plant pathogen, Phytophthora ramorum.
description	Phytophthora ramorum, an invasive plant pathogen of unknown origin, causes considerable and widespread damage in plant industries and natural ecosystems of the USA and Europe. Estimating the potential geographical range of P. ramorum has been complicated by a lack of biological and geographical data with which to calibrate climatic models. Previous attempts to do so, using either invaded range data or surrogate species approaches, have delivered varying results. A simulation model was developed using CLIMEX to estimate the global climate suitability patterns for establishment of P. ramorum. Growth requirements and stress response parameters were derived from ecophysiological laboratory observations and site-level transmission and disease factors related to climate data in the field. Geographical distribution data from the USA (California and Oregon) and Norway were reserved from model-fitting and used to validate the models. The model suggests that the invasion of P. ramorum in both North America and Europe is still in its infancy and that it is presently occupying a small fraction of its potential range. Phytophthora ramorum appears to be climatically suited to large areas of Africa, Australasia and South America, where it could cause biodiversity and economic losses in plant industries and natural ecosystems with susceptible hosts if introduced.
format	article
author	Kylie B Ireland Giles E St J Hardy Darren J Kriticos
author_facet	Kylie B Ireland Giles E St J Hardy Darren J Kriticos
author_sort	Kylie B Ireland
title	Combining inferential and deductive approaches to estimate the potential geographical range of the invasive plant pathogen, Phytophthora ramorum.
title_short	Combining inferential and deductive approaches to estimate the potential geographical range of the invasive plant pathogen, Phytophthora ramorum.
title_full	Combining inferential and deductive approaches to estimate the potential geographical range of the invasive plant pathogen, Phytophthora ramorum.
title_fullStr	Combining inferential and deductive approaches to estimate the potential geographical range of the invasive plant pathogen, Phytophthora ramorum.
title_full_unstemmed	Combining inferential and deductive approaches to estimate the potential geographical range of the invasive plant pathogen, Phytophthora ramorum.
title_sort	combining inferential and deductive approaches to estimate the potential geographical range of the invasive plant pathogen, phytophthora ramorum.
publisher	Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate	2013
url	https://doaj.org/article/e3bc34d4773241d89cab8389d04f8765
work_keys_str_mv	AT kyliebireland combininginferentialanddeductiveapproachestoestimatethepotentialgeographicalrangeoftheinvasiveplantpathogenphytophthoraramorum AT gilesestjhardy combininginferentialanddeductiveapproachestoestimatethepotentialgeographicalrangeoftheinvasiveplantpathogenphytophthoraramorum AT darrenjkriticos combininginferentialanddeductiveapproachestoestimatethepotentialgeographicalrangeoftheinvasiveplantpathogenphytophthoraramorum
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Combining inferential and deductive approaches to estimate the potential geographical range of the invasive plant pathogen, Phytophthora ramorum.

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