New records and modelling the impacts of climate change on the black-tailed marmosets.

Climate change represents an unprecedented threat to global biodiversity and, for many species, gaps in our knowledge of their biology remain acute. Gaps in baseline knowledge, such as confirmed identifications (Linnean shortfalls) and adequate collections (Wallacean shortfalls), need to be minimize...

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Autores principales:	Almério Câmara Gusmão, Jôine Cariele Evangelista-Vale, João Carlos Pires-Oliveira, Adrian A Barnett, Odair Diogo da Silva
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/e522960de4ce451abb1461dcca7fe6dc
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:e522960de4ce451abb1461dcca7fe6dc2021-12-02T20:04:42ZNew records and modelling the impacts of climate change on the black-tailed marmosets.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0256270https://doaj.org/article/e522960de4ce451abb1461dcca7fe6dc2021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0256270https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203Climate change represents an unprecedented threat to global biodiversity and, for many species, gaps in our knowledge of their biology remain acute. Gaps in baseline knowledge, such as confirmed identifications (Linnean shortfalls) and adequate collections (Wallacean shortfalls), need to be minimized with new studies, since this is often critical for effective conservation. Despite the increase in scientific research on primates in the southwest of the Brazilian Amazon, little is known about the species Mico nigriceps (Ferrari & Lopes, 1992) Primates, Platirryni. In the current study, we sought to reduce the extent of the Wallacean shortfall for M. nigriceps, understand whether climate change represents a threat to the distribution of the species, and identify priority areas for its conservation. Accordingly, we provide 121 new records in 14 locations, obtained directly from the field, and five from the literature. Using this, we carried out ecological niche modeling, to better understand how environmental suitability might limit the area occupied by the species. We then projected a distribution for 2070 with the SSP2-4.5 (more optimistic) and SSP5-8.5 (more pessimistic) scenarios. Our data confirmed the geographic distribution of the species as being restricted to headwaters of the Ji-Paraná/Machado river, but with a 400 km extension to the south. Under the modeled climate change scenarios, the area suitable for the species declines by 21% under the most optimistic, and by 27% in the pessimistic, scenario across the projected 50-year period. Although we have expanded the area of known occurrence for this species, we point out that climate change threatens the stability of this newly-discovered population strongly, and that this danger is intensified by deforestation, fire and hunting. We recommend that further studies be carried out to confirm the presence of the species in adjacent areas, those indicated by generated models as being potential environmentally suitable. In addition, we recommend intensifying forest restoration in currently pastured areas, and protection of the areas forming the current and future habitat of this species through such measures as protected area creation.Almério Câmara GusmãoJôine Cariele Evangelista-ValeJoão Carlos Pires-OliveiraAdrian A BarnettOdair Diogo da SilvaPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 9, p e0256270 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Almério Câmara Gusmão Jôine Cariele Evangelista-Vale João Carlos Pires-Oliveira Adrian A Barnett Odair Diogo da Silva New records and modelling the impacts of climate change on the black-tailed marmosets.
description	Climate change represents an unprecedented threat to global biodiversity and, for many species, gaps in our knowledge of their biology remain acute. Gaps in baseline knowledge, such as confirmed identifications (Linnean shortfalls) and adequate collections (Wallacean shortfalls), need to be minimized with new studies, since this is often critical for effective conservation. Despite the increase in scientific research on primates in the southwest of the Brazilian Amazon, little is known about the species Mico nigriceps (Ferrari & Lopes, 1992) Primates, Platirryni. In the current study, we sought to reduce the extent of the Wallacean shortfall for M. nigriceps, understand whether climate change represents a threat to the distribution of the species, and identify priority areas for its conservation. Accordingly, we provide 121 new records in 14 locations, obtained directly from the field, and five from the literature. Using this, we carried out ecological niche modeling, to better understand how environmental suitability might limit the area occupied by the species. We then projected a distribution for 2070 with the SSP2-4.5 (more optimistic) and SSP5-8.5 (more pessimistic) scenarios. Our data confirmed the geographic distribution of the species as being restricted to headwaters of the Ji-Paraná/Machado river, but with a 400 km extension to the south. Under the modeled climate change scenarios, the area suitable for the species declines by 21% under the most optimistic, and by 27% in the pessimistic, scenario across the projected 50-year period. Although we have expanded the area of known occurrence for this species, we point out that climate change threatens the stability of this newly-discovered population strongly, and that this danger is intensified by deforestation, fire and hunting. We recommend that further studies be carried out to confirm the presence of the species in adjacent areas, those indicated by generated models as being potential environmentally suitable. In addition, we recommend intensifying forest restoration in currently pastured areas, and protection of the areas forming the current and future habitat of this species through such measures as protected area creation.
format	article
author	Almério Câmara Gusmão Jôine Cariele Evangelista-Vale João Carlos Pires-Oliveira Adrian A Barnett Odair Diogo da Silva
author_facet	Almério Câmara Gusmão Jôine Cariele Evangelista-Vale João Carlos Pires-Oliveira Adrian A Barnett Odair Diogo da Silva
author_sort	Almério Câmara Gusmão
title	New records and modelling the impacts of climate change on the black-tailed marmosets.
title_short	New records and modelling the impacts of climate change on the black-tailed marmosets.
title_full	New records and modelling the impacts of climate change on the black-tailed marmosets.
title_fullStr	New records and modelling the impacts of climate change on the black-tailed marmosets.
title_full_unstemmed	New records and modelling the impacts of climate change on the black-tailed marmosets.
title_sort	new records and modelling the impacts of climate change on the black-tailed marmosets.
publisher	Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/e522960de4ce451abb1461dcca7fe6dc
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New records and modelling the impacts of climate change on the black-tailed marmosets.

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