Pet distribution modelling: Untangling the invasive potential of Trachemys dorbigni (Emydidae) in the Americas

Human activities have been changing the global biogeographic patterns by the introductions of invasive species. For reptiles, the invasion rate increase of non-native species is remarkably related to the pet trade, especially for freshwater turtles. Here we estimated the invasive potential of the So...

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Autores principales:	Érica Fonseca, Camila Both, Sonia Zanini Cechin, Gisele Winck
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/e42f6cd18de0487b948de4208756d4be
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:e42f6cd18de0487b948de4208756d4be2021-11-18T08:14:37ZPet distribution modelling: Untangling the invasive potential of Trachemys dorbigni (Emydidae) in the Americas1932-6203https://doaj.org/article/e42f6cd18de0487b948de4208756d4be2021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8584657/?tool=EBIhttps://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203Human activities have been changing the global biogeographic patterns by the introductions of invasive species. For reptiles, the invasion rate increase of non-native species is remarkably related to the pet trade, especially for freshwater turtles. Here we estimated the invasive potential of the South American turtle Trachemys dorbigni in the Americas using a combination of climatic and human activity variables. We built species distribution models based on data from the native and invasive ranges, using the ensemble model from five different algorithms (GAM, MAXENT, BRT, RF and GBM). We compared the two models’ performance and predictions, one calibrated with only climatic variables (climate-driven), and the second also included a descriptive variable of human activity (climate plus human-driven). Suitable areas for T. dorbigni covered occurrence areas of its congeners and highly diversified ecoregions, such as the eastern USA, the islands of Central America, and the south eastern and eastern Brazilian coast. Our results indicate that human activities allow T. dorbigni to establish populations outside of its original climatic niche. Including human activity variables proved fundamental to refining the results to identify more susceptible areas to invasion and to allow the efficient targeting of prevention measures. Finally, we suggested a set of actions to prevent T. dorbigni becoming a highly impacting species in the areas identified as more prone to its invasion.Érica FonsecaCamila BothSonia Zanini CechinGisele WinckPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 11 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Érica Fonseca Camila Both Sonia Zanini Cechin Gisele Winck Pet distribution modelling: Untangling the invasive potential of Trachemys dorbigni (Emydidae) in the Americas
description	Human activities have been changing the global biogeographic patterns by the introductions of invasive species. For reptiles, the invasion rate increase of non-native species is remarkably related to the pet trade, especially for freshwater turtles. Here we estimated the invasive potential of the South American turtle Trachemys dorbigni in the Americas using a combination of climatic and human activity variables. We built species distribution models based on data from the native and invasive ranges, using the ensemble model from five different algorithms (GAM, MAXENT, BRT, RF and GBM). We compared the two models’ performance and predictions, one calibrated with only climatic variables (climate-driven), and the second also included a descriptive variable of human activity (climate plus human-driven). Suitable areas for T. dorbigni covered occurrence areas of its congeners and highly diversified ecoregions, such as the eastern USA, the islands of Central America, and the south eastern and eastern Brazilian coast. Our results indicate that human activities allow T. dorbigni to establish populations outside of its original climatic niche. Including human activity variables proved fundamental to refining the results to identify more susceptible areas to invasion and to allow the efficient targeting of prevention measures. Finally, we suggested a set of actions to prevent T. dorbigni becoming a highly impacting species in the areas identified as more prone to its invasion.
format	article
author	Érica Fonseca Camila Both Sonia Zanini Cechin Gisele Winck
author_facet	Érica Fonseca Camila Both Sonia Zanini Cechin Gisele Winck
author_sort	Érica Fonseca
title	Pet distribution modelling: Untangling the invasive potential of Trachemys dorbigni (Emydidae) in the Americas
title_short	Pet distribution modelling: Untangling the invasive potential of Trachemys dorbigni (Emydidae) in the Americas
title_full	Pet distribution modelling: Untangling the invasive potential of Trachemys dorbigni (Emydidae) in the Americas
title_fullStr	Pet distribution modelling: Untangling the invasive potential of Trachemys dorbigni (Emydidae) in the Americas
title_full_unstemmed	Pet distribution modelling: Untangling the invasive potential of Trachemys dorbigni (Emydidae) in the Americas
title_sort	pet distribution modelling: untangling the invasive potential of trachemys dorbigni (emydidae) in the americas
publisher	Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/e42f6cd18de0487b948de4208756d4be
work_keys_str_mv	AT ericafonseca petdistributionmodellinguntanglingtheinvasivepotentialoftrachemysdorbigniemydidaeintheamericas AT camilaboth petdistributionmodellinguntanglingtheinvasivepotentialoftrachemysdorbigniemydidaeintheamericas AT soniazaninicechin petdistributionmodellinguntanglingtheinvasivepotentialoftrachemysdorbigniemydidaeintheamericas AT giselewinck petdistributionmodellinguntanglingtheinvasivepotentialoftrachemysdorbigniemydidaeintheamericas
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Pet distribution modelling: Untangling the invasive potential of Trachemys dorbigni (Emydidae) in the Americas

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