Do Old Age and Comorbidity via Non-Communicable Diseases Matter for COVID-19 Mortality? A Path Analysis

This paper used Our World data for coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) death count, test data, stringency, and transmission count and prepared a path model for COVID-19 deaths. We augmented the model with age structure-related variables and comorbidity via non-communicable diseases for 117 countries...

Descripción completa

Guardado en:

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales:	Gour Gobinda Goswami, Mausumi Mahapatro, A. R. M. Mehrab Ali, Raisa Rahman
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Frontiers Media S.A. 2021
Materias:	COVID-19 death rate mortality determinants of COVID-19 mortality path analysis old age Public aspects of medicine RA1-1270
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/e77a70f7eb65433d905ee020b163cea2
Etiquetas:	Agregar Etiqueta Sin Etiquetas, Sea el primero en etiquetar este registro!

id	oai:doaj.org-article:e77a70f7eb65433d905ee020b163cea2
record_format	dspace
spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:e77a70f7eb65433d905ee020b163cea22021-11-16T04:47:03ZDo Old Age and Comorbidity via Non-Communicable Diseases Matter for COVID-19 Mortality? A Path Analysis2296-256510.3389/fpubh.2021.736347https://doaj.org/article/e77a70f7eb65433d905ee020b163cea22021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2021.736347/fullhttps://doaj.org/toc/2296-2565This paper used Our World data for coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) death count, test data, stringency, and transmission count and prepared a path model for COVID-19 deaths. We augmented the model with age structure-related variables and comorbidity via non-communicable diseases for 117 countries of the world for September 23, 2021, on a cross-section basis. A broad-based global quantitative study incorporating these two prominent channels with regional variation was unavailable in the existing literature. Old age and comorbidity were identified as two prime determinants of COVID-19 mortality. The path model showed that after controlling for these factors, one SD increase in the proportion of persons above 65, above 70, or of median age raised COVID-19 mortality by more than 0.12 SDs for 117 countries. The regional intensity of death is alarmingly high in South America, Europe, and North America compared with Oceania. After controlling for regions, the figure was raised to 0.213, which was even higher. For old age, the incremental coefficient was the highest for South America (0.564), and Europe (0.314), which were substantially higher than in Oceania. The comorbidity channel via non-communicable diseases illustrated that one SD increase in non-communicable disease intensity increased COVID-19 mortality by 0.132 for the whole sample. The regional figure for the non-communicable disease was 0.594 for South America and 0.358 for Europe compared with the benchmark region Oceania. The results were statistically significant at a 10% level of significance or above. This suggested that we should prioritize vaccinations for the elderly and people with comorbidity via non-communicable diseases like heart disease, cancer, chronic respiratory disease, and diabetes. Further attention should be given to South America and Europe, which are the worst affected regions of the world.Gour Gobinda GoswamiMausumi MahapatroA. R. M. Mehrab AliRaisa RahmanFrontiers Media S.A.articleCOVID-19death ratemortalitydeterminants of COVID-19 mortalitypath analysisold agePublic aspects of medicineRA1-1270ENFrontiers in Public Health, Vol 9 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	COVID-19 death rate mortality determinants of COVID-19 mortality path analysis old age Public aspects of medicine RA1-1270
spellingShingle	COVID-19 death rate mortality determinants of COVID-19 mortality path analysis old age Public aspects of medicine RA1-1270 Gour Gobinda Goswami Mausumi Mahapatro A. R. M. Mehrab Ali Raisa Rahman Do Old Age and Comorbidity via Non-Communicable Diseases Matter for COVID-19 Mortality? A Path Analysis
description	This paper used Our World data for coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) death count, test data, stringency, and transmission count and prepared a path model for COVID-19 deaths. We augmented the model with age structure-related variables and comorbidity via non-communicable diseases for 117 countries of the world for September 23, 2021, on a cross-section basis. A broad-based global quantitative study incorporating these two prominent channels with regional variation was unavailable in the existing literature. Old age and comorbidity were identified as two prime determinants of COVID-19 mortality. The path model showed that after controlling for these factors, one SD increase in the proportion of persons above 65, above 70, or of median age raised COVID-19 mortality by more than 0.12 SDs for 117 countries. The regional intensity of death is alarmingly high in South America, Europe, and North America compared with Oceania. After controlling for regions, the figure was raised to 0.213, which was even higher. For old age, the incremental coefficient was the highest for South America (0.564), and Europe (0.314), which were substantially higher than in Oceania. The comorbidity channel via non-communicable diseases illustrated that one SD increase in non-communicable disease intensity increased COVID-19 mortality by 0.132 for the whole sample. The regional figure for the non-communicable disease was 0.594 for South America and 0.358 for Europe compared with the benchmark region Oceania. The results were statistically significant at a 10% level of significance or above. This suggested that we should prioritize vaccinations for the elderly and people with comorbidity via non-communicable diseases like heart disease, cancer, chronic respiratory disease, and diabetes. Further attention should be given to South America and Europe, which are the worst affected regions of the world.
format	article
author	Gour Gobinda Goswami Mausumi Mahapatro A. R. M. Mehrab Ali Raisa Rahman
author_facet	Gour Gobinda Goswami Mausumi Mahapatro A. R. M. Mehrab Ali Raisa Rahman
author_sort	Gour Gobinda Goswami
title	Do Old Age and Comorbidity via Non-Communicable Diseases Matter for COVID-19 Mortality? A Path Analysis
title_short	Do Old Age and Comorbidity via Non-Communicable Diseases Matter for COVID-19 Mortality? A Path Analysis
title_full	Do Old Age and Comorbidity via Non-Communicable Diseases Matter for COVID-19 Mortality? A Path Analysis
title_fullStr	Do Old Age and Comorbidity via Non-Communicable Diseases Matter for COVID-19 Mortality? A Path Analysis
title_full_unstemmed	Do Old Age and Comorbidity via Non-Communicable Diseases Matter for COVID-19 Mortality? A Path Analysis
title_sort	do old age and comorbidity via non-communicable diseases matter for covid-19 mortality? a path analysis
publisher	Frontiers Media S.A.
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/e77a70f7eb65433d905ee020b163cea2
work_keys_str_mv	AT gourgobindagoswami dooldageandcomorbidityvianoncommunicablediseasesmatterforcovid19mortalityapathanalysis AT mausumimahapatro dooldageandcomorbidityvianoncommunicablediseasesmatterforcovid19mortalityapathanalysis AT armmehrabali dooldageandcomorbidityvianoncommunicablediseasesmatterforcovid19mortalityapathanalysis AT raisarahman dooldageandcomorbidityvianoncommunicablediseasesmatterforcovid19mortalityapathanalysis
_version_	1718426758511853568

Do Old Age and Comorbidity via Non-Communicable Diseases Matter for COVID-19 Mortality? A Path Analysis

Ejemplares similares