Phase Transition in the Recoverability of Network History
Network growth processes can be understood as generative models of the structure and history of complex networks. This point of view naturally leads to the problem of network archaeology: reconstructing all the past states of a network from its structure—a difficult permutation inference problem. In...
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American Physical Society
2019
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oai:doaj.org-article:e5414dc46d3c41ba8d66760c04432c182021-12-02T12:01:52ZPhase Transition in the Recoverability of Network History10.1103/PhysRevX.9.0410562160-3308https://doaj.org/article/e5414dc46d3c41ba8d66760c04432c182019-12-01T00:00:00Zhttp://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevX.9.041056http://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevX.9.041056https://doaj.org/toc/2160-3308Network growth processes can be understood as generative models of the structure and history of complex networks. This point of view naturally leads to the problem of network archaeology: reconstructing all the past states of a network from its structure—a difficult permutation inference problem. In this paper, we introduce a Bayesian formulation of network archaeology, with a generalization of preferential attachment as our generative mechanism. We develop a sequential Monte Carlo algorithm to evaluate the posterior averages of this model, as well as an efficient heuristic that uncovers a history well correlated with the true one, in polynomial time. We use these methods to identify and characterize a phase transition in the quality of the reconstructed history, when they are applied to artificial networks generated by the model itself. Despite the existence of a no-recovery phase, we find that nontrivial inference is possible in a large portion of the parameter space as well as on empirical data.Jean-Gabriel YoungGuillaume St-OngeEdward LaurenceCharles MurphyLaurent Hébert-DufresnePatrick DesrosiersAmerican Physical SocietyarticlePhysicsQC1-999ENPhysical Review X, Vol 9, Iss 4, p 041056 (2019) |
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Physics QC1-999 Jean-Gabriel Young Guillaume St-Onge Edward Laurence Charles Murphy Laurent Hébert-Dufresne Patrick Desrosiers Phase Transition in the Recoverability of Network History |
description |
Network growth processes can be understood as generative models of the structure and history of complex networks. This point of view naturally leads to the problem of network archaeology: reconstructing all the past states of a network from its structure—a difficult permutation inference problem. In this paper, we introduce a Bayesian formulation of network archaeology, with a generalization of preferential attachment as our generative mechanism. We develop a sequential Monte Carlo algorithm to evaluate the posterior averages of this model, as well as an efficient heuristic that uncovers a history well correlated with the true one, in polynomial time. We use these methods to identify and characterize a phase transition in the quality of the reconstructed history, when they are applied to artificial networks generated by the model itself. Despite the existence of a no-recovery phase, we find that nontrivial inference is possible in a large portion of the parameter space as well as on empirical data. |
format |
article |
author |
Jean-Gabriel Young Guillaume St-Onge Edward Laurence Charles Murphy Laurent Hébert-Dufresne Patrick Desrosiers |
author_facet |
Jean-Gabriel Young Guillaume St-Onge Edward Laurence Charles Murphy Laurent Hébert-Dufresne Patrick Desrosiers |
author_sort |
Jean-Gabriel Young |
title |
Phase Transition in the Recoverability of Network History |
title_short |
Phase Transition in the Recoverability of Network History |
title_full |
Phase Transition in the Recoverability of Network History |
title_fullStr |
Phase Transition in the Recoverability of Network History |
title_full_unstemmed |
Phase Transition in the Recoverability of Network History |
title_sort |
phase transition in the recoverability of network history |
publisher |
American Physical Society |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/e5414dc46d3c41ba8d66760c04432c18 |
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1718394780733407232 |