Multivariate random forest prediction of poverty and malnutrition prevalence.

Advances in remote sensing and machine learning enable increasingly accurate, inexpensive, and timely estimation of poverty and malnutrition indicators to guide development and humanitarian agencies' programming. However, state of the art models often rely on proprietary data and/or deep or tra...

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Autores principales: Chris Browne, David S Matteson, Linden McBride, Leiqiu Hu, Yanyan Liu, Ying Sun, Jiaming Wen, Christopher B Barrett
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/e90e4f8fad114eea9a676e4cc99a8b9b
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:e90e4f8fad114eea9a676e4cc99a8b9b2021-12-02T20:04:42ZMultivariate random forest prediction of poverty and malnutrition prevalence.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0255519https://doaj.org/article/e90e4f8fad114eea9a676e4cc99a8b9b2021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0255519https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203Advances in remote sensing and machine learning enable increasingly accurate, inexpensive, and timely estimation of poverty and malnutrition indicators to guide development and humanitarian agencies' programming. However, state of the art models often rely on proprietary data and/or deep or transfer learning methods whose underlying mechanics may be challenging to interpret. We demonstrate how interpretable random forest models can produce estimates of a set of (potentially correlated) malnutrition and poverty prevalence measures using free, open access, regularly updated, georeferenced data. We demonstrate two use cases: contemporaneous prediction, which might be used for poverty mapping, geographic targeting, or monitoring and evaluation tasks, and a sequential nowcasting task that can inform early warning systems. Applied to data from 11 low and lower-middle income countries, we find predictive accuracy broadly comparable for both tasks to prior studies that use proprietary data and/or deep or transfer learning methods.Chris BrowneDavid S MattesonLinden McBrideLeiqiu HuYanyan LiuYing SunJiaming WenChristopher B BarrettPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 9, p e0255519 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Chris Browne
David S Matteson
Linden McBride
Leiqiu Hu
Yanyan Liu
Ying Sun
Jiaming Wen
Christopher B Barrett
Multivariate random forest prediction of poverty and malnutrition prevalence.
description Advances in remote sensing and machine learning enable increasingly accurate, inexpensive, and timely estimation of poverty and malnutrition indicators to guide development and humanitarian agencies' programming. However, state of the art models often rely on proprietary data and/or deep or transfer learning methods whose underlying mechanics may be challenging to interpret. We demonstrate how interpretable random forest models can produce estimates of a set of (potentially correlated) malnutrition and poverty prevalence measures using free, open access, regularly updated, georeferenced data. We demonstrate two use cases: contemporaneous prediction, which might be used for poverty mapping, geographic targeting, or monitoring and evaluation tasks, and a sequential nowcasting task that can inform early warning systems. Applied to data from 11 low and lower-middle income countries, we find predictive accuracy broadly comparable for both tasks to prior studies that use proprietary data and/or deep or transfer learning methods.
format article
author Chris Browne
David S Matteson
Linden McBride
Leiqiu Hu
Yanyan Liu
Ying Sun
Jiaming Wen
Christopher B Barrett
author_facet Chris Browne
David S Matteson
Linden McBride
Leiqiu Hu
Yanyan Liu
Ying Sun
Jiaming Wen
Christopher B Barrett
author_sort Chris Browne
title Multivariate random forest prediction of poverty and malnutrition prevalence.
title_short Multivariate random forest prediction of poverty and malnutrition prevalence.
title_full Multivariate random forest prediction of poverty and malnutrition prevalence.
title_fullStr Multivariate random forest prediction of poverty and malnutrition prevalence.
title_full_unstemmed Multivariate random forest prediction of poverty and malnutrition prevalence.
title_sort multivariate random forest prediction of poverty and malnutrition prevalence.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/e90e4f8fad114eea9a676e4cc99a8b9b
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