Phase Transition in the Recoverability of Network History

Network growth processes can be understood as generative models of the structure and history of complex networks. This point of view naturally leads to the problem of network archaeology: reconstructing all the past states of a network from its structure—a difficult permutation inference problem. In...

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Autores principales: Jean-Gabriel Young, Guillaume St-Onge, Edward Laurence, Charles Murphy, Laurent Hébert-Dufresne, Patrick Desrosiers
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: American Physical Society 2019
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:e5414dc46d3c41ba8d66760c04432c182021-12-02T12:01:52ZPhase Transition in the Recoverability of Network History10.1103/PhysRevX.9.0410562160-3308https://doaj.org/article/e5414dc46d3c41ba8d66760c04432c182019-12-01T00:00:00Zhttp://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevX.9.041056http://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevX.9.041056https://doaj.org/toc/2160-3308Network growth processes can be understood as generative models of the structure and history of complex networks. This point of view naturally leads to the problem of network archaeology: reconstructing all the past states of a network from its structure—a difficult permutation inference problem. In this paper, we introduce a Bayesian formulation of network archaeology, with a generalization of preferential attachment as our generative mechanism. We develop a sequential Monte Carlo algorithm to evaluate the posterior averages of this model, as well as an efficient heuristic that uncovers a history well correlated with the true one, in polynomial time. We use these methods to identify and characterize a phase transition in the quality of the reconstructed history, when they are applied to artificial networks generated by the model itself. Despite the existence of a no-recovery phase, we find that nontrivial inference is possible in a large portion of the parameter space as well as on empirical data.Jean-Gabriel YoungGuillaume St-OngeEdward LaurenceCharles MurphyLaurent Hébert-DufresnePatrick DesrosiersAmerican Physical SocietyarticlePhysicsQC1-999ENPhysical Review X, Vol 9, Iss 4, p 041056 (2019)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Physics
QC1-999
spellingShingle Physics
QC1-999
Jean-Gabriel Young
Guillaume St-Onge
Edward Laurence
Charles Murphy
Laurent Hébert-Dufresne
Patrick Desrosiers
Phase Transition in the Recoverability of Network History
description Network growth processes can be understood as generative models of the structure and history of complex networks. This point of view naturally leads to the problem of network archaeology: reconstructing all the past states of a network from its structure—a difficult permutation inference problem. In this paper, we introduce a Bayesian formulation of network archaeology, with a generalization of preferential attachment as our generative mechanism. We develop a sequential Monte Carlo algorithm to evaluate the posterior averages of this model, as well as an efficient heuristic that uncovers a history well correlated with the true one, in polynomial time. We use these methods to identify and characterize a phase transition in the quality of the reconstructed history, when they are applied to artificial networks generated by the model itself. Despite the existence of a no-recovery phase, we find that nontrivial inference is possible in a large portion of the parameter space as well as on empirical data.
format article
author Jean-Gabriel Young
Guillaume St-Onge
Edward Laurence
Charles Murphy
Laurent Hébert-Dufresne
Patrick Desrosiers
author_facet Jean-Gabriel Young
Guillaume St-Onge
Edward Laurence
Charles Murphy
Laurent Hébert-Dufresne
Patrick Desrosiers
author_sort Jean-Gabriel Young
title Phase Transition in the Recoverability of Network History
title_short Phase Transition in the Recoverability of Network History
title_full Phase Transition in the Recoverability of Network History
title_fullStr Phase Transition in the Recoverability of Network History
title_full_unstemmed Phase Transition in the Recoverability of Network History
title_sort phase transition in the recoverability of network history
publisher American Physical Society
publishDate 2019
url https://doaj.org/article/e5414dc46d3c41ba8d66760c04432c18
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AT charlesmurphy phasetransitionintherecoverabilityofnetworkhistory
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