Probabilistic Assessment and Uncertainty Analysis of CO<sub>2</sub> Storage Capacity of the Morrow B Sandstone—Farnsworth Field Unit

This paper presents probabilistic methods to estimate the quantity of carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>) that can be stored in a mature oil reservoir and analyzes the uncertainties associated with the estimation. This work uses data from the Farnsworth Field Unit (FWU), Ochiltree County, Te...

Descripción completa

Guardado en:

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales:	Jonathan Asante, William Ampomah, Dylan Rose-Coss, Martha Cather, Robert Balch
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	MDPI AG 2021
Materias:	carbon dioxide storage storage efficiency factor probabilistic expectation curve Monte Carlo Technology T
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/e81052a0ce55417aaef69d165c4a9057
Etiquetas:	Agregar Etiqueta Sin Etiquetas, Sea el primero en etiquetar este registro!

id	oai:doaj.org-article:e81052a0ce55417aaef69d165c4a9057
record_format	dspace
spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:e81052a0ce55417aaef69d165c4a90572021-11-25T17:28:35ZProbabilistic Assessment and Uncertainty Analysis of CO<sub>2</sub> Storage Capacity of the Morrow B Sandstone—Farnsworth Field Unit10.3390/en142277651996-1073https://doaj.org/article/e81052a0ce55417aaef69d165c4a90572021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/22/7765https://doaj.org/toc/1996-1073This paper presents probabilistic methods to estimate the quantity of carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>) that can be stored in a mature oil reservoir and analyzes the uncertainties associated with the estimation. This work uses data from the Farnsworth Field Unit (FWU), Ochiltree County, Texas, which is currently undergoing a tertiary recovery process. The input parameters are determined from seismic, core, and fluid analyses. The results of the estimation of the CO<sub>2</sub> storage capacity of the reservoir are presented with both expectation curve and log probability plot. The expectation curve provides a range of possible outcomes such as the P90, P50, and P10. The deterministic value is calculated as the statistical mean of the storage capacity. The coefficient of variation and the uncertainty index, P10/P90, is used to analyze the overall uncertainty of the estimations. A relative impact plot is developed to analyze the sensitivity of the input parameters towards the total uncertainty and compared with Monte Carlo. In comparison to the Monte Carlo method, the results are practically the same. The probabilistic technique presented in this paper can be applied in different geological settings as well as other engineering applications.Jonathan AsanteWilliam AmpomahDylan Rose-CossMartha CatherRobert BalchMDPI AGarticlecarbon dioxide storagestorage efficiency factorprobabilisticexpectation curveMonte CarloTechnologyTENEnergies, Vol 14, Iss 7765, p 7765 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	carbon dioxide storage storage efficiency factor probabilistic expectation curve Monte Carlo Technology T
spellingShingle	carbon dioxide storage storage efficiency factor probabilistic expectation curve Monte Carlo Technology T Jonathan Asante William Ampomah Dylan Rose-Coss Martha Cather Robert Balch Probabilistic Assessment and Uncertainty Analysis of CO<sub>2</sub> Storage Capacity of the Morrow B Sandstone—Farnsworth Field Unit
description	This paper presents probabilistic methods to estimate the quantity of carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>) that can be stored in a mature oil reservoir and analyzes the uncertainties associated with the estimation. This work uses data from the Farnsworth Field Unit (FWU), Ochiltree County, Texas, which is currently undergoing a tertiary recovery process. The input parameters are determined from seismic, core, and fluid analyses. The results of the estimation of the CO<sub>2</sub> storage capacity of the reservoir are presented with both expectation curve and log probability plot. The expectation curve provides a range of possible outcomes such as the P90, P50, and P10. The deterministic value is calculated as the statistical mean of the storage capacity. The coefficient of variation and the uncertainty index, P10/P90, is used to analyze the overall uncertainty of the estimations. A relative impact plot is developed to analyze the sensitivity of the input parameters towards the total uncertainty and compared with Monte Carlo. In comparison to the Monte Carlo method, the results are practically the same. The probabilistic technique presented in this paper can be applied in different geological settings as well as other engineering applications.
format	article
author	Jonathan Asante William Ampomah Dylan Rose-Coss Martha Cather Robert Balch
author_facet	Jonathan Asante William Ampomah Dylan Rose-Coss Martha Cather Robert Balch
author_sort	Jonathan Asante
title	Probabilistic Assessment and Uncertainty Analysis of CO<sub>2</sub> Storage Capacity of the Morrow B Sandstone—Farnsworth Field Unit
title_short	Probabilistic Assessment and Uncertainty Analysis of CO<sub>2</sub> Storage Capacity of the Morrow B Sandstone—Farnsworth Field Unit
title_full	Probabilistic Assessment and Uncertainty Analysis of CO<sub>2</sub> Storage Capacity of the Morrow B Sandstone—Farnsworth Field Unit
title_fullStr	Probabilistic Assessment and Uncertainty Analysis of CO<sub>2</sub> Storage Capacity of the Morrow B Sandstone—Farnsworth Field Unit
title_full_unstemmed	Probabilistic Assessment and Uncertainty Analysis of CO<sub>2</sub> Storage Capacity of the Morrow B Sandstone—Farnsworth Field Unit
title_sort	probabilistic assessment and uncertainty analysis of co<sub>2</sub> storage capacity of the morrow b sandstone—farnsworth field unit
publisher	MDPI AG
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/e81052a0ce55417aaef69d165c4a9057
work_keys_str_mv	AT jonathanasante probabilisticassessmentanduncertaintyanalysisofcosub2substoragecapacityofthemorrowbsandstonefarnsworthfieldunit AT williamampomah probabilisticassessmentanduncertaintyanalysisofcosub2substoragecapacityofthemorrowbsandstonefarnsworthfieldunit AT dylanrosecoss probabilisticassessmentanduncertaintyanalysisofcosub2substoragecapacityofthemorrowbsandstonefarnsworthfieldunit AT marthacather probabilisticassessmentanduncertaintyanalysisofcosub2substoragecapacityofthemorrowbsandstonefarnsworthfieldunit AT robertbalch probabilisticassessmentanduncertaintyanalysisofcosub2substoragecapacityofthemorrowbsandstonefarnsworthfieldunit
_version_	1718412319034179584

Probabilistic Assessment and Uncertainty Analysis of CO<sub>2</sub> Storage Capacity of the Morrow B Sandstone—Farnsworth Field Unit

Ejemplares similares