The Rise of the Nones across the United States, 1973 to 2018: State-Level Trends of Religious Affiliation and Participation in the General Social Survey

Although there has been a fast rise in the share of Americans reporting no religion, it is unclear whether this trend has affected different parts of the country equally. Against this backdrop, we apply dynamic multilevel regression and poststratification (Dynamic MRP) to General Social Survey data...

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Autores principales:	Dingeman Wiertz, Chaeyoon Lim
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Society for Sociological Science 2021
Materias:	religion secularization polarization geography mrp general social survey Sociology (General) HM401-1281
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/e8e1211e0f9645c193f390d076c29dc4
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id	oai:doaj.org-article:e8e1211e0f9645c193f390d076c29dc4
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:e8e1211e0f9645c193f390d076c29dc42021-11-20T01:58:13ZThe Rise of the Nones across the United States, 1973 to 2018: State-Level Trends of Religious Affiliation and Participation in the General Social Survey10.15195/v8.a212330-6696https://doaj.org/article/e8e1211e0f9645c193f390d076c29dc42021-12-01T00:00:00Zhttps://sociologicalscience.com/articles-v8-21-429/https://doaj.org/toc/2330-6696Although there has been a fast rise in the share of Americans reporting no religion, it is unclear whether this trend has affected different parts of the country equally. Against this backdrop, we apply dynamic multilevel regression and poststratification (Dynamic MRP) to General Social Survey data over the period 1973 to 2018 to estimate state-level religious trends. We validate our estimates against external benchmarks, finding that they perform well in terms of predictive accuracy. Substantively, we find steeper increases in the share of religious nones in states that had more nones to begin with. Moreover, whereas state-level increases in the share of religious nones are strongly linked to declines in occasional church attendance and moderate religious identification, the associations with trends in regular attendance and strong identification are much weaker. States have thus not only diverged in their share of religious nones but also experienced different degrees of religious polarization.Dingeman WiertzChaeyoon LimSociety for Sociological Sciencearticlereligionsecularizationpolarizationgeographymrpgeneral social surveySociology (General)HM401-1281ENSociological Science, Vol 8, Iss 21, Pp 429-454 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	religion secularization polarization geography mrp general social survey Sociology (General) HM401-1281
spellingShingle	religion secularization polarization geography mrp general social survey Sociology (General) HM401-1281 Dingeman Wiertz Chaeyoon Lim The Rise of the Nones across the United States, 1973 to 2018: State-Level Trends of Religious Affiliation and Participation in the General Social Survey
description	Although there has been a fast rise in the share of Americans reporting no religion, it is unclear whether this trend has affected different parts of the country equally. Against this backdrop, we apply dynamic multilevel regression and poststratification (Dynamic MRP) to General Social Survey data over the period 1973 to 2018 to estimate state-level religious trends. We validate our estimates against external benchmarks, finding that they perform well in terms of predictive accuracy. Substantively, we find steeper increases in the share of religious nones in states that had more nones to begin with. Moreover, whereas state-level increases in the share of religious nones are strongly linked to declines in occasional church attendance and moderate religious identification, the associations with trends in regular attendance and strong identification are much weaker. States have thus not only diverged in their share of religious nones but also experienced different degrees of religious polarization.
format	article
author	Dingeman Wiertz Chaeyoon Lim
author_facet	Dingeman Wiertz Chaeyoon Lim
author_sort	Dingeman Wiertz
title	The Rise of the Nones across the United States, 1973 to 2018: State-Level Trends of Religious Affiliation and Participation in the General Social Survey
title_short	The Rise of the Nones across the United States, 1973 to 2018: State-Level Trends of Religious Affiliation and Participation in the General Social Survey
title_full	The Rise of the Nones across the United States, 1973 to 2018: State-Level Trends of Religious Affiliation and Participation in the General Social Survey
title_fullStr	The Rise of the Nones across the United States, 1973 to 2018: State-Level Trends of Religious Affiliation and Participation in the General Social Survey
title_full_unstemmed	The Rise of the Nones across the United States, 1973 to 2018: State-Level Trends of Religious Affiliation and Participation in the General Social Survey
title_sort	rise of the nones across the united states, 1973 to 2018: state-level trends of religious affiliation and participation in the general social survey
publisher	Society for Sociological Science
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/e8e1211e0f9645c193f390d076c29dc4
work_keys_str_mv	AT dingemanwiertz theriseofthenonesacrosstheunitedstates1973to2018stateleveltrendsofreligiousaffiliationandparticipationinthegeneralsocialsurvey AT chaeyoonlim theriseofthenonesacrosstheunitedstates1973to2018stateleveltrendsofreligiousaffiliationandparticipationinthegeneralsocialsurvey AT dingemanwiertz riseofthenonesacrosstheunitedstates1973to2018stateleveltrendsofreligiousaffiliationandparticipationinthegeneralsocialsurvey AT chaeyoonlim riseofthenonesacrosstheunitedstates1973to2018stateleveltrendsofreligiousaffiliationandparticipationinthegeneralsocialsurvey
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The Rise of the Nones across the United States, 1973 to 2018: State-Level Trends of Religious Affiliation and Participation in the General Social Survey

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