The prediction of criminal recidivism using routinely available file information

Objective. The aim of the present study was to cross-validate the investigation of Buchanan and Leese (2006) into the prediction of criminal recidivism. Method. The sample comprised offenders in the criminal justice system of the Canton of Zürich – Switzerland, who were discharged to the community....

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Autores principales: Diana Fries, Astrid Rossegger, Jérôme Endrass, Jay P. Singh
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ES
Publicado: Universidad de San Buenaventura 2013
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:e681b81f7bae470fb0d33bafc6d167bd2021-11-25T02:22:40ZThe prediction of criminal recidivism using routinely available file information10.21500/20112084.6712011-20842011-7922https://doaj.org/article/e681b81f7bae470fb0d33bafc6d167bd2013-12-01T00:00:00Zhttps://revistas.usb.edu.co/index.php/IJPR/article/view/671https://doaj.org/toc/2011-2084https://doaj.org/toc/2011-7922Objective. The aim of the present study was to cross-validate the investigation of Buchanan and Leese (2006) into the prediction of criminal recidivism. Method. The sample comprised offenders in the criminal justice system of the Canton of Zürich – Switzerland, who were discharged to the community. Participants were followed, and evidence of subsequent charges and convictions for both general and serious recidivism was investigated at fixed periods of 2.5, 6.5, and 10.5 years. The predictive validity of socio-demographic, criminal history, and legal class information was assessed using logistic regression as well as log-likelihood, receiver operating characteristic curve, and contingency analyses. Results. A multivariable model including age and criminal history information was found to produce the highest rates of predictive validity for general and serious recidivism. Conclusion. Information regularly accessible in forensic practice may be able to guide clinicians as to the recidivism risk level of their patients.Diana FriesAstrid RosseggerJérôme EndrassJay P. SinghUniversidad de San BuenaventuraarticleRisk AssessmentViolenceForensicRecidivism.PsychologyBF1-990ENESInternational Journal of Psychological Research, Vol 6, Iss 2 (2013)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
ES
topic Risk Assessment
Violence
Forensic
Recidivism.
Psychology
BF1-990
spellingShingle Risk Assessment
Violence
Forensic
Recidivism.
Psychology
BF1-990
Diana Fries
Astrid Rossegger
Jérôme Endrass
Jay P. Singh
The prediction of criminal recidivism using routinely available file information
description Objective. The aim of the present study was to cross-validate the investigation of Buchanan and Leese (2006) into the prediction of criminal recidivism. Method. The sample comprised offenders in the criminal justice system of the Canton of Zürich – Switzerland, who were discharged to the community. Participants were followed, and evidence of subsequent charges and convictions for both general and serious recidivism was investigated at fixed periods of 2.5, 6.5, and 10.5 years. The predictive validity of socio-demographic, criminal history, and legal class information was assessed using logistic regression as well as log-likelihood, receiver operating characteristic curve, and contingency analyses. Results. A multivariable model including age and criminal history information was found to produce the highest rates of predictive validity for general and serious recidivism. Conclusion. Information regularly accessible in forensic practice may be able to guide clinicians as to the recidivism risk level of their patients.
format article
author Diana Fries
Astrid Rossegger
Jérôme Endrass
Jay P. Singh
author_facet Diana Fries
Astrid Rossegger
Jérôme Endrass
Jay P. Singh
author_sort Diana Fries
title The prediction of criminal recidivism using routinely available file information
title_short The prediction of criminal recidivism using routinely available file information
title_full The prediction of criminal recidivism using routinely available file information
title_fullStr The prediction of criminal recidivism using routinely available file information
title_full_unstemmed The prediction of criminal recidivism using routinely available file information
title_sort prediction of criminal recidivism using routinely available file information
publisher Universidad de San Buenaventura
publishDate 2013
url https://doaj.org/article/e681b81f7bae470fb0d33bafc6d167bd
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