A New MSGSA-Optimized Dynamic Window of Spatiotemporal Scan Statistics for Disease Outbreak Detection

The spatiotemporal scan statistics proposed by Kulldorff have been applied to detect numerous disease clusters, and scan statistics based on heuristic algorithm optimization have also been utilized for disease cluster detection. The gravitational search algorithm (GSA) and the recent human mental se...

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Autores principales: Haiqi Wang, Haoran Kong, Bin Yan, Liuke Li, Jianbo Xu, Zhihai Wang, Qiong Wang
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Publicado: IEEE 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:e3c4d6b674554513b99481c1be9d34fd2021-11-09T00:00:22ZA New MSGSA-Optimized Dynamic Window of Spatiotemporal Scan Statistics for Disease Outbreak Detection2151-153510.1109/JSTARS.2021.3113785https://doaj.org/article/e3c4d6b674554513b99481c1be9d34fd2021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9541095/https://doaj.org/toc/2151-1535The spatiotemporal scan statistics proposed by Kulldorff have been applied to detect numerous disease clusters, and scan statistics based on heuristic algorithm optimization have also been utilized for disease cluster detection. The gravitational search algorithm (GSA) and the recent human mental search (HMS) possess superior performance in comparison with several heuristic algorithms, and neither algorithm has yet been applied in spatiotemporal scan statistics. However, the size of the spatiotemporal scanning window utilized in disease applications is constant in the time dimension, and it is difficult to detect changes in the size of an anomalous cluster over time. In this study, we proposed a dynamic cylinder with a variable radius as a spatiotemporal scanning window. In addition, we proposed an improved GSA based on mental search (MSGSA), and the MSGSA was utilized to optimize the dynamic scanning window to detect spatiotemporally anomalous clusters. The performance of the MSGSA was verified on 23 benchmark functions in comparison with the GSA and HMS. Simulated experiments based on the MSGSA and SaTScan showed that the MSGSA-optimized dynamic window yielded better performance based on the obtained accuracies and error rates. Finally, we utilized the MSGSA-optimized dynamic window and other methods to detect spatiotemporally anomalous clusters of hand-foot-and-mouth disease (HFMD) in China (2016) and Guangdong (2009), and the MSGSA-optimized dynamic window yielded better performance on both HFMD datasets. Moreover, the conclusions obtained with the MSGSA-optimized dynamic window were consistent with those of relevant researchers, indicating that the MSGSA possesses certain disease outbreak detection ability.Haiqi WangHaoran KongBin YanLiuke LiJianbo XuZhihai WangQiong WangIEEEarticleGravitational search algorithm (GSA)mental searchscan statisticsspatiotemporal anomaly detectionspatiotemporal dynamic scanning windowOcean engineeringTC1501-1800Geophysics. Cosmic physicsQC801-809ENIEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing, Vol 14, Pp 10821-10834 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Gravitational search algorithm (GSA)
mental search
scan statistics
spatiotemporal anomaly detection
spatiotemporal dynamic scanning window
Ocean engineering
TC1501-1800
Geophysics. Cosmic physics
QC801-809
spellingShingle Gravitational search algorithm (GSA)
mental search
scan statistics
spatiotemporal anomaly detection
spatiotemporal dynamic scanning window
Ocean engineering
TC1501-1800
Geophysics. Cosmic physics
QC801-809
Haiqi Wang
Haoran Kong
Bin Yan
Liuke Li
Jianbo Xu
Zhihai Wang
Qiong Wang
A New MSGSA-Optimized Dynamic Window of Spatiotemporal Scan Statistics for Disease Outbreak Detection
description The spatiotemporal scan statistics proposed by Kulldorff have been applied to detect numerous disease clusters, and scan statistics based on heuristic algorithm optimization have also been utilized for disease cluster detection. The gravitational search algorithm (GSA) and the recent human mental search (HMS) possess superior performance in comparison with several heuristic algorithms, and neither algorithm has yet been applied in spatiotemporal scan statistics. However, the size of the spatiotemporal scanning window utilized in disease applications is constant in the time dimension, and it is difficult to detect changes in the size of an anomalous cluster over time. In this study, we proposed a dynamic cylinder with a variable radius as a spatiotemporal scanning window. In addition, we proposed an improved GSA based on mental search (MSGSA), and the MSGSA was utilized to optimize the dynamic scanning window to detect spatiotemporally anomalous clusters. The performance of the MSGSA was verified on 23 benchmark functions in comparison with the GSA and HMS. Simulated experiments based on the MSGSA and SaTScan showed that the MSGSA-optimized dynamic window yielded better performance based on the obtained accuracies and error rates. Finally, we utilized the MSGSA-optimized dynamic window and other methods to detect spatiotemporally anomalous clusters of hand-foot-and-mouth disease (HFMD) in China (2016) and Guangdong (2009), and the MSGSA-optimized dynamic window yielded better performance on both HFMD datasets. Moreover, the conclusions obtained with the MSGSA-optimized dynamic window were consistent with those of relevant researchers, indicating that the MSGSA possesses certain disease outbreak detection ability.
format article
author Haiqi Wang
Haoran Kong
Bin Yan
Liuke Li
Jianbo Xu
Zhihai Wang
Qiong Wang
author_facet Haiqi Wang
Haoran Kong
Bin Yan
Liuke Li
Jianbo Xu
Zhihai Wang
Qiong Wang
author_sort Haiqi Wang
title A New MSGSA-Optimized Dynamic Window of Spatiotemporal Scan Statistics for Disease Outbreak Detection
title_short A New MSGSA-Optimized Dynamic Window of Spatiotemporal Scan Statistics for Disease Outbreak Detection
title_full A New MSGSA-Optimized Dynamic Window of Spatiotemporal Scan Statistics for Disease Outbreak Detection
title_fullStr A New MSGSA-Optimized Dynamic Window of Spatiotemporal Scan Statistics for Disease Outbreak Detection
title_full_unstemmed A New MSGSA-Optimized Dynamic Window of Spatiotemporal Scan Statistics for Disease Outbreak Detection
title_sort new msgsa-optimized dynamic window of spatiotemporal scan statistics for disease outbreak detection
publisher IEEE
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/e3c4d6b674554513b99481c1be9d34fd
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